Oil India Limited (OIL) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · IN · Market cap ₹702B
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Share price +6.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 24% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The model range is unusually wide (₹187.82 to ₹730.94). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹59.09 – ₹704.13 · fair‑value band ₹187.82 – ₹730.94 · the ₹453.00 price screens above the ₹342.54 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
Oil India Limited (OIL) currently trades at ₹453.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹342.54, implying the stock looks roughly 24.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Oil India Limited generated revenue of ₹339B at a net margin of 19.5%. Revenue grew 5.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.7%. Net debt stands at ₹319B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹187.82 (bear case) to ₹730.94 (bull case); at ₹453.00, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at -24%, OIL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹717.19) versus Growth DCF (₹168.45). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Oil India Limited engages in the exploration, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas in India. It operates through Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG), Pipeline Transportation, Renewable Energy, and Others segments.
Full company description
Oil India Limited engages in the exploration, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas in India. It operates through Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG), Pipeline Transportation, Renewable Energy, and Others segments. The company owns and operates automated crude oil trunk pipeline comprising an area of 1,157 kilometers; and drilling rigs and workover rigs. It is also involved in the transportation of crude oil and natural gas; and production of LPG and condensate, as well as in the pipeline transportation services. In addition, it generates energy through wind and solar power projects. Oil India Limited was founded in 1889 and is based in Noida, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Oil India Limited reported revenue of ₹339B in FY2026 versus ₹257B in FY2022, a compound +7.3%/yr. Reported net income was ₹66.2B in FY2026, compounding +4.2%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +14.4 pp · buybacks/dilution −3.9 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
OIL screens 24% overvalued. Compare with Saudi Arabian Oil Company →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Oil India identifies natural gas in second Andaman offshore well
- Shearwater secures seven vessel-months streamer contract from OIL
- Oil India sees restart of Mozambique LNG project by year's end
- Gail India extends gas purchase agreement with Oil India for 15 years
Peer Group
Oil & Gas Integrated · 54 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Integrated median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Integrated stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabian Oil Company 2222 | 26.72 SAR | 20.14 SAR | -25% |
| Exxon Mobil Corporation XOM | $144.51 | $90.37 | -37% |
| Chevron Corporation CHEV | C$22.88 | C$7.97 | -65% |
| PetroChina Company 601857 | ¥10.29 | ¥16.51 | +60% |
| Shell plc SHELL | €38.04 | €46.09 | +21% |
| TotalEnergies SE TTE | C$13.80 | C$7.92 | -43% |
| Petróleo Brasileiro S.A PETR3 | 12,540 ARS | 30,914 ARS | +147% |
| BP p.l.c., an integrated energy company, BP | $40.83 | $12.71 | -69% |
| China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation 600028 | ¥5.03 | ¥4.46 | -11% |
| Equinor ASA EQNR | $36.19 | $34.53 | -5% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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