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PT AKR Corporindo Tbk, a logistics and supply chain company, (PKCPY) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · US · Market cap $1.3B

PA PT AKR Corporindo Tbk, a logistics and supply chain company, logo PT AKR Corporindo Tbk, a logistics and supply chain company, PKCPY · US
Price$1.63
Fair Value$2.78
Upside+70.6%
Quality66/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 5.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
9.01% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/11)
Moderate moat 50/100
Evidence: Medium Range $2.09 – $3.47 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 25, 2026, revised from $4.41 to $2.78 (−36.9%) since Jun 25, 2026.

A solid business, screening 71% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($2.09). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (66/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$2.16 $0.2269 Fair Value $2.78 Apr 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.2269 – $2.16 · fair‑value band $2.09 – $3.47 · the $1.63 price screens below the $2.78 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

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Analysis

PT AKR Corporindo Tbk, a logistics and supply chain company, (PKCPY) currently trades at $1.63, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.78, implying the stock looks roughly 70.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, PT AKR Corporindo Tbk, a logistics and supply chain company, generated revenue of $42.5T at a net margin of 5.3%. Revenue grew 26.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $693B. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $2.09 (bear case) to $3.47 (bull case); at $1.63, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at 71%, PKCPY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $3.98 $5.85 $8.39 80
Rev-Margin DCF $3.82 $6.01 $8.70 74
ROIC Compounder $3.17 $3.84 $4.60 72
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $4.00 $6.04 $8.95 38
Owner Earnings $2.82 $4.19 $6.17 31
5Y Revenue Exit $3.82 $6.03 $8.91 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $2.88 $4.17 $5.69 41
5Y P/E Exit $3.58 $5.55 $7.70 38
10Y Revenue Exit $3.75 $5.71 $8.49 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $3.28 $4.50 $6.14 37
10Y P/E Exit $3.70 $5.40 $7.61 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $2.14 $8.36 $11.34 54
Lynch FV $2.06 $2.94 $3.82 50
PEG = 1.0 $2.06 $2.94 $3.82 46
EPV $2.95 $3.30 $3.60 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $3.31 $4.41 $5.51 63
P/S Multiple $4.02 $5.36 $6.69 58
P/B Multiple $2.08 $2.77 $3.46 55
EV/EBIT $3.22 $4.18 $5.14 53
EV/EBITDA $2.38 $3.06 $3.74 54
EV/Revenue $3.84 $5.33 $6.83 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.7695 $1.03 $1.54 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $3.98 $5.85 $8.39 80
Rev-Margin DCF $3.82 $6.01 $8.70 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $1.78 $2.37 $7.71 61
ROIC Compounder $3.17 $3.84 $4.60 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $2.94 $4.21 $5.47 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($5.85) versus Asset-Based ($1.03). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $42.5T
Revenue growth (YoY) +26.2%
Net margin 5.3%
Return on equity 18.9%
Free cash flow $2.9T FY2025
P/E ratio 9.1
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $0.1800
Dividend yield 9.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +16.1%
Net cash $693B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 66/100

Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51

Profitability 54
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 66
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 53
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 67
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 76
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 73
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 47
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 33
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

PT AKR Corporindo Tbk, a logistics and supply chain company, engages in distribution and trading of petroleum and basic chemical products in Indonesia. It operates through four segments: Trading and Distribution, Logistics Services, Manufacturing, and Industrial Estate and related utility services.

Full company description

PT AKR Corporindo Tbk, a logistics and supply chain company, engages in distribution and trading of petroleum and basic chemical products in Indonesia. It operates through four segments: Trading and Distribution, Logistics Services, Manufacturing, and Industrial Estate and related utility services. The Trading and Distribution segment distributes petroleum products, and base chemicals, such as caustic soda, sodium sulphate, PVC resins, soda ash, chlor-alkali chemicals, and solvents, as well as organic and non-organic chemicals. The Logistics Services segment offers rental of storage tanks and warehouses, bagging, port handling, and transportation services primarily for liquid and solid chemical, and petroleum products. The Manufacturing segment produces and sells adhesive materials. The Industrial Estate segment leases and sells industrial estate land, sales of electricity, and other related services to tenants of the estate. The company is also involved in coal trading and mining; domestic shipping; installation, construction, operation, and generation of electric power; industrial estate operations and supporting facilities; and trading and distribution of lubricants. The company was formerly known as PT Aneka Kimia Raya Tbk and changed its name to PT AKR Corporindo Tbk in September 2004. The company was incorporated in 1977 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia. PT AKR Corporindo Tbk operates as a subsidiary of PT Arthakencana Rayatama.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PT AKR Corporindo Tbk, a logistics and supply chain company, reported revenue of $46.4T in FY2025 versus $25.7T in FY2021, a compound +15.9%/yr. Reported net income was $2.5T in FY2025, compounding +22.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$46.4T
Latest YoY
+19.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−0.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+21.2%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y)
+15.0%
Revenue +15.9%/yr
FY21 $25.7T
FY22 $47.5T
FY23 $42.1T
FY24 $38.7T
FY25 $46.4T
Net income +22.4%/yr
FY21 $1.1T
FY22 $2.4T
FY23 $2.8T
FY24 $2.2T
FY25 $2.5T

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT AKR Corporindo Tbk, a logistics and supply chain company, Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PKCPY

Peer Group

Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · 114 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +71% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 26% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 9.0% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.30× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 9.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 15
FUTURE 100 · sector 15
PAST 76 · sector 32
HEALTH 85 · sector 80
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 50

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Reliance Industries Limited RELIANCE ₹1,293 ₹835.66 -35%
Valero Energy Corporation VLO $309.65 $127.32 -59%
Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC $283.74 $135.80 -52%
Phillips 66 PSX $196.16 $101.04 -48%
Neste Oyj NESTE €31.10 €4.07 -87%
Formosa Petrochemical Corporation 6505 81.30 TWD 16.68 TWD -79%
Indian Oil Corporation IOC ₹138.96 ₹417.35 +200%
HF Sinclair Corporation DINO $88.59 $48.90 -45%
Bharat Petroleum Corporation BPCL ₹315.55 ₹846.81 +168%
SK Innovation Co 096770 121,400 KRW 58,865 KRW -52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is PT AKR Corporindo Tbk, a logistics and supply chain company, (PKCPY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.78 versus a price of $1.63, about +71% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of PKCPY?
Our model-based fair value for PT AKR Corporindo Tbk, a logistics and supply chain company, is $2.78 (as of Jul 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $1.63.
What is the quality score of PKCPY?
PT AKR Corporindo Tbk, a logistics and supply chain company, has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of PT AKR Corporindo Tbk, a logistics and supply chain company, (PKCPY)?
PT AKR Corporindo Tbk, a logistics and supply chain company, reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $42.5T (latest available figure, as of Jul 25, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PKCPY?
The net profit margin of PT AKR Corporindo Tbk, a logistics and supply chain company, is about 5.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does PT AKR Corporindo Tbk, a logistics and supply chain company, pay a dividend?
PT AKR Corporindo Tbk, a logistics and supply chain company, currently shows a dividend yield of about 9.01% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 25, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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