Ontex Group NV (ONTEX) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 29, 2026: fair value of Ontex Group NV €5.99, price €2.00, upside +200.0%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch Ontex Group NV for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €2.00 – €9.53 · fair‑value band €3.42 – €9.79 · the €2.00 price screens below the €5.99 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
Follow Ontex Group in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Ontex Group is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Ontex Group NV develops, produces, and sells baby, feminine, and adult care products in Belgium, the United Kingdom, Italy, the United States, France, Poland, and internationally.
Show more
Ontex Group NV develops, produces, and sells baby, feminine, and adult care products in Belgium, the United Kingdom, Italy, the United States, France, Poland, and internationally. The company offers baby care products, such as baby diapers and pants, and wet wipes under the Moltex, Free Life, Baby Charm, Helen Harper, and Swimmies brands; and feminine care products, including sanitary towels, panty liners, and tampons under the ConfiDaily, SatinSense, All night protection, Libera Safe, 4-in-1 protection, Multi-liquid liner brand names. It also provides adult care products comprising adult pants and diapers, incontinence towels, and bed protection under the iD, SERENITY, lille, orizon, and Kylie, as well as Nefertiti brands. The company sells its products to consumers, retailers, and institutional and private healthcare providers. Ontex Group NV was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Aalst, Belgium.
Stock analysis
Ontex Group NV (ONTEX) currently trades at €2.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €5.99, implying the stock looks roughly 66.7% undervalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of €16.29 per share, and 13 of the 13 models we run sit above the €2.00 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at €4.37, and 0 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: €3.42 (bear) to €9.79 (bull), the price of €2.00 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Ontex Group NV reported revenue of €1.8B in FY2025 versus €1.4B in FY2021, a compound +5.7%/yr. Reported net income was −€174M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap €192M · P/E ratio 12.3 · P/S ratio 0.11 · EPS (TTM) €−1.56 · Net margin −9.8% · Return on equity −13.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.2% · Operating margin 4.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 70% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −20% fair-value upside, at 200%, ONTEX screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €3.42Fair Value €5.99Bull €9.79
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.18/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−5.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.4% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.7%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
5.3% (2020) → 5.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+6.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+2.1%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +4.0% a year for the price and −0.1% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Household & Personal Products · 241 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score45 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+200.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets2.4% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)−11.6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)4.2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−2.9% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.42× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Household & Personal Products median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ontex Group NV Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ONTEX
Frequently asked questions
Is Ontex Group NV (ONTEX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €5.99 versus a price of €2.00, about +200% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ONTEX?
Our model-based fair value for Ontex Group NV is €5.99 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €2.00.
What is the quality score of ONTEX?
Ontex Group NV has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ontex Group NV (ONTEX)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €5.99 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario €3.42, optimistic scenario €9.79. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ontex Group NV stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €5.99, about +200% upside versus a price of €2.00 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €3.42, optimistic scenario €9.79. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ontex Group NV (ONTEX)?
Ontex Group NV reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €1.7B (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Ontex Group NV (ONTEX)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Ontex Group NV would have to grow free cash flow by +6.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -3.3 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ONTEX use?
Our models discount Ontex Group NV at 11.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.43, country premium for Belgium. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Ontex Group NV that is +6.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Ontex Group NV (ONTEX) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Ontex Group NV grew -3.3 % a year. The price currently implies +6.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Ontex Group NV (ONTEX) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Ontex Group NV (+6.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Ontex Group NV (ONTEX)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 26.71 %: that much free cash flow Ontex Group NV produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Ontex Group NV (ONTEX)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ontex Group NV it is €5.99 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of €2.00. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ontex Group NV stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, ONTEX trades below its calculated fair value: price €2.00, fair value €5.99, a gap of about +200% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ONTEX?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€2.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€5.99). For Ontex Group NV the two are €4.00 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ontex Group NV worth?
The market values Ontex Group NV at about €192M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is €2.00; our models calculate a fair value of €5.99 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ONTEX?
Our models span a range for Ontex Group NV: cautious scenario €3.42, base €5.99, optimistic €9.79 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price €2.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ONTEX?
Ontex Group NV trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.3 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €5.99 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.2, P/S 0.1, EV/EBITDA 4.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ontex Group NV (ONTEX)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ontex Group NV (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −13.8%, debt of 0.42 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ONTEX from its 52-week high?
Ontex Group NV trades at €2.00, about 70% below its 52-week high of €6.69 and at the low of €2.00 (as of Sep 29, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €5.99 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ontex Group NV?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value The Procter & Gamble Company, Colgate-Palmolive Company, Hindustan Unilever Limited, Kenvue Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ontex Group NV stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price €2.00, calculated fair value €5.99 (+200%), Quality Score 45/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ONTEX calculated?
We run Ontex Group NV through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €5.99, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Ontex Group NV currently trades 67 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ontex Group NV (ONTEX)?
The closing price on Sep 29, 2026 was €2.00. Our model-based fair value is €5.99, about +200% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ontex Group NV right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (€3.42). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The model range is unusually wide (€3.42 to €9.79). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (45/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Where does the earnings growth of Ontex Group NV (ONTEX) come from?
Earnings per share at Ontex Group NV grew −15.0 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −1.7 %, EBIT margin −7.7 %, tax rate −0.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −6.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Ontex Group NV
How large is the market capitalisation of Ontex Group NV (ONTEX)?
The market capitalisation of Ontex Group NV is €192M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ontex Group NV (ONTEX)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ontex Group NV is 0.11 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ontex Group NV (ONTEX)?
Earnings per share at Ontex Group NV are €−1.56 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Ontex Group NV (ONTEX)?
The net margin of Ontex Group NV is −9.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ontex Group NV (ONTEX)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ontex Group NV is −13.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ontex Group NV (ONTEX)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ontex Group NV is 3.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ontex Group NV (ONTEX)?
The operating margin of Ontex Group NV is 4.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ontex Group NV (ONTEX)?
Revenue at Ontex Group NV is growing −2.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ontex Group NV (ONTEX)?
Earnings per share at Ontex Group NV are growing −68.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Ontex Group NV (ONTEX) hold?
Ontex Group NV holds more cash than debt, €70.4M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
Free · no account needed
Watch Ontex Group NV in the live analysis
One click puts Ontex Group NV on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
