PetroVietNam Low Pressure Gas Distribution Joint Stock Company (PGD) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · VN · Market cap 2.2T VND
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from 33,311 VND to 32,638 VND (−2.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +5.8% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 43% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (25,794 VND). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (63/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 19,103 VND – 46,882 VND · fair‑value band 25,794 VND – 39,677 VND · the 22,750 VND price screens below the 32,638 VND fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
PetroVietNam Low Pressure Gas Distribution Joint Stock Company (PGD) currently trades at 22,750 VND, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 32,638 VND, implying the stock looks roughly 43.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, PetroVietNam Low Pressure Gas Distribution Joint Stock Company generated revenue of 11.4T VND at a net margin of 2.1%. Revenue declined 2.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.5%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 10.1. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 25,794 VND (bear case) to 39,677 VND (bull case); at 22,750 VND, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at 43%, PGD screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (50,343 VND) versus Earnings-Based (9,914 VND). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PetroVietNam Low Pressure Gas Distribution Joint Stock Company engages in the trading and transportation of natural gas in Vietnam. It offers low pressure and re-gasified gas from liquefied natural gas products. The company also provides technical services, including consulting, design, installation, inspection, supervision, and maintenance and repair.
Full company description
PetroVietNam Low Pressure Gas Distribution Joint Stock Company engages in the trading and transportation of natural gas in Vietnam. It offers low pressure and re-gasified gas from liquefied natural gas products. The company also provides technical services, including consulting, design, installation, inspection, supervision, and maintenance and repair. The company was formerly known as Low Pressure Gas Business Enterprise. PetroVietNam Low Pressure Gas Distribution Joint Stock Company was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PetroVietNam Low Pressure Gas Distribution Joint Stock Company reported revenue of 11.5T VND in FY2025 versus 9.0T VND in FY2021, a compound +6.2%/yr. Reported net income was 168B VND in FY2025, compounding −9.8%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Oil & Gas Integrated · 54 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Integrated median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Integrated stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabian Oil Company 2222 | 26.72 SAR | 20.14 SAR | -25% |
| Exxon Mobil Corporation XOM | $144.51 | $90.37 | -37% |
| Chevron Corporation CHEV | C$22.88 | C$7.97 | -65% |
| PetroChina Company 601857 | ¥10.29 | ¥16.51 | +60% |
| Shell plc SHELL | €38.04 | €46.09 | +21% |
| TotalEnergies SE TTE | C$13.80 | C$7.92 | -43% |
| Petróleo Brasileiro S.A PETR3 | 12,540 ARS | 30,914 ARS | +147% |
| BP p.l.c., an integrated energy company, BP | $40.83 | $12.71 | -69% |
| China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation 600028 | ¥5.03 | ¥4.46 | -11% |
| Equinor ASA EQNR | $36.19 | $34.53 | -5% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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