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OVH Groupe S.A (OVHFF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 28, 2026: fair value of OVH Groupe S.A $1.80, price $19.59, upside -90.8%, quality 43 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Technology · US

OG OVH Groupe S.A logo Thin data Sep 24, 2026

OVH Groupe S.A

OVHFF · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $1.80 · Strongly overvalued (−90.8%)
!Quality 43/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +11.3 %/yr)
!Loss over the last twelve months · -0.1% net margin (TTM) · fiscal year 2025 0.0%
!High debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/11)
!Narrow moat 31/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range $0.3600 to $3.76
!Weak on future: 10 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$29.15 $6.40 Fair Value $1.80 Jan 2022 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

57‑month range $6.40 – $29.15 · fair‑value band $0.3600 – $3.76 · the $19.59 price screens above the $1.80 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

OVH Groupe S.A. provides public and private cloud, shared hosting, and dedicated server products and solutions worldwide. The company operates through Private Cloud, Public Cloud, and Web Cloud & Other segments.

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OVH Groupe S.A. provides public and private cloud, shared hosting, and dedicated server products and solutions worldwide. The company operates through Private Cloud, Public Cloud, and Web Cloud & Other segments. It offers Bare Metal Cloud that provides dedicated servers; Hosted Private Cloud, which offers servers fully managed by OVHcloud, such as operating system and the virtualization layer; Public Cloud that provides cloud computing services on shared servers; and web cloud services. In addition, the company offers website hosting, domain name registration, telephony, and internet access services, as well as voice over internet protocol solutions. Further, it provides computing performance, storage, and network capabilities. OVH Groupe S.A. was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Roubaix, France.

Stock analysis

OVH Groupe S.A (OVHFF) currently trades at $19.59, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.80, 90.8% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $6.57 per share, and 3 of the 21 models we run sit above the $19.59 price.

Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at $5.63, and 18 of the 21 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $0.3600 (bear) to $3.76 (bull), the price of $19.59 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

OVH Groupe S.A reported revenue of €1.1B in FY2025 versus €663M in FY2021, a compound +13.0%/yr. Reported net income was €399K in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $3.2B · P/S ratio 2.65 · Net margin 0.0% · Return on equity −2.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.9% · Operating margin 6.6% · Revenue (TTM) €1.1B · Revenue growth (YoY) +1.9%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 129% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −91%, OVHFF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely ($0.0300 to $53.90). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear $0.3600 Fair Value $1.80 Bull $3.76
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $1.73 $6.57 $14.51 72
5Y EBITDA Exit $24.05 $52.01 $87.39 72
Growth DCF $1.69 $6.13 $13.16 71
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $1.73 $6.57 $14.51 72
5Y Revenue Exit $1.27 $5.72 $11.70 66
5Y EBITDA Exit $24.05 $52.01 $87.39 72
10Y Revenue Exit $1.17 $5.37 $11.66 60
10Y EBITDA Exit $16.05 $38.26 $72.73 64
10Y P/E Exit n/a n/a $0.7500 61
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.0200 $0.0900 $0.1200 64
Lynch FV $0.0200 $0.0300 $0.0400 61
PEG = 1.0 $0.0200 $0.0300 $0.0400 57
EPV $0.5400 $1.40 $2.14 69
Multiples
P/E Multiple $0.0600 $0.0800 $0.1100 62
P/S Multiple $0.0400 $0.0500 $0.0600 58
P/B Multiple $0.0400 $0.0500 $0.0600 55
EV/EBIT $7.08 $11.07 $15.07 65
EV/EBITDA $39.20 $53.90 $68.60 67
EV/Revenue $1.15 $3.75 $6.35 49
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.1100 $0.1400 $0.2100 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $1.69 $6.13 $13.16 71
Rev-Margin DCF $1.27 $5.63 $11.18 66
Economic Profit
Residual Income $0.1500 $0.1400 $0.1300 71
ROIC Compounder $0.6900 $2.47 $4.83 65
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $0.0500 $0.0700 $0.0800 68

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70

Profitability 21
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 55
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 10
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 48
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 25
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 85
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 95
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+9.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.3%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
4.8% (2020) → 8.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+68.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+6.1%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in EUR, euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +65.0% a year for the price and +3.9% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+6.9%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+6.9%
Projected 2028 (sales)+6.3%
Projected 2029 (sales)+5.7%
Projected 2030 (sales)+5.0%

OVHFF screens overvalued: fair value 91% below the price. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Infrastructure · 358 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 43 · Below median
Fair Value upside −82.9% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 2.2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) −0.1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 6.6% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 1.9% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 24.66× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 2.93× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 294.9× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 12.8× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 25
FUTURE (revenue growth)10 · sector 59
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 23
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 34

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Oracle Corporation ORCL $137.30 $112.26 −18%
CrowdStrike Holdings CRWD $264.75 $37.31 −86%
Fortinet, Inc FTNT $176.33 $164.68 −7%
Synopsys, Inc SNPS $434.94 $249.20 −43%
CoreWeave, Inc CRWV $87.12 $58.32 −33%
Block, Inc XYZ $74.04 $76.95 +4%
NetApp, Inc NTAP $204.41 $157.26 −23%
Okta, Inc OKTA $202.18 $142.12 −30%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "OVH Groupe S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OVHFF

Frequently asked questions

Is OVH Groupe S.A (OVHFF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.80 versus a price of $19.59, about −91% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of OVHFF?
Our model-based fair value for OVH Groupe S.A is $1.80 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $19.59.
What is the quality score of OVHFF?
OVH Groupe S.A has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for OVH Groupe S.A (OVHFF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.80 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.3600, optimistic scenario $3.76. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the OVH Groupe S.A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.80, about −91% upside versus a price of $19.59 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.3600, optimistic scenario $3.76. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of OVH Groupe S.A (OVHFF)?
OVH Groupe S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €1.1B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into OVH Groupe S.A (OVHFF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, OVH Groupe S.A would have to grow free cash flow by +68.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +11.4 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of OVHFF use?
Our models discount OVH Groupe S.A at 10.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.14, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For OVH Groupe S.A that is +68.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has OVH Groupe S.A (OVHFF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at OVH Groupe S.A grew +11.4 % a year. The price currently implies +68.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of OVH Groupe S.A (OVHFF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into OVH Groupe S.A (+68.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of OVH Groupe S.A (OVHFF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.38 %: that much free cash flow OVH Groupe S.A produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of OVH Groupe S.A (OVHFF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For OVH Groupe S.A it is $1.80 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $19.59. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is OVH Groupe S.A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, OVHFF trades above its calculated fair value: price $19.59, fair value $1.80, a gap of about −91% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OVHFF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($19.59); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.80). For OVH Groupe S.A the two are $17.79 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is OVH Groupe S.A worth?
The market values OVH Groupe S.A at about $3.2B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $19.59; our models calculate a fair value of $1.80 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OVHFF?
Our models span a range for OVH Groupe S.A: cautious scenario $0.3600, base $1.80, optimistic $3.76 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $19.59). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of OVH Groupe S.A (OVHFF)?
Balance-sheet figures for OVH Groupe S.A (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −2.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is OVHFF from its 52-week high?
OVH Groupe S.A trades at $19.59, about 4% below its 52-week high of $20.35 and 129% above the low of $8.56 (as of Sep 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.80 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to OVH Groupe S.A?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Microsoft Corporation, Palantir Technologies Inc, Oracle Corporation, CrowdStrike Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is OVH Groupe S.A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $19.59, calculated fair value $1.80 (−91%), Quality Score 43/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OVHFF calculated?
We run OVH Groupe S.A through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.80, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. OVH Groupe S.A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of OVH Groupe S.A (OVHFF)?
The closing price on Sep 28, 2026 was $19.59. Our model-based fair value is $1.80, about −91% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with OVH Groupe S.A right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($3.76). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide ($0.3600 to $3.76). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of OVH Groupe S.A

How large is the market capitalisation of OVH Groupe S.A (OVHFF)?
The market capitalisation of OVH Groupe S.A is $3.2B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of OVH Groupe S.A (OVHFF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of OVH Groupe S.A is 2.65 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of OVH Groupe S.A (OVHFF)?
The net margin of OVH Groupe S.A is 0.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of OVH Groupe S.A (OVHFF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of OVH Groupe S.A is −2.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of OVH Groupe S.A (OVHFF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of OVH Groupe S.A is 0.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of OVH Groupe S.A (OVHFF)?
The operating margin of OVH Groupe S.A is 6.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at OVH Groupe S.A (OVHFF)?
Revenue at OVH Groupe S.A is growing +1.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +11.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does OVH Groupe S.A (OVHFF) carry?
The net debt of OVH Groupe S.A is €1.5B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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