Oracle Corporation (ORCL34) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Oracle Corporation BRL 128, price BRL 125, upside +2.3%, quality 46 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range R$52.28 – R$298.73 · fair‑value band R$89.48 – R$166.18 · the R$124.94 price screens below the R$127.83 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.
Oracle Corporation offers products and services that address enterprise information technology environments worldwide.
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Oracle Corporation offers products and services that address enterprise information technology environments worldwide. Its Oracle cloud software as a service offering include various cloud software applications, including Oracle Fusion cloud enterprise resource planning ERP, Oracle Fusion cloud enterprise performance management EPM, Oracle Fusion cloud supply chain and manufacturing management SCM, Oracle Fusion cloud human capital management HCM, and NetSuite applications suite, Oracle Health applications, as well as Oracle Fusion Sales, Service, and Marketing. The company also offers cloud-based industry solutions for various industries; Oracle cloud license and on-premise license; and Oracle license support services. In addition, it provides cloud and license business' infrastructure technologies, such as the Oracle Database and MySQL Database; Java, a software development language; and middleware, including development tools and others. The company's cloud and license business' infrastructure technologies also comprise cloud-based compute, storage, and networking capabilities; and Oracle autonomous database, as well as AI, Internet-of-Things, machine learning, digital assistant, and blockchain. Further, it provides hardware products and other hardware-related software offerings, including Oracle engineered systems, enterprise servers, storage solutions, industry-specific hardware, virtualization software, operating systems, management software, and related hardware support services, and consulting and advanced customer services. It markets and sells its cloud, license, hardware, support, and services offerings directly to businesses in various industries, government agencies, and educational institutions, as well as through indirect channels. Oracle Corporation has a strategic alliance with Metron, Inc. The company was founded in 1977 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.
Stock analysis
Oracle Corporation (ORCL34) currently trades at R$124.94, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$127.83, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 2.3%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of R$128.71 per share, and 4 of the 14 models we run sit above the R$124.94 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at R$38.75, and 10 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: R$89.48 (bear) to R$166.18 (bull), the price of R$124.94 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Oracle Corporation reported revenue of $67.4B in FY2026 versus $42.4B in FY2022, a compound +12.2%/yr. Reported net income was $17.1B in FY2026, compounding +26.3%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap R$1.9T (≈ $359B) · P/E ratio 26.0 · P/S ratio 6.59 · EPS (TTM) R$4.81 · Dividend yield 1.6% · Net margin 25.4% · Return on equity 53.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 56% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −30% fair-value upside, at 2%, ORCL34 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear R$89.48Fair Value R$127.83Bull R$166.18
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 4 months old). Earnings retained since then (R$0.9623 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.54/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+17.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.7%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.2% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+22.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+20.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.12.4% vs 10.0%, steady
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.38% → 33%
2026 sits 56% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (100 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Negative
Recent news coverage is more negative than average.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Oracle Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ORCL34
Frequently asked questions
Is Oracle Corporation (ORCL34) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$127.83 versus a price of R$124.94, about +2% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of ORCL34?
Our model-based fair value for Oracle Corporation is R$127.83 (as of Sep 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: R$124.94.
What is the quality score of ORCL34?
Oracle Corporation has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Oracle Corporation (ORCL34)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of R$127.83 (as of Sep 28, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario R$89.48, optimistic scenario R$166.18. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Oracle Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at R$127.83, about +2% upside versus a price of R$124.94 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario R$89.48, optimistic scenario R$166.18. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Oracle Corporation (ORCL34)?
Oracle Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $67.4B (latest available figure, as of Sep 28, 2026).
Does Oracle Corporation pay a dividend?
Oracle Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.60% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 28, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Oracle Corporation (ORCL34)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Oracle Corporation it is R$127.83 per share (as of Sep 28, 2026), against a price of R$124.94. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Oracle Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 28, 2026, ORCL34 trades below its calculated fair value: price R$124.94, fair value R$127.83, a gap of about +2% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ORCL34?
No. The price is what the market pays today (R$124.94); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (R$127.83). For Oracle Corporation the two are R$2.89 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Oracle Corporation worth?
The market values Oracle Corporation at about R$1.9T (market capitalisation, as of Sep 28, 2026). Per share that is R$124.94; our models calculate a fair value of R$127.83 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ORCL34?
Our models span a range for Oracle Corporation: cautious scenario R$89.48, base R$127.83, optimistic R$166.18 per share (as of Sep 28, 2026, price R$124.94). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is ORCL34 from its 52-week high?
Oracle Corporation trades at R$124.94, about 56% below its 52-week high of R$281.73 and 28% above the low of R$97.70 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of R$127.83 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Oracle Corporation?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Microsoft Corporation, Palantir Technologies Inc, CrowdStrike Holdings, Fortinet, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Oracle Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 28, 2026: price R$124.94, calculated fair value R$127.83 (+2%), Quality Score 46/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ORCL34 calculated?
We run Oracle Corporation through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of R$127.83, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Oracle Corporation currently trades 2 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Oracle Corporation (ORCL34)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was R$124.94. Our model-based fair value is R$127.83, about +2% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Oracle Corporation right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (R$89.48 to R$166.18) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Oracle Corporation
How large is the market capitalisation of Oracle Corporation (ORCL34)?
The market capitalisation of Oracle Corporation is R$1.9T (≈ $359B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Oracle Corporation (ORCL34)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Oracle Corporation is 26.0. Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of Oracle Corporation (ORCL34)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Oracle Corporation is 6.59 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Oracle Corporation (ORCL34)?
Earnings per share at Oracle Corporation are R$4.81 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 26.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Oracle Corporation (ORCL34)?
The dividend yield of Oracle Corporation is 1.6% (payout 41.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Oracle Corporation (ORCL34)?
The net margin of Oracle Corporation is 25.4% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Oracle Corporation (ORCL34)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Oracle Corporation is 53.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Oracle Corporation (ORCL34)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Oracle Corporation is 10.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Oracle Corporation (ORCL34)?
The operating margin of Oracle Corporation is 36.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Oracle Corporation (ORCL34)?
Revenue at Oracle Corporation is growing +20.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +10.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Oracle Corporation (ORCL34)?
Earnings per share at Oracle Corporation are growing +21.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Oracle Corporation (ORCL34) generate?
The free cash flow of Oracle Corporation is −$23.7B (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Oracle Corporation (ORCL34) carry?
The net debt of Oracle Corporation is $98.3B (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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