Pt Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk (PGUN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 28, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Pt Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk stock IDR 1,200, price IDR 8,000, upside -85.0%, quality 67 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Fair value 30%+ above price?No
Quality 50+?Yes
In an uptrend?No
Keep an eye on it?Free in your watchlist: 5 stocks without an account, 10 with oneYes, for free
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 197.03 IDR – 29,493 IDR · fair‑value band 758.92 IDR – 1,921 IDR · the 8,000 IDR price screens above the 1,200 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 27, 2026.
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PT Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk operates as an oil palm plantation company in Indonesia. The company owns oil palm plantation area in Batu Engau District, Paser Regency, East Kalimantan Province. It also produces crude palm oil, palm kernel shells, and palm kernel; and plants and manages plasma plantations.
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PT Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk was founded in 1995 and is based in Paser, Indonesia.
Stock analysis
Pt Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk (PGUN) currently trades at 8,000 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,200 IDR, 85.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 762.27 IDR per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the 8,000 IDR price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at 165.38 IDR, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 758.92 IDR (bear) to 1,921 IDR (bull), the price of 8,000 IDR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Pt Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk reported revenue of 793B IDR in FY2025 versus 787B IDR in FY2021, a compound +0.2%/yr. Reported net income was 159B IDR in FY2025, compounding +50.2%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap 45.9T IDR (≈ $2.5B) Mid · P/E ratio 237.5 · P/S ratio 47.7 · EPS (TTM) 33.69 IDR · Dividend yield 0.0% · Net margin 20.1% · Return on equity 6.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −85%, PGUN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (19.45 IDR to 1,839 IDR). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear758.92 IDRFair Value 1,200 IDRBull1,921 IDR
Price 8,000 IDR · Upside -85.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (27.88 IDR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+51.2%
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+20.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+20.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−7% → 26%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+72.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Indonesia: IMF forecast 2.6% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +67.6% a year for the price.
Compare Pt Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm Products · 289 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−85.0% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)6.4% · Above median
Return on assets6.3% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)16.9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)12.6% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−33.9% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.12× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)237.5× · Priciest 25%
P/B23.92× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)64.42× · Priciest 25%
Price / free cash flow198.0× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 32
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 17
PAST (return on equity)25· sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)94· sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 44
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Pt Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk (PGUN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1,200 IDR versus a price of 8,000 IDR, about −85% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PGUN?
Our model-based fair value for Pt Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk is 1,200 IDR (as of Oct 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 8,000 IDR.
What is the quality score of PGUN?
Pt Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Pt Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk (PGUN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1,200 IDR (as of Oct 27, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 758.92 IDR, optimistic scenario 1,921 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Pt Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1,200 IDR, about −85% upside versus a price of 8,000 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 758.92 IDR, optimistic scenario 1,921 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Pt Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk (PGUN)?
Pt Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 713B IDR (latest available figure, as of Oct 27, 2026).
Does Pt Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk pay a dividend?
Pt Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk currently shows a dividend yield of 0.02% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Pt Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk (PGUN)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Pt Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk would have to grow free cash flow by +72.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 14.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +10.8 % per year. As of Oct 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of PGUN use?
Our models discount Pt Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk at 14.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 2.28, country premium for Indonesia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Pt Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk that is +72.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (14.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Pt Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk (PGUN) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Pt Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk grew +10.8 % a year. The price currently implies +72.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Pt Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk (PGUN) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Pt Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk (+72.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Pt Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk (PGUN)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.50 %: that much free cash flow Pt Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (14.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Pt Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk (PGUN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Pt Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk it is 1,200 IDR per share (as of Oct 27, 2026), against a price of 8,000 IDR. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Pt Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 27, 2026, PGUN trades above its calculated fair value: price 8,000 IDR, fair value 1,200 IDR, a gap of about −85% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PGUN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (8,000 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1,200 IDR). For Pt Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk the two are 6,800 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Pt Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk worth?
The market values Pt Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk at about 45.9T IDR (market capitalisation, as of Oct 27, 2026). Per share that is 8,000 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 1,200 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PGUN?
Our models span a range for Pt Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk: cautious scenario 758.92 IDR, base 1,200 IDR, optimistic 1,921 IDR per share (as of Oct 27, 2026, price 8,000 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of PGUN?
Pt Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 237.5 (as of Oct 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 1,200 IDR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 23.9, P/S 64.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Pt Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk (PGUN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Pt Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk (as of Oct 27, 2026): return on equity 6.4%, debt of 0.12 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 67/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PGUN from its 52-week high?
Pt Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk trades at 8,000 IDR, about 45% below its 52-week high of 14,509 IDR and 40% above the low of 5,725 IDR (as of Oct 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1,200 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Pt Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Archer-Daniels-Midland Company, Muyuan Foods Group, Bunge Global SA, Tyson Foods, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Pt Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 27, 2026: price 8,000 IDR, calculated fair value 1,200 IDR (−85%), Quality Score 67/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PGUN calculated?
We run Pt Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 1,200 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Pt Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Pt Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk (PGUN)?
The closing price on Oct 28, 2026 was 8,000 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 1,200 IDR, about −85% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Pt Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (1,921 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (758.92 IDR to 1,921 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Pt Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk
How large is the market capitalisation of Pt Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk (PGUN)?
The market capitalisation of Pt Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk is 45.9T IDR (≈ $2.5B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Pt Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk (PGUN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Pt Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk is 47.7 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Pt Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk (PGUN)?
Earnings per share at Pt Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk are 33.69 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 237.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Pt Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk (PGUN)?
The dividend yield of Pt Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk is 0.0% (payout 5.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Pt Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk (PGUN)?
The net margin of Pt Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk is 20.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Pt Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk (PGUN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Pt Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk is 6.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Pt Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk (PGUN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Pt Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk is 7.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Pt Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk (PGUN)?
The operating margin of Pt Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk is 12.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Pt Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk (PGUN)?
Revenue at Pt Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk is growing −33.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −7.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Pt Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk (PGUN)?
Earnings per share at Pt Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk are growing −68.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Pt Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk (PGUN) carry?
The net debt of Pt Pradiksi Gunatama Tbk is 354B IDR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Oct 27, 2026