Piaggio & C. SpA (PIA) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · IT · Market cap €603M
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price +9.6% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 20% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (€1.12 to €2.09) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €1.47 – €3.43 · fair‑value band €1.12 – €2.09 · the €1.99 price screens above the €1.60 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Piaggio & C. SpA (PIA) currently trades at €1.99, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €1.60, implying the stock looks roughly 19.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Piaggio & C. SpA generated revenue of €1.5B at a net margin of 2.1%. Revenue declined 7.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.4%. Net debt stands at €559M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €1.12 (bear case) to €2.09 (bull case); at €1.99, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 39% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 25% fair-value upside, at -20%, PIA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (€2.12) versus Earnings-Based (€0.3500). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 57
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Piaggio & C. SpA, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, manufacture, and distribution of two-wheeler and commercial vehicles. The company provides two-wheelers, including motor scooters, motorbikes, and mopeds under the Vespa, Piaggio, Aprilia, Moto Guzzi, Gilera, Derbi, and Scarabeo brands.
Full company description
Piaggio & C. SpA, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, manufacture, and distribution of two-wheeler and commercial vehicles. The company provides two-wheelers, including motor scooters, motorbikes, and mopeds under the Vespa, Piaggio, Aprilia, Moto Guzzi, Gilera, Derbi, and Scarabeo brands. It also offers light commercial vehicles under the Ape and Porter NP6 brands; and operates Piaggio Fast Forward project. In addition, the company sells engines to third parties; participates in two-wheeler sports competitions; and provides after-sales services, as well as financial services, and spare parts and accessories. It distributes its vehicles primarily through dealers and exports in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, rest of the Asia Pacific, and India. The company was founded in 1884 and is headquartered in Pontedera, Italy. Piaggio & C. SpA is a subsidiary of IMMSI S.p.A.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Piaggio & C. SpA reported revenue of €1.5B in FY2025 versus €1.7B in FY2021, a compound −2.6%/yr. Reported net income was €34.0M in FY2025, compounding −13.3%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +4.3 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.2 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
PIA screens 20% overvalued. Compare with Toyota Motor Corporation →
Peer Group
Auto Manufacturers · 119 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Auto Manufacturers median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto Manufacturers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toyota Motor Corporation TM | $179.76 | $224.63 | +25% |
| BYD Company 81211 | HK$80.55 | HK$50.85 | -37% |
| Hyundai Motor Company 005380 | 425,000 KRW | 616,918 KRW | +45% |
| General Motors Company GM | $77.72 | $56.93 | -27% |
| Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft BMWM5N | 1,909 MXN | 2,944 MXN | +54% |
| Ferrari N.V RACE | $376.64 | $228.05 | -39% |
| Ford Motor Company F | C$11.86 | C$4.00 | -66% |
| Mercedes-Benz Group BENZ | C$20.44 | C$35.15 | +72% |
| Volkswagen AG VOW | 2,149 CZK | 7,191 CZK | +235% |
| Maruti Suzuki India Limited MARUTI | ₹13,803 | ₹8,236 | -40% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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