Pelangi Indah Canindo Tbk (PICO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Pelangi Indah Canindo Tbk IDR 149, price IDR 170, upside -12.2%, quality 42 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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PT Pelangi Indah Canindo Tbk manufactures and sells metal packaging products in Indonesia. It operates through Printing; Pailcan; Drum; Component; and Plastic Drum segments. The company offers steel drums, plastic drums, LPG cylinder tanks, pail cans, and food cans. It also provides metal printing services.
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PT Pelangi Indah Canindo Tbk manufactures and sells metal packaging products in Indonesia. It operates through Printing; Pailcan; Drum; Component; and Plastic Drum segments. The company offers steel drums, plastic drums, LPG cylinder tanks, pail cans, and food cans. It also provides metal printing services. PT Pelangi Indah Canindo Tbk was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia.
Stock analysis
Pelangi Indah Canindo Tbk (PICO) currently trades at 170.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 149.33 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 13.8% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 247.23 IDR per share, and 2 of the 9 models we run sit above the 170.00 IDR price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 28.90 IDR, and 7 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 112.00 IDR (bear) to 164.78 IDR (bull), the price of 170.00 IDR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Pelangi Indah Canindo Tbk reported revenue of 582B IDR in FY2025 versus 456B IDR in FY2021, a compound +6.3%/yr. Reported net income was 5.0B IDR in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 96.6B IDR (≈ $5.4M) · P/E ratio 49.1 · P/S ratio 0.42 · EPS (TTM) −1.52 IDR · Net margin 0.9% · Return on equity 1.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.6% · Operating margin 3.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and 53% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −21% fair-value upside, at −12%, PICO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 112.00 IDRFair Value 149.33 IDRBull 164.78 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.51/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−3.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −1.8% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−7.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−7.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−8% vs −10%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−6% → 2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 1.7%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Compare Pelangi Indah Canindo Tbk with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaging & Containers · 272 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score42 · Below median
Fair Value upside−14% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)1% · Below median
Return on assets0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−2% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.96× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper
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Is Pelangi Indah Canindo Tbk (PICO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 149.33 IDR versus a price of 170.00 IDR, about −12% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PICO?
Our model-based fair value for Pelangi Indah Canindo Tbk is 149.33 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 170.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of PICO?
Pelangi Indah Canindo Tbk has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Pelangi Indah Canindo Tbk (PICO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 149.33 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario 112.00 IDR, optimistic scenario 164.78 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Pelangi Indah Canindo Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 149.33 IDR, about −12% upside versus a price of 170.00 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 112.00 IDR, optimistic scenario 164.78 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Pelangi Indah Canindo Tbk (PICO)?
Pelangi Indah Canindo Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 583B IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Pelangi Indah Canindo Tbk (PICO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Pelangi Indah Canindo Tbk it is 149.33 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 170.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Pelangi Indah Canindo Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, PICO trades above its calculated fair value: price 170.00 IDR, fair value 149.33 IDR, a gap of about −12% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PICO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (170.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (149.33 IDR). For Pelangi Indah Canindo Tbk the two are 20.67 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Pelangi Indah Canindo Tbk worth?
The market values Pelangi Indah Canindo Tbk at about 96.6B IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 170.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 149.33 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PICO?
Our models span a range for Pelangi Indah Canindo Tbk: cautious scenario 112.00 IDR, base 149.33 IDR, optimistic 164.78 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 170.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of PICO?
Pelangi Indah Canindo Tbk trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 49.1 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 149.33 IDR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.5, P/S 0.2, EV/EBITDA 37.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Pelangi Indah Canindo Tbk (PICO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Pelangi Indah Canindo Tbk (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 1.4%, debt of 0.96 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PICO from its 52-week high?
Pelangi Indah Canindo Tbk trades at 170.00 IDR, about 52% below its 52-week high of 356.00 IDR and 53% above the low of 111.00 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 149.33 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Pelangi Indah Canindo Tbk?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Smurfit Westrock Plc,, Packaging Corporation, International Paper Company, Ball Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Pelangi Indah Canindo Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 170.00 IDR, calculated fair value 149.33 IDR (−12%), Quality Score 42/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PICO calculated?
We run Pelangi Indah Canindo Tbk through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 149.33 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Pelangi Indah Canindo Tbk itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Pelangi Indah Canindo Tbk (PICO)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 170.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 149.33 IDR, about −12% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Pelangi Indah Canindo Tbk right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (164.78 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Pelangi Indah Canindo Tbk (PICO) come from?
Earnings per share at Pelangi Indah Canindo Tbk grew −12.7 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −2.3 %, EBIT margin −9.5 %, tax rate +1.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −2.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Pelangi Indah Canindo Tbk
How large is the market capitalisation of Pelangi Indah Canindo Tbk (PICO)?
The market capitalisation of Pelangi Indah Canindo Tbk is 96.6B IDR (≈ $5.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Pelangi Indah Canindo Tbk (PICO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Pelangi Indah Canindo Tbk is 0.42 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Pelangi Indah Canindo Tbk (PICO)?
Earnings per share at Pelangi Indah Canindo Tbk are −1.52 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 49.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Pelangi Indah Canindo Tbk (PICO)?
The net margin of Pelangi Indah Canindo Tbk is 0.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Pelangi Indah Canindo Tbk (PICO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Pelangi Indah Canindo Tbk is 1.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Pelangi Indah Canindo Tbk (PICO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Pelangi Indah Canindo Tbk is 1.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Pelangi Indah Canindo Tbk (PICO)?
The operating margin of Pelangi Indah Canindo Tbk is 3.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Pelangi Indah Canindo Tbk (PICO)?
Revenue at Pelangi Indah Canindo Tbk is growing −1.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Pelangi Indah Canindo Tbk (PICO)?
Earnings per share at Pelangi Indah Canindo Tbk are growing −46.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Pelangi Indah Canindo Tbk (PICO) generate?
The free cash flow of Pelangi Indah Canindo Tbk is −31.6B IDR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Pelangi Indah Canindo Tbk (PICO) carry?
The net debt of Pelangi Indah Canindo Tbk is 105B IDR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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