Papilon Savunma Teknoloji ve Ticaret A.S. (PAPIL) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · TR · Market cap 2.4B TRY
Fair value as of: Aug 1, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated today
Share price −25.5% over the past month.
What matters now
- Weak quality (29/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- A fairly wide model range (8.55 TRY to 17.10 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range 11.53 TRY – 20.72 TRY · fair‑value band 8.55 TRY – 17.10 TRY · the 11.57 TRY price screens above the 8.55 TRY fair value. As of Aug 1, 2026.
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Papilon Savunma Teknoloji ve Ticaret A.S. (PAPIL) currently trades at 11.57 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 8.55 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 26.1% overvalued today. We read business quality at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Papilon Savunma Teknoloji ve Ticaret A.S. generated revenue of 99.8M TRY at a net margin of 2.8%. It earns a return on equity of 0.6%. Net debt stands at 115M TRY. Fundamentals as of Aug 1, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 8.55 TRY (bear case) to 17.10 TRY (bull case); at 11.57 TRY, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 60% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -26%, PAPIL screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 1, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Papilon Savunma Teknoloji ve Ticaret A.S. manufactures and sells biometric devices and systems in Turkey. It offers fingerprint scanners, palm scanners, access control systems, biometric workstations, facial and iris recognition, mobile devices, and identification systems, as well as platform for virtual reality and private commercial organizations; and …
Full company description
Papilon Savunma Teknoloji ve Ticaret A.S. manufactures and sells biometric devices and systems in Turkey. It offers fingerprint scanners, palm scanners, access control systems, biometric workstations, facial and iris recognition, mobile devices, and identification systems, as well as platform for virtual reality and private commercial organizations; and construction of value-added holistic systems. The company also provides construction, maintenance, and repair services. It serves government, law enforcement, finance and telco, health, media and marketing, facility and workforce management, travel and transportation, retail and E-services, and agriculture. The company was incorporated in 2012 and is based in Ankara, Turkey.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Papilon Savunma Teknoloji ve Ticaret A.S. reported revenue of 138M TRY in FY2025 versus 29.4M TRY in FY2021, a compound +47.1%/yr. Reported net income was −89.3M TRY in FY2025.
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Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Building Products & Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 1, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trane Technologies plc TT | $456.84 | $192.91 | -58% |
| Johnson Controls International plc JCI | $139.36 | $41.08 | -71% |
| Carrier Global Corporation CARR | $67.97 | $16.28 | -76% |
| Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A CODGF | $91.30 | $94.11 | +3% |
| Daikin Industries,Ltd. DKILF | $148.97 | $132.61 | -11% |
| Geberit AG GBERF | $661.46 | $380.35 | -42% |
| Lennox International Inc LII | $536.04 | $297.27 | -45% |
| Kingspan Group KRX | €87.30 | €70.76 | -19% |
| Masco Corporation MAS | 1,559 MXN | 813.31 MXN | -48% |
| BELIMO Holding BLMOY | $11.78 | $3.43 | -71% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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