OGE Energy Corp (OGE) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · US · Market cap $10.1B
OGE Energy Corp
OGE · US
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 21 valuation models · updated 19 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from $23.69 to $24.18 (+2.1%) since Jul 17, 2026. Share price −4.6% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 48% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($36.63). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $26.28 – $49.95 · fair‑value band $21.75 – $36.63 · the $46.79 price screens above the $24.18 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
OGE Energy Corp (OGE) currently trades at $46.79, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $24.18, implying the stock looks roughly 48.3% overvalued today. We read business quality at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, OGE Energy Corp generated revenue of $3.3B at a net margin of 14.0%. Revenue grew 0.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.6%. Net debt stands at $5.7B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $21.75 (bear case) to $36.63 (bull case); at $46.79, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -48%, OGE screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 21 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($38.77) versus Growth DCF ($2.99). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
OGE Energy Corp., through its subsidiaries, generates, transmits, distributes, and sells electric energy in the United States. It owns and operates coal-fired, natural gas-fired, wind-powered, and solar-powered generating assets.
Full company description
OGE Energy Corp., through its subsidiaries, generates, transmits, distributes, and sells electric energy in the United States. It owns and operates coal-fired, natural gas-fired, wind-powered, and solar-powered generating assets. The company also provides retail electric services to approximately 913,000 customers that covers a service area of approximately 30,000 square miles. Additionally, it offers bill payment and electric construction services for residential and business sectors. OGE Energy Corp. was founded in 1902 and is based in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
OGE Energy Corp reported revenue of $3.3B in FY2025 versus $3.7B in FY2021, a compound −2.8%/yr. Reported net income was $471M in FY2025, compounding −10.6%/yr from FY2021.
OGE screens 48% overvalued. Compare with NextEra Energy, Inc →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- OGE Energy Corp (OGE) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Electric Income Amid Record Demand
- OGE Energy (OGE) Q2 Earnings: How Key Metrics Compare to Wall Street Estimates
- OGE Energy (OGE) Q2 Earnings and Revenues Miss Estimates
- OGE Energy Corp. reports second quarter 2026 results
Peer Group
Utilities - Regulated Electric · 155 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Electric median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 66/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Regulated Electric stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NextEra Energy, Inc NEE | $88.80 | $32.94 | -63% |
| The Southern Company SO | $95.61 | $61.06 | -36% |
| Duke Energy Corporation DUK | $126.11 | $97.11 | -23% |
| National Grid plc NGG | 61,175 ARS | 44,377 ARS | -27% |
| American Electric Power Company AEP | $132.50 | $79.33 | -40% |
| Dominion Energy, Inc D | $70.08 | $46.92 | -33% |
| NTPC Limited NTPC | ₹341.85 | ₹377.16 | +10% |
| CEZ, a. s. CEZ | 232.40 PLN | 159.33 PLN | -31% |
| Power Grid Corporation POWERGRID | ₹283.55 | ₹252.77 | -11% |
| China National Nuclear Power Co 601985 | ¥8.91 | ¥7.69 | -14% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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