Giant Network Group (002558) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · CN · Market cap 46.1B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 22, 2026, revised from ¥16.96 to ¥15.69 (−7.5%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +0.9% over the past month.
A strong business, but screening 47% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 75/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥19.62). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥6.93 – ¥50.77 · fair‑value band ¥11.77 – ¥19.62 · the ¥29.34 price screens above the ¥15.69 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
Analysis
Giant Network Group (002558) currently trades at ¥29.34, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥15.69, implying the stock looks roughly 46.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 75/100 (high quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Giant Network Group generated revenue of 6.7B CNY at a net margin of 37.4%. Revenue grew 221.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 2.0B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥11.77 (bear case) to ¥19.62 (bull case); at ¥29.34, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 49% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -9% fair-value upside, at -47%, 002558 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥35.36) versus Dividend Discount (¥4.64). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 74 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Giant Network Group Co., Ltd. research, develops, operates, and sells online games in China and internationally. The company offers client and mobile games; and mobile Internet products. It is also involved in the development and design of computer hardware and software; technical consulting; as well as technical services for computer hardware and software.
Full company description
Giant Network Group Co., Ltd. research, develops, operates, and sells online games in China and internationally. The company offers client and mobile games; and mobile Internet products. It is also involved in the development and design of computer hardware and software; technical consulting; as well as technical services for computer hardware and software. The company is headquartered in Shanghai, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Giant Network Group reported revenue of ¥5.0B in FY2025 versus ¥2.1B in FY2021, a compound +24.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥1.8B in FY2025, compounding +15.2%/yr from FY2021.
002558 screens 47% overvalued. Compare with NetEase, Inc →
Peer Group
Electronic Gaming & Multimedia · 152 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Gaming & Multimedia median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Electronic Gaming & Multimedia stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NetEase, Inc 9999 | HK$202.60 | HK$192.74 | -5% |
| Electronic Arts Inc EA | $207.27 | $76.57 | -63% |
| Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc TTWO | $237.04 | $60.45 | -74% |
| Roblox Corporation RBLX | $57.07 | $21.20 | -63% |
| Zhejiang Century Huatong Group 002602 | ¥14.04 | ¥14.68 | +5% |
| KRAFTON, Inc 259960 | 240,500 KRW | 395,557 KRW | +64% |
| Kunlun Tech Co 300418 | ¥44.61 | ¥6.87 | -85% |
| International Games System Co 3293 | 704.00 TWD | 568.16 TWD | -19% |
| 37 Interactive Entertainment Network Technology Group 002555 | ¥19.02 | ¥22.29 | +17% |
| Kingnet Network Co 002517 | ¥16.69 | ¥15.15 | -9% |
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Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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