Odfjell Technology Ltd (OTL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Odfjell Technology Ltd NOK 116, price NOK 61.60, upside +88.9%, quality 55 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
54‑month range kr 14.67 – kr 75.20 · fair‑value band kr 66.04 – kr 172.23 · the kr 61.60 price screens below the kr 116.36 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Odfjell Technology Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a supplier of offshore operations, well services technology, and engineering solutions in Norway, the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, Kuwait, Malaysia, rest of Asia, and internationally. It operates through Well Services; Operations; and Projects & Engineering segments.
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Odfjell Technology Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a supplier of offshore operations, well services technology, and engineering solutions in Norway, the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, Kuwait, Malaysia, rest of Asia, and internationally. It operates through Well Services; Operations; and Projects & Engineering segments. The Well Services segment provides casing and tubular running services, including automated and conventional; drilling tool and tubular rental services; and specialist well intervention products and services for exploration wells and production. Its Operations segment engages in the production drilling and well completion on clients' rigs. This segment is also involved in the slot recovery, plug and abandonment, work-overs, and maintenance activities, as well as rig installation services; platform drilling services on fixed and floating production platforms with subsea blowout preventers; and management and performance of services on leased jack-up rigs. The Projects & Engineering segment offers engineering and integrity services, including design and engineering, and building supervision; and project management and operational support for units in operation, newbuild projects, renewal survey / SPS recertification projects, and yard stays. It offers its services to the offshore oil and gas industry. Odfjell Technology Ltd. was founded in 1973 and is headquartered in Aberdeen, the United Kingdom.
Stock analysis
Odfjell Technology Ltd (OTL) currently trades at kr 61.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 116.36, implying the stock looks roughly 47.1% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of kr 232.33 per share, and 23 of the 26 models we run sit above the kr 61.60 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at kr 21.49, and 3 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: kr 66.04 (bear) to kr 172.23 (bull), the price of kr 61.60 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Odfjell Technology Ltd reported revenue of 5.5B NOK in FY2025 versus 2.9B NOK in FY2021, a compound +17.1%/yr. Reported net income was 328M NOK in FY2025, compounding +29.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 2.4B NOK (≈ $255M) · P/E ratio 8.3 · P/S ratio 0.49 · EPS (TTM) kr 7.45 · Dividend yield 7.4% · Net margin 5.9% · Return on equity 24.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −29% fair-value upside, at 89%, OTL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear kr 66.04Fair Value kr 116.36Bull kr 172.23
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (kr 2.12 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.81/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+53.9%
’18
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+27.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+20.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)7.4%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 9%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+19.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.1%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Norway: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +16.8% a year for the price and +1.6% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Drilling · 34 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score55 · Above median
Fair Value upside+89% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)25% · Top 25%
Return on assets6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)7% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth3% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)7.4% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.10× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Drilling median · lower = cheaper
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Is Odfjell Technology Ltd (OTL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 116.36 versus a price of kr 61.60, about +89% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of OTL?
Our model-based fair value for Odfjell Technology Ltd is kr 116.36 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 61.60.
What is the quality score of OTL?
Odfjell Technology Ltd has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Odfjell Technology Ltd (OTL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 116.36 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 66.04, optimistic scenario kr 172.23. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Odfjell Technology Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 116.36, about +89% upside versus a price of kr 61.60 (undervalued). Cautious scenario kr 66.04, optimistic scenario kr 172.23. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Odfjell Technology Ltd (OTL)?
Odfjell Technology Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 5.6B NOK (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Odfjell Technology Ltd pay a dividend?
Odfjell Technology Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.40% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Odfjell Technology Ltd (OTL)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Odfjell Technology Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +19.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +21.5 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of OTL use?
Our models discount Odfjell Technology Ltd at 11.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.75, country premium for Norway. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Odfjell Technology Ltd that is +19.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Odfjell Technology Ltd (OTL) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Odfjell Technology Ltd grew +21.5 % a year. The price currently implies +19.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Odfjell Technology Ltd (OTL) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Odfjell Technology Ltd (+19.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Odfjell Technology Ltd (OTL)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.09 %: that much free cash flow Odfjell Technology Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Odfjell Technology Ltd (OTL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Odfjell Technology Ltd it is kr 116.36 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of kr 61.60. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Odfjell Technology Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, OTL trades below its calculated fair value: price kr 61.60, fair value kr 116.36, a gap of about +89% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OTL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 61.60); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 116.36). For Odfjell Technology Ltd the two are kr 54.76 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Odfjell Technology Ltd worth?
The market values Odfjell Technology Ltd at about 2.4B NOK (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is kr 61.60; our models calculate a fair value of kr 116.36 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OTL?
Our models span a range for Odfjell Technology Ltd: cautious scenario kr 66.04, base kr 116.36, optimistic kr 172.23 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price kr 61.60). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of OTL?
Odfjell Technology Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.3 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of kr 116.36 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.9, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 4.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Odfjell Technology Ltd (OTL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Odfjell Technology Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 24.5%, debt of 1.10 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is OTL from its 52-week high?
Odfjell Technology Ltd trades at kr 61.60, about 18% below its 52-week high of kr 75.20 and 22% above the low of kr 50.45 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 116.36 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Odfjell Technology Ltd?
From the same area (Energy) we also value Noble Corporation, Sinopec Oilfield Service Corporation, Transocean Ltd, Valaris Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Odfjell Technology Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price kr 61.60, calculated fair value kr 116.36 (+89%), Quality Score 55/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OTL calculated?
We run Odfjell Technology Ltd through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 116.36, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Odfjell Technology Ltd currently trades 89 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Odfjell Technology Ltd (OTL)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was kr 61.60. Our model-based fair value is kr 116.36, about +89% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Odfjell Technology Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (kr 66.04). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The model range is unusually wide (kr 66.04 to kr 172.23). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid quality (55/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Odfjell Technology Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Odfjell Technology Ltd (OTL)?
The market capitalisation of Odfjell Technology Ltd is 2.4B NOK (≈ $255M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Odfjell Technology Ltd (OTL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Odfjell Technology Ltd is 0.49 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Odfjell Technology Ltd (OTL)?
Earnings per share at Odfjell Technology Ltd are kr 7.45 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Odfjell Technology Ltd (OTL)?
The dividend yield of Odfjell Technology Ltd is 7.4% (payout 61.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Odfjell Technology Ltd (OTL)?
The net margin of Odfjell Technology Ltd is 5.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Odfjell Technology Ltd (OTL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Odfjell Technology Ltd is 24.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Odfjell Technology Ltd (OTL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Odfjell Technology Ltd is 10.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Odfjell Technology Ltd (OTL)?
The operating margin of Odfjell Technology Ltd is 7.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Odfjell Technology Ltd (OTL)?
Revenue at Odfjell Technology Ltd is growing +3.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +12.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Odfjell Technology Ltd (OTL)?
Earnings per share at Odfjell Technology Ltd are growing −37.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Odfjell Technology Ltd (OTL) carry?
The net debt of Odfjell Technology Ltd is 697M NOK (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 5.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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