EN DE
Watch Orvana Minerals Corp. for free: we tell you when fair value or trend changes.
Data-driven stock valuation

Orvana Minerals Corp. (ORV) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 12, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Orvana Minerals Corp. stock C$0.42, price C$1.57, that is 73.2% below the price, quality 42 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 4 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Keep an eye on it?Free in your watchlist: 5 stocks without an account, 10 with one Yes, for free

Basic Materials CA · ISIN CA68759M1014

OM Orvana Minerals Corp. logo Some data Nov 12, 2026

Orvana Minerals Corp.

ORV · TO

Far too expensive (fair value 73% below the price) and weak company, but rising price: meets 1 of 3 rules.

Get notified free when this changes
Rising price (uptrend) 
Solidly profitable · 12.1% net margin (TTM) 
Ranks above peers (8/12) 
Last quarter vs. a year ago: revenue +69%, profit +38%. 
Quality 42/100 
Moderate debt 
Moderate moat 63/100 · thin data
Some data 
Fair value C$0.4200 · Strongly overvalued 
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −0.6 %/yr in USD) 
Negative free cash flow 
⟳ Cyclical
Watch Orvana Minerals Corp. for free: we tell you when fair value or trend changes. Watch for free

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

C$2.79 C$0.1150 Fair Value C$0.4200 May 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$0.1150 – C$2.79 · fair‑value band C$0.1800 – C$0.6600 · the C$1.57 price screens above the C$0.4200 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 12, 2026.

Follow Orvana Minerals in your weekly email

Every Wednesday you see whether Orvana Minerals is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.

We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Company profile

Orvana Minerals Corp., a mining and exploration company, engages in the evaluation, development, and mining of gold, copper, silver, and other precious and base metal deposits.

Show moreShow less

It owns and operates El Valle and Carlés mines that produces copper concentrate located in the Rio Narcea Gold Belt, northern Spain.

The company also owns Don Mario Mine containing 10 contiguous mineral concessions covering an area of approximately 53,325 hectares situated in Don Mario district, southeastern Bolivia.

In addition, it owns interest in the Taguas property, which consist of 15 mining concessions located in San Juan, Argentina. The company is based in Toronto, Canada. Orvana Minerals Corp. operates as a subsidiary of Fabulosa Mines Limited.

Stock analysis

Orvana Minerals Corp. (ORV) currently trades at C$1.57, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.4200, 73% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

Show more

Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of C$0.4200 per share, and 0 of the 4 models we run sit above the C$1.57 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at C$0.3200, and 4 of the 4 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: C$0.1800 (bear) to C$0.6600 (bull), the price of C$1.57 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.

Orvana Minerals Corp. reported revenue of $98.9M in FY2025 versus $106M in FY2021, a compound −1.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$12.3M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap C$264M (≈ $185M) Micro · P/E ratio 8.3 · P/S ratio 1.69 · EPS (TTM) C$0.2000 · Net margin −12.4% · Return on equity 28.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.9% (5-year average) · Operating margin 39.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 63 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −14% fair-value upside, at −73%, ORV screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear C$0.1800 Fair Value C$0.4200 Bull C$0.6600
Price C$1.57 · Downside -73.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (C$0.2000 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EV/EBITDA C$0.8000 C$1.25 C$1.70 66
EV/EBIT C$0.1800 C$0.4200 C$0.6600 62
NCAV (Graham) C$0.2400 C$0.3200 C$0.4700 54
All 4 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBIT C$0.1800 C$0.4200 C$0.6600 62
EV/EBITDA C$0.8000 C$1.25 C$1.70 66
EV/Revenue C$0.0900 C$0.3500 C$0.6200 48
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) C$0.2400 C$0.3200 C$0.4700 54

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 13
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 37
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 21
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 39
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 52
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 41
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 23
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 19
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 82
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 19/100
Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Revenue growth 1 year
+9.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −2.0% a year
Revenue growth 29 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+28.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−5.5% (2019) → 7.3% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

ORV screens overvalued: fair value 73% below the price. Compare with PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk →

Compare Orvana Minerals Corp. with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

Free, no sign-up

Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Precious Metals & Mining · 151 stocks

Beats the industry median on 8/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 42 · Above median
Fair Value upside −73.2% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 28.6% · Top 25%
Return on assets −7.5% · Above median
Net margin (12 months) 12.1% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) 39.4% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 69.3% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.14× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Precious Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 8.3× · Cheaper than median
P/B 4.08× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months) 1.19× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 3.7× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 6
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)100 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)43 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 49

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Precious Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Sibanye Stillwater Limited SBSW $8.86 $12.13 +37% vs ORV
Hecla Mining Company HL $13.35 $14.69 +10% vs ORV
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp TFPM $30.46 $32.54 +7% vs ORV
Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A. BVN $25.30 $26.98 +7% vs ORV
Perpetua Resources Corp PPTA $17.82 $15.34 −14% vs ORV
Sino-Platinum Metals Co 600459 ¥16.10 ¥13.23 −18% vs ORV
Zhaojin International Gold Co 000506 ¥13.51 ¥7.07 −48% vs ORV
China Gold International Resources Corp CGG C$30.51 C$15.11 −50% vs ORV
Artemis Gold Inc ARTG C$38.73 C$15.63 −60% vs ORV
PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk AMMN 3,680 IDR 881.70 IDR −76% vs ORV

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Basic Materials stocks →

All undervalued stocks TechnologyFinancial ServicesHealthcareConsumer CyclicalConsumer DefensiveCommunication ServicesIndustrialsEnergyBasic MaterialsReal EstateUtilities Deeply Undervalued StocksUndervalued High-Quality StocksUndervalued Blue-Chip StocksUndervalued Small-Cap StocksUndervalued Dividend StocksUndervalued 52-Week Low StocksStocks for 2027: Large Companies Below Fair Value

Try a ready-made strategy

Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.

🥇 Backtested Best 🏆 Big Names 💎 Quality on Sale 🚀 Profitable Growth 🧊 Quality Compounders 💵 Dividend Stars 📈 Strong Momentum 📉 Fallen Angels ⚖️ Deeply Undervalued 🔍 Small-Cap Gems 🏰 Moat at a Fair Price 💼 Insider Buying 🎩 Buffett-Style Quality 📚 Peter Lynch GARP 🧮 Greenblatt Magic Formula 🛡️ Graham Defensive

Discover tools

Stock screenerFilter by region, size and sector Compare toolTwo stocks side by side Average Down CalculatorFree calculator
Run the numbers yourself: free valuation calculators
DCF CalculatorP/E Ratio CalculatorPEG Ratio CalculatorGraham NumberPeter Lynch FormulaDDM CalculatorIntrinsic ValueIntrinsic vs Extrinsic ValueP/E Ratio by Sector
For bloggers & editors: embed code + live data

For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.

Orvana Minerals Corp.: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Orvana Minerals Corp. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ORV

Frequently asked questions

Is Orvana Minerals Corp. (ORV) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$0.4200 versus a price of C$1.57, about 73% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ORV?
Our model-based fair value for Orvana Minerals Corp. is C$0.4200 (as of Nov 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$1.57.
What is the quality score of ORV?
Orvana Minerals Corp. has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Orvana Minerals Corp. (ORV)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$0.4200 (as of Nov 12, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$0.1800, optimistic scenario C$0.6600. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Orvana Minerals Corp. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$0.4200, about 73% lower versus a price of C$1.57 (overvalued). Cautious scenario C$0.1800, optimistic scenario C$0.6600. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Orvana Minerals Corp. (ORV)?
Orvana Minerals Corp. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $156M (latest available figure, as of Nov 12, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Orvana Minerals Corp. (ORV)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Orvana Minerals Corp. it is C$0.4200 per share (as of Nov 12, 2026), against a price of C$1.57. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models in 2 families (Multiples, Asset-Based).
Is Orvana Minerals Corp. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 12, 2026, ORV trades above its calculated fair value: price C$1.57, fair value C$0.4200, a gap of about −73% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ORV?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$1.57); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$0.4200). For Orvana Minerals Corp. the two are C$1.15 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Orvana Minerals Corp. worth?
The market values Orvana Minerals Corp. at about C$264M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 12, 2026). Per share that is C$1.57; our models calculate a fair value of C$0.4200 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ORV?
Our models span a range for Orvana Minerals Corp.: cautious scenario C$0.1800, base C$0.4200, optimistic C$0.6600 per share (as of Nov 12, 2026, price C$1.57). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ORV?
Orvana Minerals Corp. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.3 (as of Nov 12, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of C$0.4200 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 4.1, P/S 1.2, EV/EBITDA 3.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Orvana Minerals Corp. (ORV)?
Balance-sheet figures for Orvana Minerals Corp. (as of Nov 12, 2026): return on equity 28.6%, debt of 1.14 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ORV from its 52-week high?
Orvana Minerals Corp. trades at C$1.57, about 44% below its 52-week high of C$2.79 and 11% above the low of C$1.41 (as of Nov 12, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$0.4200 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Orvana Minerals Corp.?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk, Hecla Mining Company, China Gold International Resources Corp, Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A., among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Orvana Minerals Corp. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 12, 2026: price C$1.57, calculated fair value C$0.4200 (−73%), Quality Score 42/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ORV calculated?
We run Orvana Minerals Corp. through 4 models from 2 families: Multiples, Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of C$0.4200 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0% above its aggregate fair value. Orvana Minerals Corp. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Orvana Minerals Corp. (ORV)?
The closing price on Nov 12, 2026 was C$1.57. Our model-based fair value is C$0.4200, about 73% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Orvana Minerals Corp. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$0.6600). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (C$0.1800 to C$0.6600). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.

Key figures of Orvana Minerals Corp.

How large is the market capitalisation of Orvana Minerals Corp. (ORV)?
The market capitalisation of Orvana Minerals Corp. is C$264M (≈ $185M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Orvana Minerals Corp. (ORV)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Orvana Minerals Corp. is 1.69 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Orvana Minerals Corp. (ORV)?
Earnings per share at Orvana Minerals Corp. are C$0.2000 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Orvana Minerals Corp. (ORV)?
The net margin of Orvana Minerals Corp. is −12.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Orvana Minerals Corp. (ORV)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Orvana Minerals Corp. is 28.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Orvana Minerals Corp. (ORV)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Orvana Minerals Corp. is 4.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Orvana Minerals Corp. (ORV)?
The operating margin of Orvana Minerals Corp. is 39.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Orvana Minerals Corp. (ORV)?
Revenue at Orvana Minerals Corp. is growing +69.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Orvana Minerals Corp. (ORV)?
Earnings per share at Orvana Minerals Corp. are growing +38.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Orvana Minerals Corp. (ORV) generate?
The free cash flow of Orvana Minerals Corp. is −$16.3M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Orvana Minerals Corp. (ORV) carry?
The net debt of Orvana Minerals Corp. is $51.9M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed

Watch Orvana Minerals Corp. in the live analysis

One click puts Orvana Minerals Corp. on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 27,000+ stock screener.

Watch for free →

Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.