PGF Polska Grupa Fotowoltaiczna SA (PGV) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · PL · Market cap 50.1M PLN (≈ $13.5M) · ISIN PLZSTAL00012
What is PGF Polska Grupa Fotowoltaiczna SA really worth?
Below-average quality, and trading another 1,529% above our fair value of 0.0700 PLN.
As of Aug 13, 2026, the fair value of PGF Polska Grupa Fotowoltaiczna SA is 0.0700 PLN per share against a price of 1.14 PLN, so the fair value sits 94% below the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Share price +150.0% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.0800 PLN). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.2880 PLN – 3.30 PLN · fair‑value band 0.0600 PLN – 0.0800 PLN · the 1.14 PLN price screens above the 0.0700 PLN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
PGF Polska Grupa Fotowoltaiczna SA (PGV) currently trades at 1.14 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.0700 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 1,528.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 76/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 61.2M PLN. It earns a return on equity of 36.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 4.2M PLN. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 1.1 (as of Jul 20, 2026). Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 0.0600 PLN (bear case) to 0.0800 PLN (bull case); at 1.14 PLN, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 226% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −58% fair-value upside, at −94%, PGV screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2024 figures, and about 12 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly 0.4500 PLN per share, which is 197.4 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 2 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (0.4400 PLN) versus Multiples (0.1700 PLN). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (67).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 72
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
PGF Polska Grupa Fotowoltaiczna SA, an investment company, operates in the renewable energy sector primarily focusing on the photovoltaic market in Poland. The company was formerly known as Zastal S.A. and changed its name to PGF Polska Grupa Fotowoltaiczna SA in January 2021. The company is based in Warsaw, Poland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years
PGF Polska Grupa Fotowoltaiczna SA reported revenue of 61.2M PLN in FY2024 versus −1.4M PLN in FY2020. Reported net income was −22.2M PLN in FY2024.
PGV screens 1,529% overvalued. Compare with Carpenter Technology Corporation →
Peer Group
Metal Fabrication · 249 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Metal Fabrication stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carpenter Technology Corporation CRS | $490.58 | $101.35 | −79% |
| ATI Inc ATI | $210.76 | $35.74 | −83% |
| Mueller Industries, Inc MLI | $62.80 | $59.33 | −6% |
| Aurubis AG NDA | €178.90 | €223.43 | +25% |
| China International Marine Containers (Group) Co 000039 | ¥9.39 | ¥3.39 | −64% |
| Commercial Metals Company CMC | $68.16 | $13.01 | −81% |
| JL Mag Rare-Earth Co 300748 | ¥27.08 | ¥8.34 | −69% |
| Viohalco S.A VIO | €16.46 | €14.98 | −9% |
| ESAB Corporation ESAB | $86.05 | $52.40 | −39% |
| Ningbo Zhenyu Technology Co 300953 | ¥104.36 | ¥44.23 | −58% |
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