OPTiM Corporation (OTPMF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of OPTiM Corporation $3.15, price $4.42, upside -28.7%, quality 55 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $4.42 – $31.05 · fair‑value band $1.69 – $4.23 · the $4.42 price screens above the $3.15 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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OPTiM Corporation provides IoT platform, remote management, support, and other services in Japan. The company offers AI services, including OPTiM artificial intelligence (AI) Camera, an image analysis service, as well as OPTiM Physical Security service.
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OPTiM Corporation provides IoT platform, remote management, support, and other services in Japan. The company offers AI services, including OPTiM artificial intelligence (AI) Camera, an image analysis service, as well as OPTiM Physical Security service. It also operates OPTiM Store, a platform to create business app marketplace; and OPTiM Cloud IoT OS, a platform which provides management services for various devices in IoT network. In addition, the company offers Optimal Biz, which allows an IT administrator to manage IT devices in an office; Optimal Biz Secure Shield; Optimal Remote, a support tool to provide support and reduce diagnostic time, as well as a maintenance tool to control terminals located in distant places; and Optimal Second Sight, a solution for live video to be shared through a smart glass, smartphone, or tablet. Further, it provides support services, which include Optimal Diagnosis and Repair, a tool to find and repair troubles on smartphones, tablets, PCs, and routers on the network; Optimal Setup, a technology that automatically setup routers, which are available for telecommunication carriers; and Optimal Guard to prevent spoofing and information leakage by detecting, stopping, and deleting malicious executable files. Additionally, the company engages in the smart agriculture business, as well as develops and sells cloud CRM. OPTiM Corporation was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Stock analysis
OPTiM Corporation (OTPMF) currently trades at $4.42, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.15, implying the stock looks roughly 40.3% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $3.41 per share, and 4 of the 24 models we run sit above the $4.42 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $0.6840, and 20 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $1.69 (bear) to $4.23 (bull), the price of $4.42 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
OPTiM Corporation reported revenue of ¥10.6B in FY2025 versus ¥7.5B in FY2021, a compound +8.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥1.2B in FY2025, compounding −1.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $245M · P/E ratio 36.8 · P/S ratio 4.10 · EPS (TTM) $0.1200 · Net margin 11.1% · Return on equity 0.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 21.8% · Operating margin 18.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 53 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −22% fair-value upside, at −29%, OTPMF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $1.69Fair Value $3.15Bull $4.23
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.1200 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.66/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +17.3% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+58.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+58.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.58.7% vs 17.0%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 19%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+41.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in JPY, Japan: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +38.1% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Infrastructure · 376 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score55 · Above median
Fair Value upside−28.7% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)0.3% · Below median
Return on assets1.7% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)0.1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)18.1% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−6.2% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)36.8× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)0.04× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF0.5× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 21
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 52
PAST (return on equity)1· sector 20
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 34
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "OPTiM Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OTPMF
Frequently asked questions
Is OPTiM Corporation (OTPMF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.15 versus a price of $4.42, about −29% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of OTPMF?
Our model-based fair value for OPTiM Corporation is $3.15 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $4.42.
What is the quality score of OTPMF?
OPTiM Corporation has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for OPTiM Corporation (OTPMF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $3.15 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.69, optimistic scenario $4.23. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the OPTiM Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $3.15, about −29% upside versus a price of $4.42 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $1.69, optimistic scenario $4.23. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of OPTiM Corporation (OTPMF)?
OPTiM Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥5.6B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into OPTiM Corporation (OTPMF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, OPTiM Corporation would have to grow free cash flow by +41.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +9.5 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of OTPMF use?
Our models discount OPTiM Corporation at 11.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.57, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For OPTiM Corporation that is +41.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has OPTiM Corporation (OTPMF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at OPTiM Corporation grew +9.5 % a year. The price currently implies +41.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of OPTiM Corporation (OTPMF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into OPTiM Corporation (+41.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of OPTiM Corporation (OTPMF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.22 %: that much free cash flow OPTiM Corporation produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of OPTiM Corporation (OTPMF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For OPTiM Corporation it is $3.15 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $4.42. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is OPTiM Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, OTPMF trades above its calculated fair value: price $4.42, fair value $3.15, a gap of about −29% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OTPMF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($4.42); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($3.15). For OPTiM Corporation the two are $1.27 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is OPTiM Corporation worth?
The market values OPTiM Corporation at about $245M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $4.42; our models calculate a fair value of $3.15 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OTPMF?
Our models span a range for OPTiM Corporation: cautious scenario $1.69, base $3.15, optimistic $4.23 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $4.42). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of OTPMF?
OPTiM Corporation trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 36.8 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $3.15 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/S 0.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of OPTiM Corporation (OTPMF)?
Balance-sheet figures for OPTiM Corporation (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 0.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is OTPMF from its 52-week high?
OPTiM Corporation trades at $4.42, at its 52-week high of $4.42 and at the low of $4.42 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $3.15 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to OPTiM Corporation?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Microsoft Corporation, Palantir Technologies Inc, Oracle Corporation, CrowdStrike Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is OPTiM Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $4.42, calculated fair value $3.15 (−29%), Quality Score 55/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OTPMF calculated?
We run OPTiM Corporation through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $3.15, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. OPTiM Corporation itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of OPTiM Corporation (OTPMF)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was $4.42. Our model-based fair value is $3.15, about −29% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with OPTiM Corporation right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($4.23). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($1.69 to $4.23) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of OPTiM Corporation (OTPMF) come from?
Earnings per share at OPTiM Corporation grew +20.7 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +18.1 %, EBIT margin +1.6 %, tax rate +0.8 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of OPTiM Corporation
How large is the market capitalisation of OPTiM Corporation (OTPMF)?
The market capitalisation of OPTiM Corporation is $245M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of OPTiM Corporation (OTPMF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of OPTiM Corporation is 4.10 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of OPTiM Corporation (OTPMF)?
Earnings per share at OPTiM Corporation are $0.1200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 36.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of OPTiM Corporation (OTPMF)?
The net margin of OPTiM Corporation is 11.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of OPTiM Corporation (OTPMF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of OPTiM Corporation is 0.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of OPTiM Corporation (OTPMF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of OPTiM Corporation is 21.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of OPTiM Corporation (OTPMF)?
The operating margin of OPTiM Corporation is 18.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at OPTiM Corporation (OTPMF)?
Revenue at OPTiM Corporation is growing −6.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at OPTiM Corporation (OTPMF)?
Earnings per share at OPTiM Corporation are growing −18.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does OPTiM Corporation (OTPMF) hold?
OPTiM Corporation holds more cash than debt, ¥1.7B net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Sep 24, 2026