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Hartshead Resources NL (PGNYF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Jun 25, 2026: fair value of Hartshead Resources NL $0.00, price $0.00, upside +7.0%, quality 27 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? No
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Thin data
Sep 13, 2026
Thin data
Sep 13, 2026
Hartshead Resources NL
PGNYF · USLow PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.
·Fair value $0.0032 · Fairly valued (+7.0%)
!Quality 27/100
!Weak Growth (revenue YoY −54.1 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -67.3% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Narrow moat 6/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0002 – $0.0800 · the $0.0030 price screens below the $0.0032 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Company profile
Hartshead Resources NL engages in the exploration and development of oil and gas properties in the United Kingdom. It primarily holds a 40% interest in the License P2607 comprising five blocks in Quads 48 and 49 on the United Kingdom Continental Shelf, Southern Gas Basin. The company is based in North Perth, Australia.
Stock analysis
Hartshead Resources NL (PGNYF) currently trades at $0.0030, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0032, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 6.5%).
Show more
Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Hartshead Resources NL reported revenue of $2.2M in FY2025 versus $74.2K in FY2018, a compound +61.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$2.3M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $8.4M · P/S ratio 3.36 · Net margin −105% · Return on equity −5.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −22.7% · Operating margin −62.2% · Revenue (TTM) $2.5M · Revenue growth (YoY) +41.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 67% below its 52-week high and 1,400% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 7%, PGNYF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham)
n/a
$0.0100
$0.0100
52
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
n/a
$0.0100
$0.0100
52
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
27/100
Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39
Profitability
2
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
33
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
19
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
54
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
40
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Revenue growth 1 year
−54.1%
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+42.1%
’13
’14
’15
’18
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
38,225,000.0% (2019) → −116.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
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Context: sector, industry, market
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Oil & gas
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ConocoPhillips explores for, COP | $127.06 | $91.42 | −28% |
| CNOOC Limited 0883 | HK$23.40 | HK$39.91 | +71% |
| Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ | $47.55 | $52.31 | +10% |
| EOG Resources, Inc EOG | $137.76 | $165.02 | +20% |
| Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY | $57.84 | $33.18 | −43% |
| Devon Energy Corporation DVN | $46.73 | $51.40 | +10% |
| Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG | $185.23 | $243.76 | +32% |
| Woodside Energy Group WDS | A$31.48 | A$23.87 | −24% |
| EQT Corporation EQT | $50.09 | $55.10 | +10% |
| Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL | $336.46 | $317.06 | −6% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Hartshead Resources NL (PGNYF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0032 versus the last price from Jun 25, 2026 of $0.0030, about +7% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of PGNYF?
Our model-based fair value for Hartshead Resources NL is $0.0032 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Jun 25, 2026): $0.0030.
What is the quality score of PGNYF?
Hartshead Resources NL has a Quality Score of 27/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hartshead Resources NL (PGNYF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0032 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 1 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hartshead Resources NL stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0032, about +7% upside versus the last price from Jun 25, 2026 of $0.0030 (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hartshead Resources NL (PGNYF)?
Hartshead Resources NL reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.5M (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Hartshead Resources NL (PGNYF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hartshead Resources NL it is $0.0032 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of $0.0030. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Hartshead Resources NL stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, PGNYF trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.0030, fair value $0.0032, a gap of about +7% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PGNYF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.0030); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0032). For Hartshead Resources NL the two are $0.0002 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hartshead Resources NL worth?
The market values Hartshead Resources NL at about $8.4M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is $0.0030; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0032 per share.
How far is PGNYF from its 52-week high?
Hartshead Resources NL trades at $0.0030, about 67% below its 52-week high of $0.0090 and 1,400% above the low of $0.0002 (as of Jun 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.0032 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hartshead Resources NL?
From the same area (Energy) we also value ConocoPhillips explores for,, CNOOC Limited, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hartshead Resources NL stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price $0.0030, calculated fair value $0.0032 (+7%), Quality Score 27/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PGNYF calculated?
We run Hartshead Resources NL through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.0032, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Hartshead Resources NL currently trades 7 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hartshead Resources NL (PGNYF)?
The latest price we hold is from Jun 25, 2026 and stands at $0.0030. Our model-based fair value is $0.0032, about +7% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hartshead Resources NL right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Hartshead Resources NL
How large is the market capitalisation of Hartshead Resources NL (PGNYF)?
The market capitalisation of Hartshead Resources NL is $8.4M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hartshead Resources NL (PGNYF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hartshead Resources NL is 3.36 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Hartshead Resources NL (PGNYF)?
The net margin of Hartshead Resources NL is −105% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hartshead Resources NL (PGNYF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hartshead Resources NL is −5.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hartshead Resources NL (PGNYF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hartshead Resources NL is −22.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hartshead Resources NL (PGNYF)?
The operating margin of Hartshead Resources NL is −62.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hartshead Resources NL (PGNYF)?
Revenue at Hartshead Resources NL is growing +41.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8,033%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Hartshead Resources NL (PGNYF) generate?
The free cash flow of Hartshead Resources NL is −$7.4M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Hartshead Resources NL (PGNYF) hold?
Hartshead Resources NL holds more cash than debt, $15.8M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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