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PTT Exploration and Production Public Company (PEXNY) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · US · Market cap $19.6B

PE PTT Exploration and Production Public Company logo PTT Exploration and Production Public Company PEXNY · US
Price$8.21
Fair Value$10.46
Upside+27.4%
Quality55/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 19.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
6.57% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/14)
Moderate moat 56/100
Evidence: High Range $7.15 – $14.51 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from $10.57 to $10.46 (−1.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +8.0% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 27% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (55/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range ($7.15 to $14.51) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$35.83 $1.38 Fair Value $10.46 Oct 2015 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.38 – $35.83 · fair‑value band $7.15 – $14.51 · the $8.21 price screens below the $10.46 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

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Analysis

PTT Exploration and Production Public Company (PEXNY) currently trades at $8.21, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $10.46, implying the stock looks roughly 27.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, PTT Exploration and Production Public Company generated revenue of $8.9B at a net margin of 19.4%. Revenue grew 14.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.8%. Net debt stands at $53.7B. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $7.15 (bear case) to $14.51 (bull case); at $8.21, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 82% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at 27%, PEXNY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $5.13 $7.46 $10.72 80
Rev-Margin DCF $3.88 $5.94 $8.23 74
ROIC Compounder $7.69 $9.33 $11.57 72
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $5.01 $7.58 $11.36 38
Owner Earnings $5.90 $8.91 $13.35 31
5Y Revenue Exit $3.88 $5.89 $8.36 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $9.47 $16.07 $23.64 41
5Y P/E Exit $7.43 $12.34 $17.38 38
10Y Revenue Exit $4.14 $6.04 $8.43 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $7.77 $13.01 $19.82 37
10Y P/E Exit $6.49 $10.46 $15.15 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $6.55 $17.79 $23.31 54
Lynch FV $3.50 $5.00 $6.50 50
PEG = 1.0 $3.50 $5.00 $6.50 46
EPV $7.69 $9.00 $10.14 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $10.12 $13.49 $16.86 63
P/S Multiple $3.88 $5.18 $6.47 58
P/B Multiple $11.21 $14.94 $18.68 55
EV/EBIT $11.28 $15.09 $18.90 53
EV/EBITDA $13.55 $18.12 $22.69 54
EV/Revenue $3.46 $5.02 $6.57 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $4.15 $5.56 $8.30 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $5.13 $7.46 $10.72 80
Rev-Margin DCF $3.88 $5.94 $8.23 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $7.61 $8.89 $17.06 61
ROIC Compounder $7.69 $9.33 $11.57 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $8.35 $11.92 $15.50 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($13.49) versus Earnings-Based ($5.00). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $8.9B
Revenue growth (YoY) +14.7%
Net margin 19.4%
Return on equity 10.8%
Free cash flow $29.4B FY2025
P/E ratio 9.8
More key figures
Operating margin 32.1%
EPS (TTM) $0.8600
Dividend yield 6.6%
EPS growth (YoY) -22.9%
Net debt $53.7B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41

Profitability 47
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 22
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 63
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 53
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 57
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 43
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 26
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

PTT Exploration and Production Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, and production of petroleum in Thailand, rest of Southeast Asia, the Middle East, Africa, and internationally. It operates through Exploration and Production; and Other Businesses and Corporate segments.

Full company description

PTT Exploration and Production Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, and production of petroleum in Thailand, rest of Southeast Asia, the Middle East, Africa, and internationally. It operates through Exploration and Production; and Other Businesses and Corporate segments. The company is also involved in the gas pipeline transportation and solar power businesses, as well as renewable energy and related activities. In addition, it provides petroleum-related technology, human resource support, and technology and innovation services. The company was founded in 1985 and is based in Bangkok, Thailand. PTT Exploration and Production Public Company Limited is a subsidiary of PTT Public Company Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PTT Exploration and Production Public Company reported revenue of $270B in FY2025 versus $219B in FY2021, a compound +5.3%/yr. Reported net income was $60.3B in FY2025, compounding +11.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$270B
Latest YoY
−13.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−6.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+11.0%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y)
+8.5%
Revenue +5.3%/yr
FY21 $219B
FY22 $331B
FY23 $301B
FY24 $312B
FY25 $270B
Net income +11.6%/yr
FY21 $38.9B
FY22 $70.9B
FY23 $76.7B
FY24 $78.8B
FY25 $60.3B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PTT Exploration and Production Public Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PEXNY

Peer Group

Oil & Gas E&P · 315 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +27% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 32% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 15% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 6.6% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.16× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 9.8× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 2.21× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 5.5× · Pricier than median
PEG 25.05× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 70 · sector 14
FUTURE 74 · sector 0
PAST 43 · sector 0
HEALTH 92 · sector 87
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 66

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CNOOC Limited 600938 ¥28.97 ¥32.55 +12%
ConocoPhillips explores for, COP $109.04 $91.79 -16%
Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ $42.86 $31.54 -26%
EOG Resources, Inc EOG $139.89 $130.19 -7%
Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY $54.86 $30.68 -44%
Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG $183.39 $106.12 -42%
Devon Energy Corporation DVN $43.83 $27.06 -38%
Woodside Energy Group WDS A$30.46 A$20.71 -32%
EQT Corporation EQT $48.85 $42.85 -12%
Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL $415.70 $79.20 -81%

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Frequently asked questions

Is PTT Exploration and Production Public Company (PEXNY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $10.46 versus a price of $8.21, about +27% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of PEXNY?
Our model-based fair value for PTT Exploration and Production Public Company is $10.46 (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $8.21.
What is the quality score of PEXNY?
PTT Exploration and Production Public Company has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of PTT Exploration and Production Public Company (PEXNY)?
PTT Exploration and Production Public Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $8.9B (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PEXNY?
The net profit margin of PTT Exploration and Production Public Company is about 19.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 19.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does PTT Exploration and Production Public Company pay a dividend?
PTT Exploration and Production Public Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.57% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 21, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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