MongoDB, Inc (MDB) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $27.7B

A solid business, but screening 76% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($112.62). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $137.35 – $585.03 · fair‑value band $66.67 – $112.62 · the $370.00 price screens above the $89.64 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

MongoDB, Inc (MDB) currently trades at $370.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $89.64, implying the stock looks roughly 75.8% overvalued today. We read business quality at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, MongoDB, Inc generated revenue of $2.6B at a net margin of -1.1%. Revenue grew 25.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -1.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $1.1B. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $66.67 (bear case) to $112.62 (bull case); at $370.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 89% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -53% fair-value upside, at -76%, MDB screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($163.95) versus Dividend Discount ($8.75). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

MongoDB, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides general purpose database platform worldwide. The company offers MongoDB Atlas, a hosted multi-cloud database-as-a-service solution; MongoDB Enterprise Advanced, a commercial database server for enterprise customers to run in the cloud, on-premises, or in a hybrid environment; and Community Server, a …

Full company description

MongoDB, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides general purpose database platform worldwide. The company offers MongoDB Atlas, a hosted multi-cloud database-as-a-service solution; MongoDB Enterprise Advanced, a commercial database server for enterprise customers to run in the cloud, on-premises, or in a hybrid environment; and Community Server, a free-to-download version of its database, which includes the functionality that developers need to get started with MongoDB. It offers professional services comprising consulting and training. The company was formerly known as 10gen, Inc. and changed its name to MongoDB, Inc. in August 2013. MongoDB, Inc. was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

MongoDB, Inc reported revenue of $2.5B in FY2026 versus $874M in FY2022, a compound +29.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$71.2M in FY2026.

MDB screens 76% overvalued. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

• Can MongoDB (MDB) Be Fairly Valued Yet Still Expensive? Yahoo Finance · Jul 24, 2026
• Here's Why MongoDB (MDB) Fell More Than Broader Market Yahoo Finance · Jul 23, 2026

Peer Group

Software - Infrastructure · 367 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 44/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.