Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC (PGD) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC VND 25,066, price VND 21,800, upside +15.0%, quality 63 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 19,103 VND – 46,882 VND · fair‑value band 21,776 VND – 28,059 VND · the 21,800 VND price screens below the 25,066 VND fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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PetroVietNam Low Pressure Gas Distribution Joint Stock Company engages in the trading and transportation of natural gas in Vietnam. It offers low pressure and re-gasified gas from liquefied natural gas products. The company also provides technical services, including consulting, design, installation, inspection, supervision, and maintenance and repair.
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PetroVietNam Low Pressure Gas Distribution Joint Stock Company engages in the trading and transportation of natural gas in Vietnam. It offers low pressure and re-gasified gas from liquefied natural gas products. The company also provides technical services, including consulting, design, installation, inspection, supervision, and maintenance and repair. The company was formerly known as Low Pressure Gas Business Enterprise. PetroVietNam Low Pressure Gas Distribution Joint Stock Company was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam.
Stock analysis
Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC (PGD) currently trades at 21,800 VND, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 25,066 VND, implying the stock looks roughly 13.0% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 35,088 VND per share, and 9 of the 17 models we run sit above the 21,800 VND price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 9,914 VND, and 8 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 21,776 VND (bear) to 28,059 VND (bull), the price of 21,800 VND sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC reported revenue of 11.5T VND in FY2025 versus 9.0T VND in FY2021, a compound +6.2%/yr. Reported net income was 168B VND in FY2025, compounding −9.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 2.2T VND · P/E ratio 9.8 · P/S ratio 0.14 · EPS (TTM) 2,235 VND · Dividend yield 6.8% · Net margin 1.5% · Return on equity 15.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −16% fair-value upside, at 15%, PGD screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 21,776 VNDFair Value 25,066 VNDBull 28,059 VND
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (1,641 VND per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.51/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in VND ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in VND: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+0.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−6.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)6.8%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → 2%
Compare Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Integrated · 52 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+15% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)16% · Above median
Return on assets5% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)6.8% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Integrated median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PGD
Frequently asked questions
Is Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC (PGD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 25,066 VND versus a price of 21,800 VND, about +15% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of PGD?
Our model-based fair value for Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC is 25,066 VND (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 21,800 VND.
What is the quality score of PGD?
Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC (PGD)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 25,066 VND (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario 21,776 VND, optimistic scenario 28,059 VND. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 25,066 VND, about +15% upside versus a price of 21,800 VND (undervalued). Cautious scenario 21,776 VND, optimistic scenario 28,059 VND. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC (PGD)?
Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 11.4T VND (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC pay a dividend?
Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.80% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC (PGD)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC it is 25,066 VND per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 21,800 VND. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, PGD trades below its calculated fair value: price 21,800 VND, fair value 25,066 VND, a gap of about +15% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PGD?
No. The price is what the market pays today (21,800 VND); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (25,066 VND). For Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC the two are 3,266 VND per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC worth?
The market values Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC at about 2.2T VND (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 21,800 VND; our models calculate a fair value of 25,066 VND per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PGD?
Our models span a range for Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC: cautious scenario 21,776 VND, base 25,066 VND, optimistic 28,059 VND per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 21,800 VND). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of PGD?
Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.8 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 25,066 VND is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.5, P/S 0.2, EV/EBITDA 3.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC (PGD)?
Balance-sheet figures for Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 15.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 63/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PGD from its 52-week high?
Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC trades at 21,800 VND, about 21% below its 52-week high of 27,700 VND and 3% above the low of 21,200 VND (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 25,066 VND is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC?
From the same area (Energy) we also value Saudi Arabian Oil Company, Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation, PetroChina Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 21,800 VND, calculated fair value 25,066 VND (+15%), Quality Score 63/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PGD calculated?
We run Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 25,066 VND, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC currently trades 15 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC (PGD)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 21,800 VND. Our model-based fair value is 25,066 VND, about +15% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC right now?
Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Key figures of Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC
How large is the market capitalisation of Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC (PGD)?
The market capitalisation of Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC is 2.2T VND. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC (PGD)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC is 0.14 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC (PGD)?
Earnings per share at Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC are 2,235 VND (price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC (PGD)?
The dividend yield of Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC is 6.8% (payout 66.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC (PGD)?
The net margin of Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC is 1.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC (PGD)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC is 15.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC (PGD)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC is 8.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC (PGD)?
The operating margin of Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC is 3.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC (PGD)?
Revenue at Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC is growing −2.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC (PGD) generate?
The free cash flow of Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC is −55.7B VND (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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