Oswal Agro Mills Limited (OSWALAGRO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Oswal Agro Mills Limited ₹80.73, price ₹33.11, upside +143.8%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹13.55 – ₹103.89 · fair‑value band ₹61.54 – ₹123.25 · the ₹33.11 price screens below the ₹80.73 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Oswal Agro Mills Limited engages in the development and trading of real estate properties in India. It operates through Trading, Real Estate, and Investment segments. It also trades in goods and commodities.
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Oswal Agro Mills Limited engages in the development and trading of real estate properties in India. It operates through Trading, Real Estate, and Investment segments. It also trades in goods and commodities. In addition, the company invests in equity instruments and other securities; and surplus funds in inter-corporate deposits, mutual funds, and other miscellaneous incomes. Oswal Agro Mills Limited was incorporated in 1979 and is headquartered in New Delhi, India.
Stock analysis
Oswal Agro Mills Limited (OSWALAGRO) currently trades at ₹33.11, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹80.73, implying the stock looks roughly 59.0% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ₹197.20 per share, and 9 of the 10 models we run sit above the ₹33.11 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹44.77, and 1 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹61.54 (bear) to ₹123.25 (bull), the price of ₹33.11 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Oswal Agro Mills Limited reported revenue of ₹376M in FY2026 versus ₹110M in FY2022, a compound +35.9%/yr. Reported net income was −₹220M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap ₹5.6B (≈ $58.6M) · P/S ratio 29.3 · EPS (TTM) ₹−1.64 · Net margin −58.6% · Return on equity −2.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.0% · Operating margin −24,023% · Revenue (TTM) ₹193M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 58% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 6% fair-value upside, at 144%, OSWALAGRO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹61.54Fair Value ₹80.73Bull ₹123.25
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.32/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−76.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.1%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +9.5% a year
Revenue growth 29 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.9%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
55.7% (2020) → 90.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−11.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −15.1% a year for the price.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 566 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/5 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score59 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+143.8% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets0.0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)−114.4% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Oswal Agro Mills Limited (OSWALAGRO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹80.73 versus a price of ₹33.11, about +144% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of OSWALAGRO?
Our model-based fair value for Oswal Agro Mills Limited is ₹80.73 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹33.11.
What is the quality score of OSWALAGRO?
Oswal Agro Mills Limited has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Oswal Agro Mills Limited (OSWALAGRO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹80.73 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹61.54, optimistic scenario ₹123.25. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Oswal Agro Mills Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹80.73, about +144% upside versus a price of ₹33.11 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ₹61.54, optimistic scenario ₹123.25. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Oswal Agro Mills Limited (OSWALAGRO)?
Oswal Agro Mills Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹193M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Oswal Agro Mills Limited (OSWALAGRO)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Oswal Agro Mills Limited would have to grow free cash flow by -11.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 15.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.1 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of OSWALAGRO use?
Our models discount Oswal Agro Mills Limited at 15.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Oswal Agro Mills Limited that is -11.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (15.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Oswal Agro Mills Limited (OSWALAGRO) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Oswal Agro Mills Limited grew +5.1 % a year. The price currently implies -11.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Oswal Agro Mills Limited (OSWALAGRO) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Oswal Agro Mills Limited (-11.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Oswal Agro Mills Limited (OSWALAGRO)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 15.69 %: that much free cash flow Oswal Agro Mills Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (15.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Oswal Agro Mills Limited (OSWALAGRO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Oswal Agro Mills Limited it is ₹80.73 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of ₹33.11. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Oswal Agro Mills Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, OSWALAGRO trades below its calculated fair value: price ₹33.11, fair value ₹80.73, a gap of about +144% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OSWALAGRO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹33.11); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹80.73). For Oswal Agro Mills Limited the two are ₹47.62 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Oswal Agro Mills Limited worth?
The market values Oswal Agro Mills Limited at about ₹5.6B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is ₹33.11; our models calculate a fair value of ₹80.73 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OSWALAGRO?
Our models span a range for Oswal Agro Mills Limited: cautious scenario ₹61.54, base ₹80.73, optimistic ₹123.25 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price ₹33.11). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Oswal Agro Mills Limited (OSWALAGRO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Oswal Agro Mills Limited (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −2.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is OSWALAGRO from its 52-week high?
Oswal Agro Mills Limited trades at ₹33.11, about 58% below its 52-week high of ₹79.21 and at the low of ₹33.11 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹80.73 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Oswal Agro Mills Limited?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, China Resources Land Limited, CK Asset Holdings, Hongkong Land Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Oswal Agro Mills Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price ₹33.11, calculated fair value ₹80.73 (+144%), Quality Score 59/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OSWALAGRO calculated?
We run Oswal Agro Mills Limited through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹80.73, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Oswal Agro Mills Limited currently trades 59 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Oswal Agro Mills Limited (OSWALAGRO)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹33.11. Our model-based fair value is ₹80.73, about +144% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Oswal Agro Mills Limited right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (₹61.54). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (₹61.54 to ₹123.25) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Oswal Agro Mills Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Oswal Agro Mills Limited (OSWALAGRO)?
The market capitalisation of Oswal Agro Mills Limited is ₹5.6B (≈ $58.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Oswal Agro Mills Limited (OSWALAGRO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Oswal Agro Mills Limited is 29.3 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Oswal Agro Mills Limited (OSWALAGRO)?
Earnings per share at Oswal Agro Mills Limited are ₹−1.64. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Oswal Agro Mills Limited (OSWALAGRO)?
The net margin of Oswal Agro Mills Limited is −58.6% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Oswal Agro Mills Limited (OSWALAGRO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Oswal Agro Mills Limited is −2.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Oswal Agro Mills Limited (OSWALAGRO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Oswal Agro Mills Limited is 3.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Oswal Agro Mills Limited (OSWALAGRO)?
The operating margin of Oswal Agro Mills Limited is −24,023% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast are earnings growing at Oswal Agro Mills Limited (OSWALAGRO)?
Earnings per share at Oswal Agro Mills Limited are growing −90.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Oswal Agro Mills Limited (OSWALAGRO) hold?
Oswal Agro Mills Limited holds more cash than debt, ₹1.7B net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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