OMV Aktiengesellschaft (OMV) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · AT · Market cap €19.5B
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 21 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from €68.28 to €65.23 (−4.5%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +11.6% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Our model range runs from €48.92 (bear) to €81.54 (bull), base €65.23. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 67/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €23.74 – €64.80 · fair‑value band €48.92 – €81.54 · the €63.65 price screens below the €65.23 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
OMV Aktiengesellschaft (OMV) currently trades at €63.65, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €65.23, implying the stock looks roughly 2.5% fairly valued today. We read business quality at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, OMV Aktiengesellschaft generated revenue of €23.4B at a net margin of 10.3%. Revenue declined 4.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.8%. Net debt stands at €1.8B. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €48.92 (bear case) to €81.54 (bull case); at €63.65, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 49% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at 2%, OMV screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 21 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (€70.59) versus Earnings-Based (€27.46). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 85
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
OMV Aktiengesellschaft operates as an oil, gas, and chemicals company in Austria, Belgium, Germany, New Zealand, Norway, Romania, the United Arab Emirates, the rest of Central and Eastern Europe, the rest of Europe, and internationally. It operates through Chemicals, Fuels & Feedstock, and Energy segments.
Full company description
OMV Aktiengesellschaft operates as an oil, gas, and chemicals company in Austria, Belgium, Germany, New Zealand, Norway, Romania, the United Arab Emirates, the rest of Central and Eastern Europe, the rest of Europe, and internationally. It operates through Chemicals, Fuels & Feedstock, and Energy segments. The company provides advanced and circular polyolefin solutions, and base chemicals, as well as engages in the recycling of plastics. It also refines and markets crude oil and other feedstock; and operates refineries, filling stations, gas storage facilities, and gas-fired power plant. In addition, the company engages in the exploration, development, and production crude oil, natural gas liquids, and natural gas; development of energy sources, such as geothermal projects; Carbon Capture and Storage; provision and renewable power solutions, as well as sale, trade, and logistics of natural gas. OMV Aktiengesellschaft was incorporated in 1956 and is headquartered in Vienna, Austria.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
OMV Aktiengesellschaft reported revenue of €24.3B in FY2025 versus €35.6B in FY2021, a compound −9.1%/yr. Reported net income was €1.1B in FY2025, compounding −16.2%/yr from FY2021.
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Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- OMV Hybrid Notes Issue Reshapes Balance Sheet And Investor Risk Profile
- Should Value Investors Buy OMV (OMVKY) Stock?
- Has OMV (OMVKY) Outpaced Other Oils-Energy Stocks This Year?
- OMV AG (OMVKY) Hit a 52 Week High, Can the Run Continue?
Peer Group
Oil & Gas Integrated · 54 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Integrated median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Integrated stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabian Oil Company 2222 | 26.72 SAR | 20.14 SAR | -25% |
| Exxon Mobil Corporation XOM | $144.51 | $90.37 | -37% |
| Chevron Corporation CHEV | C$22.88 | C$7.97 | -65% |
| PetroChina Company 601857 | ¥10.29 | ¥16.51 | +60% |
| Shell plc SHELL | €38.04 | €46.09 | +21% |
| TotalEnergies SE TTE | C$13.80 | C$7.92 | -43% |
| Petróleo Brasileiro S.A PETR3 | 12,540 ARS | 30,914 ARS | +147% |
| BP p.l.c., an integrated energy company, BP | $40.83 | $12.71 | -69% |
| China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation 600028 | ¥5.03 | ¥4.46 | -11% |
| Equinor ASA EQNR | $36.19 | $34.53 | -5% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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