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CD Projekt S.A (OTGLY) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · US · Market cap $6.0B

CP CD Projekt S.A logo CD Projekt S.A OTGLY · US
Price$15.12
Fair Value$4.89
Upside-67.7%
Quality57/100
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Evidence: High Range $3.72 – $12.10

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Fair value updated Jun 24, 2026 — revised from $9.70 to $4.89 (−49.6%) since Jun 23, 2026. Share price −0.3% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$20.20 $14.50 Fair Value $4.89 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range $14.50 – $20.20 · fair‑value band $3.72 – $12.10 · the $15.12 price screens above the $4.89 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

CD Projekt S.A (OTGLY) currently trades at $15.12, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.89 — implying the stock looks roughly 67.7% overvalued today. We read business quality at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, CD Projekt S.A generated revenue of $1.1B at a net margin of 67.1%. Revenue grew 6.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $87.9M. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $3.72 (bear case) to $12.10 (bull case); at $15.12, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside — at -68%, OTGLY screens richer than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.1B
Revenue growth (YoY) +6.1%
Net margin 67.1%
Return on equity 16.4%
Free cash flow $515M FY2025
P/E ratio 38.5
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $0.3900
Dividend yield 0.5%
EPS growth (YoY) -5.4%
Net cash $87.9M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

CD Projekt S.A., together its subsidiaries, engages in the production, publishing, and digital distribution of video games and related products in Poland. The company's flagship products include The Witcher series of games and Cyberpunk 2077. It also exports its products to Europe, North America, South America, Asia, Australia, and Africa. The company was incorporated in 2001 and is headquartered in Warsaw, Poland.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

CD Projekt S.A reported revenue of $829M in FY2025 versus $888M in FY2021, a compound −1.7%/yr. Reported net income was $504M in FY2025, compounding +24.6%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue −1.7%/yr
FY21 $888M
FY22 $953M
FY23 $1.2B
FY24 $985M
FY25 $829M
Net income +24.6%/yr
FY21 $209M
FY22 $347M
FY23 $481M
FY24 $470M
FY25 $504M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CD Projekt S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OTGLY

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others) — not an editorial selection, not financial advice.

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Gaming & Multimedia stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 24, 2026).

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Frequently asked questions

Is CD Projekt S.A (OTGLY) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.89 versus a price of $15.12 — about −68% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of OTGLY?
Our model-based fair value for CD Projekt S.A is $4.89 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $15.12.
What is the quality score of OTGLY?
CD Projekt S.A has a Quality Score of 57/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of CD Projekt S.A (OTGLY)?
CD Projekt S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.1B (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of OTGLY?
The net profit margin of CD Projekt S.A is about 67.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 67.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does CD Projekt S.A pay a dividend?
CD Projekt S.A currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.46% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 24, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.