Padtec Holding (PDTC3) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · BR · Market cap R$161M
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
A solid business, screening 12% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- A fairly wide model range (R$1.12 to R$2.19) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Our model range runs from R$1.12 (bear) to R$2.19 (bull), base R$1.75. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 54/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range R$0.9600 – R$8.82 · fair‑value band R$1.12 – R$2.19 · the R$1.56 price screens below the R$1.75 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Padtec Holding (PDTC3) currently trades at R$1.56, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$1.75, implying the stock looks roughly 12.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Padtec Holding generated revenue of R$289M at a net margin of 5.1%. Revenue declined 4.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.1%. Net debt stands at R$222M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from R$1.12 (bear case) to R$2.19 (bull case); at R$1.56, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 68% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -61% fair-value upside, at 12%, PDTC3 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 22 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (R$3.95) versus Asset-Based (R$1.14). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Padtec Holding S.A. provides equipment/DWDM and services, and software and platforms. It offers network maintenance and management; characterization; SPaaS; fiber monitoring; and training services. The company also provides transceivers, lightpads, switches and routers, standalone, and DCI generation products, as well as digital solutions.
Full company description
Padtec Holding S.A. provides equipment/DWDM and services, and software and platforms. It offers network maintenance and management; characterization; SPaaS; fiber monitoring; and training services. The company also provides transceivers, lightpads, switches and routers, standalone, and DCI generation products, as well as digital solutions. It offers its products and services to regional operators, internet and telecommunications providers, datacenters, network operators, IT and multimedia, government, utilities and integrators, finance, and research networks. The company was formerly known as Ideiasnet S.A. Padtec Holding S.A. was founded in 2001 and is based in Campinas, Brazil.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Padtec Holding reported revenue of R$292M in FY2025 versus R$344M in FY2021, a compound −4.0%/yr. Reported net income was R$7.0M in FY2025, compounding −13.2%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Communication Equipment · 286 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Communication Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cisco Systems, Inc CSCO | $119.25 | $43.05 | -64% |
| Zhongji Innolight Co 300308 | ¥1,094 | ¥171.09 | -84% |
| Foxconn Industrial Internet Co 601138 | ¥56.50 | ¥28.65 | -49% |
| Eoptolink Technology Inc 300502 | ¥482.88 | ¥155.05 | -68% |
| Nokia Oyj NOK | $11.25 | $2.67 | -76% |
| Motorola Solutions, Inc MSI | $413.31 | $190.43 | -54% |
| Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co 300394 | ¥244.13 | ¥32.04 | -87% |
| Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ), ERIC | $11.72 | $15.96 | +36% |
| Accton Technology Corporation 2345 | 2,090 TWD | 846.28 TWD | -60% |
| ZTE Corporation 000063 | ¥40.00 | ¥15.75 | -61% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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