Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC (PGD) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC stock VND 25,066, price VND 21,600, upside +16.0%, quality 63 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 17 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 19,103 VND – 46,882 VND · fair‑value band 18,380 VND – 28,059 VND · the 21,600 VND price screens below the 25,066 VND fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 9, 2026.
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PetroVietNam Low Pressure Gas Distribution Joint Stock Company engages in the trading and transportation of natural gas in Vietnam. It offers low pressure and re-gasified gas from liquefied natural gas products.
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The company also provides technical services, including consulting, design, installation, inspection, supervision, and maintenance and repair. The company was formerly known as Low Pressure Gas Business Enterprise.
PetroVietNam Low Pressure Gas Distribution Joint Stock Company was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam.
Stock analysis
Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC (PGD) currently trades at 21,600 VND, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 25,066 VND, implying the stock looks roughly 14% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 27,169 VND per share, and 7 of the 17 models we run sit above the 21,600 VND price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 11,151 VND, and 10 of the 17 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 18,380 VND (bear) to 28,059 VND (bull), the price of 21,600 VND sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC reported revenue of 11.5T VND in FY2025 versus 9.0T VND in FY2021, a compound +6.2%/yr. Reported net income was 168B VND in FY2025, compounding −9.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 2.1T VND (≈ $83.6M) Micro · P/E ratio 7.8 · P/S ratio 0.17 · EPS (TTM) 2,778 VND · Dividend yield 6.8% · Net margin 2.5% · Return on equity 20.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.8% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −15% fair-value upside, at 16%, PGD screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear18,380 VNDFair Value 25,066 VNDBull28,059 VND
Price 21,600 VND · Upside +16.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (2,382 VND per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income11,614 VND12,503 VND13,914 VND76
Owner Earnings18,441 VND20,604 VND23,064 VND75
EPV16,495 VND17,018 VND17,430 VND70
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings18,441 VND20,604 VND23,064 VND75
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd11,564 VND33,522 VND44,255 VND65
Lynch FV6,940 VND9,914 VND12,889 VND61
PEG = 1.06,940 VND9,914 VND12,889 VND57
EPV16,495 VND17,018 VND17,430 VND70
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM8,965 VND13,816 VND16,915 VND69
DDM Multi-Stage8,965 VND12,560 VND14,954 VND67
Multiples
P/E Multiple17,856 VND23,808 VND29,760 VND63
P/S Multiple21,682 VND28,910 VND36,137 VND58
P/B Multiple19,491 VND25,988 VND32,485 VND55
EV/EBIT24,086 VND28,350 VND32,614 VND63
EV/EBITDA21,202 VND24,505 VND27,807 VND64
EV/Revenue26,815 VND33,466 VND40,118 VND52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)7,360 VND11,151 VND13,939 VND52
Economic Profit
Residual Income11,614 VND12,503 VND13,914 VND76
ROIC Compounder16,657 VND17,426 VND18,190 VND70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E15,108 VND21,583 VND28,058 VND67
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical trough year.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.51/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in VND ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in VND: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+0.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−6.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)6.8%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → 2%
Compare Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Integrated · 43 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score63 · Above median
Fair Value upside+15.5% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)20.3% · Above median
Return on assets4.7% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)2.5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)9.6% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)6.8% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)6.8% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Integrated median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PGD
Frequently asked questions
Is Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC (PGD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 25,066 VND versus a price of 21,600 VND, about +16% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of PGD?
Our model-based fair value for Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC is 25,066 VND (as of Nov 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 21,600 VND.
What is the quality score of PGD?
Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC (PGD)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 25,066 VND (as of Nov 9, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario 18,380 VND, optimistic scenario 28,059 VND. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 25,066 VND, about +16% upside versus a price of 21,600 VND (undervalued). Cautious scenario 18,380 VND, optimistic scenario 28,059 VND. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC (PGD)?
Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 12.5T VND (latest available figure, as of Nov 9, 2026).
Does Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC pay a dividend?
Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC currently shows a dividend yield of 6.79% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 9, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC (PGD)?
Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC has a dividend yield of 6.8%.
What is the intrinsic value of Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC (PGD)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC it is 25,066 VND per share (as of Nov 9, 2026), against a price of 21,600 VND. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 9, 2026, PGD trades below its calculated fair value: price 21,600 VND, fair value 25,066 VND, a gap of about +16% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PGD?
No. The price is what the market pays today (21,600 VND); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (25,066 VND). For Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC the two are 3,466 VND per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC worth?
The market values Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC at about 2.1T VND (market capitalisation, as of Nov 9, 2026). Per share that is 21,600 VND; our models calculate a fair value of 25,066 VND per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PGD?
Our models span a range for Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC: cautious scenario 18,380 VND, base 25,066 VND, optimistic 28,059 VND per share (as of Nov 9, 2026, price 21,600 VND). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of PGD?
Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.8 (as of Nov 9, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 25,066 VND is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.5, P/S 0.2, EV/EBITDA 2.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC (PGD)?
Balance-sheet figures for Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC (as of Nov 9, 2026): return on equity 20.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 63/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PGD from its 52-week high?
Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC trades at 21,600 VND, about 22% below its 52-week high of 27,700 VND and 9% above the low of 19,850 VND (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 25,066 VND is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC?
From the same area (Energy) we also value Saudi Arabian Oil Company, Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation, PetroChina Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 9, 2026: price 21,600 VND, calculated fair value 25,066 VND (+16%), Quality Score 63/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PGD calculated?
We run Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC through 17 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 25,066 VND builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC currently trades 14% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC (PGD)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was 21,600 VND. Our model-based fair value is 25,066 VND, about +16% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC right now?
Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Key figures of Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC
How large is the market capitalisation of Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC (PGD)?
The market capitalisation of Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC is 2.1T VND (≈ $83.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC (PGD)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC is 0.17 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC (PGD)?
Earnings per share at Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC are 2,778 VND (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC (PGD)?
The dividend yield of Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC is 6.8% (payout 52.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC (PGD)?
The net margin of Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC is 2.5% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC (PGD)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC is 20.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC (PGD)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC is 8.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC (PGD)?
The operating margin of Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC is 9.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC (PGD)?
Revenue at Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC is growing +6.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC (PGD)?
Earnings per share at Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC are growing +257% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC (PGD) generate?
The free cash flow of Petrovietnam Low Pressure Gas Distribution JSC is −55.7B VND (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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Thin data
Nov 9, 2026