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Otto Energy Limited (OTTEF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 29, 2026: fair value of Otto Energy Limited $0.01, price $0.01, upside +4.5%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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OE
Thin data
Oct 2, 2026
Thin data
Oct 2, 2026
Otto Energy Limited
OTTEF · USNeutralThe stock looks roughly fairly valued with average quality.
·Fair value $0.0057 · Fairly valued (+4.5%)
!Quality 59/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −7.2 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 48.6% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Moderate moat 55/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0008 – $3.03 · the $0.0055 price screens below the $0.0057 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
Company profile
Otto Energy Limited operates as an oil and gas exploration, production, and sales company in North America. The company was formerly known as Ottoman Energy Limited and changed its name to Otto Energy Limited in August 2006. The company was incorporated in 2004 and is based in Adelaide, Australia
Stock analysis
Otto Energy Limited (OTTEF) currently trades at $0.0055, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0057, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 4.3%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of $0.0200 per share, and 7 of the 7 models we run sit above the $0.0055 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $0.0100, and 0 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Otto Energy Limited reported revenue of $23.6M in FY2025 versus $40.4M in FY2021, a compound −12.5%/yr. Reported net income was $1.1M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $31.2M · P/S ratio 2.21 · Net margin 4.8% · Return on equity 21.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 13.8% · Operating margin 12.3% · Revenue (TTM) $14.1M · Revenue growth (YoY) −17.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 26 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 62% below its 52-week high and 588% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 5%, OTTEF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.0057
Fair Value $0.0057
Bull $0.0057
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income
$0.0100
$0.0100
$0.0100
74
Growth-Adj P/E
$0.0100
$0.0100
$0.0100
66
DDM Multi-Stage
$0.0100
$0.0200
$0.0300
63
All 8 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
n/a
$0.0100
$0.0200
57
Lynch FV
$0.0100
$0.0100
$0.0100
60
PEG = 1.0
$0.0100
$0.0100
$0.0100
56
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$0.0100
$0.0200
$0.0400
62
DDM Multi-Stage
$0.0100
$0.0200
$0.0300
63
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
n/a
n/a
$0.0100
51
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$0.0100
$0.0100
$0.0100
74
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$0.0100
$0.0100
$0.0100
66
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
59/100
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35
Profitability
34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
28
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
74
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
10
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
9/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−23.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−26.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+35.8%
’12
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’14
’16
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−59.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−59.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−23% → −7%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 17.7%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 284 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Energy sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Energy
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Oil & gas
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ConocoPhillips explores for, COP | $127.06 | $91.42 | −28% |
| CNOOC Limited 0883 | HK$23.40 | HK$39.91 | +71% |
| Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ | $47.55 | $52.31 | +10% |
| EOG Resources, Inc EOG | $137.76 | $165.02 | +20% |
| Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY | $57.84 | $33.18 | −43% |
| Devon Energy Corporation DVN | $46.73 | $51.40 | +10% |
| Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG | $185.23 | $243.76 | +32% |
| Woodside Energy Group WDS | A$31.48 | A$23.87 | −24% |
| EQT Corporation EQT | $50.09 | $55.10 | +10% |
| Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL | $336.46 | $317.06 | −6% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Otto Energy Limited (OTTEF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0057 versus a price of $0.0055, about +5% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of OTTEF?
Our model-based fair value for Otto Energy Limited is $0.0057 (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.0055.
What is the quality score of OTTEF?
Otto Energy Limited has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Otto Energy Limited (OTTEF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0057 (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 8 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Otto Energy Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0057, about +5% upside versus a price of $0.0055 (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Otto Energy Limited (OTTEF)?
Otto Energy Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $14.1M (latest available figure, as of Oct 2, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Otto Energy Limited (OTTEF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Otto Energy Limited it is $0.0057 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of $0.0055. It is the blended result of 8 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Otto Energy Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, OTTEF trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.0055, fair value $0.0057, a gap of about +5% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OTTEF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.0055); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0057). For Otto Energy Limited the two are $0.0002 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Otto Energy Limited worth?
The market values Otto Energy Limited at about $31.2M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is $0.0055; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0057 per share.
How solid is the balance sheet of Otto Energy Limited (OTTEF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Otto Energy Limited (as of Oct 2, 2026): return on equity 21.0%, debt of 0.06 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is OTTEF from its 52-week high?
Otto Energy Limited trades at $0.0055, about 62% below its 52-week high of $0.0144 and 588% above the low of $0.0008 (as of Sep 29, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.0057 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Otto Energy Limited?
From the same area (Energy) we also value ConocoPhillips explores for,, CNOOC Limited, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Otto Energy Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price $0.0055, calculated fair value $0.0057 (+5%), Quality Score 59/100, from 8 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OTTEF calculated?
We run Otto Energy Limited through 8 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.0057, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Otto Energy Limited currently trades 4 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Otto Energy Limited (OTTEF)?
The closing price on Sep 29, 2026 was $0.0055. Our model-based fair value is $0.0057, about +5% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Otto Energy Limited right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.0057). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Otto Energy Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Otto Energy Limited (OTTEF)?
The market capitalisation of Otto Energy Limited is $31.2M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Otto Energy Limited (OTTEF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Otto Energy Limited is 2.21 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Otto Energy Limited (OTTEF)?
The net margin of Otto Energy Limited is 4.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Otto Energy Limited (OTTEF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Otto Energy Limited is 21.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Otto Energy Limited (OTTEF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Otto Energy Limited is 13.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Otto Energy Limited (OTTEF)?
The operating margin of Otto Energy Limited is 12.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Otto Energy Limited (OTTEF)?
Revenue at Otto Energy Limited is growing −17.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −26.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Otto Energy Limited (OTTEF)?
Earnings per share at Otto Energy Limited are growing +57.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Otto Energy Limited (OTTEF) generate?
The free cash flow of Otto Energy Limited is −$3.8M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Otto Energy Limited (OTTEF) hold?
Otto Energy Limited holds more cash than debt, $22.6M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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