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Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS (OYYAT) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Financial Services · TR · ISIN TREOYMD00017

OY Thin data Sep 13, 2026

Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS

OYYAT · IS

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

Fair value 66.92 TRY · Strongly undervalued (+99%)
!Quality 63/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +9.2 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 7.2% net margin (TTM)
Low debt · generates free cash flow
·11.21% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/14)
Wide moat 67/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

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Price vs Fair Value

69.29 TRY 5.95 TRY Fair Value 66.92 TRY Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 5.95 TRY – 69.29 TRY · fair‑value band 50.19 TRY – 93.12 TRY · the 33.66 TRY price screens below the 66.92 TRY fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler A.S., together with its subsidiaries, provides research, brokerage, portfolio management, corporate finance, and fund operation services for the capital market instruments in Turkey.

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Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler A.S., together with its subsidiaries, provides research, brokerage, portfolio management, corporate finance, and fund operation services for the capital market instruments in Turkey. The company offers daily bulletin, technical bulletin, valuation chart, company reports, sector reports, strategy reports, stock recommendations, and macro reports; and stock exchange brokerage, fixed income securities, BIST futures and options market transactions, over the counter derivatives transactions, and investment funds transactions. It also provides portfolio management and investment advisory services; mergers and acquisitions, configurating debt/stock, initial public offering, debt instrument issuing, and financial consulting; and fund operation services. In addition, the company provides insurance brokerage services. The company serves finance, insurance, energy, telecommunications, food, fertilizer, mining, port, real estate, retail, media, iron and steel, cement, logistics, and chemistry sectors. The company was incorporated in 1982 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey.

Stock analysis

Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS (OYYAT) currently trades at 33.66 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 66.92 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 49.7% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 174.45 TRY per share, and 9 of the 12 models we run sit above the 33.66 TRY price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 27.13 TRY, and 3 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 50.19 TRY (bear) to 93.12 TRY (bull), the price of 33.66 TRY sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS reported revenue of 30.7B TRY in FY2025 versus 40.7B TRY in FY2021, a compound −6.8%/yr. Reported net income was 2.3B TRY in FY2025, compounding +54.1%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 10.1B TRY (≈ $208M) · P/E ratio 4.8 · P/S ratio 0.35 · EPS (TTM) 7.04 TRY · Dividend yield 11.2% · Net margin 7.4% · Return on equity 18.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 27.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 55 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −26% fair-value upside, at 99%, OYYAT screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 50.19 TRY Fair Value 66.92 TRY Bull 93.12 TRY
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (2.31 TRY per share) are deliberately not added. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 127.76 TRY 174.45 TRY 235.37 TRY 77
Owner Earnings 83.35 TRY 116.86 TRY 162.54 TRY 75
Rev-Margin DCF 131.88 TRY 201.86 TRY 276.60 TRY 70
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 83.35 TRY 116.86 TRY 162.54 TRY 75
5Y P/E Exit 88.43 TRY 123.50 TRY 157.84 TRY 69
10Y P/E Exit 101.36 TRY 132.89 TRY 167.10 TRY 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 51.41 TRY 119.61 TRY 153.73 TRY 63
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 0.1600 TRY 0.2600 TRY 0.3800 TRY 65
DDM Multi-Stage 0.1600 TRY 0.2300 TRY 0.3100 TRY 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple 73.72 TRY 98.29 TRY 122.86 TRY 63
P/B Multiple 42.51 TRY 56.68 TRY 70.85 TRY 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 20.24 TRY 27.13 TRY 40.49 TRY 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 127.76 TRY 174.45 TRY 235.37 TRY 77
Rev-Margin DCF 131.88 TRY 201.86 TRY 276.60 TRY 70
Economic Profit
Residual Income 48.59 TRY 68.44 TRY 311.95 TRY 61

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27

Profitability 72
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 52
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 70
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 47
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 61
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 14
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 12
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 78/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−9.8%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.6%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.2%
Revenue growth 7 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.9%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TRY What the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TRY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
≈ +85.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+74.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)11.2%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.1% → 25%
⚠ Approximate: the rate leans on 2025, which sits 102% above its own trend.

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes This turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−9.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Capital Markets · 460 stocks

Beats the industry median on 11/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 61 · Above median
Fair Value upside +96% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Return on assets 11% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 23% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −26% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 11.2% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 4.8× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 0.82× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.38× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 6.5× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 23
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 88
PAST (return on equity)73 · sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 39

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company, MS $214.38 $185.57 −13%
The Goldman Sachs Group GS $1,029 $756.89 −26%
The Charles Schwab Corporation SCHW $107.25 $102.31 −5%
Interactive Brokers Group IBKR $91.37 $22.69 −75%
Robinhood Markets, Inc HOOD $112.57 $47.18 −58%
Macquarie Group MQG A$245.25 A$75.58 −69%
CITIC Securities Company 600030 ¥26.92 ¥17.68 −34%
Guotai Haitong Securities Co 601211 ¥17.32 ¥18.62 +8%
East Money Information Co 300059 ¥18.31 ¥4.77 −74%
CSC Financial Co 601066 ¥23.76 ¥35.84 +51%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OYYAT

Frequently asked questions

Is Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS (OYYAT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 66.92 TRY versus a price of 33.66 TRY, about +99% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of OYYAT?
Our model-based fair value for Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS is 66.92 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 33.66 TRY.
What is the quality score of OYYAT?
Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS (OYYAT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 66.92 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario 50.19 TRY, optimistic scenario 93.12 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 66.92 TRY, about +99% upside versus a price of 33.66 TRY (undervalued). Cautious scenario 50.19 TRY, optimistic scenario 93.12 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS (OYYAT)?
Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 26.2B TRY (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS pay a dividend?
Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS currently shows a dividend yield of about 11.21% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS (OYYAT)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS would have to grow free cash flow by -9.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 15.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +9.2 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of OYYAT use?
Our models discount Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS at 15.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.04, country premium for Turkey. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS that is -9.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (15.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS (OYYAT) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS grew +9.2 % a year. The price currently implies -9.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS (OYYAT) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS (-9.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS (OYYAT)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 36.42 %: that much free cash flow Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (15.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS (OYYAT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS it is 66.92 TRY per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 33.66 TRY. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, OYYAT trades below its calculated fair value: price 33.66 TRY, fair value 66.92 TRY, a gap of about +99% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OYYAT?
No. The price is what the market pays today (33.66 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (66.92 TRY). For Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS the two are 33.26 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS worth?
The market values Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS at about 10.1B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 33.66 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 66.92 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OYYAT?
Our models span a range for Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS: cautious scenario 50.19 TRY, base 66.92 TRY, optimistic 93.12 TRY per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 33.66 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of OYYAT?
Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 4.8 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 66.92 TRY is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.8, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 6.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS (OYYAT)?
Balance-sheet figures for Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 18.1%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 63/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is OYYAT from its 52-week high?
Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS trades at 33.66 TRY, about 53% below its 52-week high of 71.16 TRY and 5% above the low of 31.94 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 66.92 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company,, The Goldman Sachs Group, The Charles Schwab Corporation, Interactive Brokers Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 33.66 TRY, calculated fair value 66.92 TRY (+99%), Quality Score 63/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OYYAT calculated?
We run Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 66.92 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.6 % above its aggregate fair value. Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS currently trades 99 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS (OYYAT)?
The closing price on Sep 15, 2026 was 33.66 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 66.92 TRY, about +99% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (50.19 TRY). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (63/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (50.19 TRY to 93.12 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS

How large is the market capitalisation of Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS (OYYAT)?
The market capitalisation of Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS is 10.1B TRY (≈ $208M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS (OYYAT)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS is 0.35 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS (OYYAT)?
Earnings per share at Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS are 7.04 TRY (price ÷ EPS = P/E 4.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS (OYYAT)?
The dividend yield of Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS is 11.2% (payout 53.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS (OYYAT)?
The net margin of Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS is 7.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS (OYYAT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS is 18.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS (OYYAT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS is 27.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS (OYYAT)?
The operating margin of Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS is 23.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS (OYYAT)?
Revenue at Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS is growing −26.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS (OYYAT)?
Earnings per share at Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS are growing +204% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS (OYYAT) carry?
The net debt of Oyak Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS is 5.9B TRY (fiscal year 2023, ≈ 1.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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