AKR Corporindo Tbk PT (PKCPY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 18, 2026: fair value of AKR Corporindo Tbk PT $2.78, price $1.63, upside +70.6%, quality 66 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.2269 – $2.16 · fair‑value band $2.09 – $3.48 · the $1.63 price screens below the $2.78 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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PT AKR Corporindo Tbk, a logistics and supply chain company, engages in distribution and trading of petroleum and basic chemical products in Indonesia. It operates through four segments: Trading and Distribution, Logistics Services, Manufacturing, and Industrial Estate and related utility services.
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PT AKR Corporindo Tbk, a logistics and supply chain company, engages in distribution and trading of petroleum and basic chemical products in Indonesia. It operates through four segments: Trading and Distribution, Logistics Services, Manufacturing, and Industrial Estate and related utility services. The Trading and Distribution segment distributes petroleum products, and base chemicals, such as caustic soda, sodium sulphate, PVC resins, soda ash, chlor-alkali chemicals, and solvents, as well as organic and non-organic chemicals. The Logistics Services segment offers rental of storage tanks and warehouses, bagging, port handling, and transportation services primarily for liquid and solid chemical, and petroleum products. The Manufacturing segment produces and sells adhesive materials. The Industrial Estate segment leases and sells industrial estate land, sales of electricity, and other related services to tenants of the estate. The company is also involved in coal trading and mining; domestic shipping; installation, construction, operation, and generation of electric power; industrial estate operations and supporting facilities; and trading and distribution of lubricants. The company was formerly known as PT Aneka Kimia Raya Tbk and changed its name to PT AKR Corporindo Tbk in September 2004. The company was incorporated in 1977 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia. PT AKR Corporindo Tbk operates as a subsidiary of PT Arthakencana Rayatama.
Stock analysis
AKR Corporindo Tbk PT ADR (PKCPY) currently trades at $1.63, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.78, implying the stock looks roughly 41.4% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $5.97 per share, and 23 of the 24 models we run sit above the $1.63 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $1.03, and 1 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $2.09 (bear) to $3.48 (bull), the price of $1.63 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
AKR Corporindo Tbk PT ADR reported revenue of 46.4T IDR in FY2025 versus 25.7T IDR in FY2021, a compound +15.9%/yr. Reported net income was 2.5T IDR in FY2025, compounding +22.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $1.3B · P/E ratio 9.1 · P/S ratio 0.49 · EPS (TTM) $0.1800 · Dividend yield 9.0% · Net margin 5.4% · Return on equity 18.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −61% fair-value upside, at 71%, PKCPY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $2.09Fair Value $2.78Bull $3.48
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.1317 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+19.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.9% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+31.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+22.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)9.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.22% vs 10%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−5.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+2.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in IDR, Indonesia: IMF forecast 2.6% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −7.8% a year for the price and −0.4% for the forecasts.
Compare AKR Corporindo Tbk PT ADR with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · 111 stocks
Beats the industry median on 13/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+71% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)19% · Top 25%
Return on assets6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)5% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth26% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)9.0% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.30× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing median · lower = cheaper
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Is AKR Corporindo Tbk PT (PKCPY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.78 versus a price of $1.63, about +71% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of PKCPY?
Our model-based fair value for AKR Corporindo Tbk PT ADR is $2.78 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.63.
What is the quality score of PKCPY?
AKR Corporindo Tbk PT ADR has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for AKR Corporindo Tbk PT (PKCPY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $2.78 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $2.09, optimistic scenario $3.48. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the AKR Corporindo Tbk PT ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $2.78, about +71% upside versus a price of $1.63 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $2.09, optimistic scenario $3.48. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of AKR Corporindo Tbk PT (PKCPY)?
AKR Corporindo Tbk PT ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 42.5T IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does AKR Corporindo Tbk PT ADR pay a dividend?
AKR Corporindo Tbk PT ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 9.01% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into AKR Corporindo Tbk PT (PKCPY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, AKR Corporindo Tbk PT ADR would have to grow free cash flow by -5.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +21.3 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of PKCPY use?
Our models discount AKR Corporindo Tbk PT ADR at 11.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For AKR Corporindo Tbk PT ADR that is -5.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has AKR Corporindo Tbk PT (PKCPY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at AKR Corporindo Tbk PT ADR grew +21.3 % a year. The price currently implies -5.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of AKR Corporindo Tbk PT (PKCPY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into AKR Corporindo Tbk PT ADR (-5.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of AKR Corporindo Tbk PT (PKCPY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 12.66 %: that much free cash flow AKR Corporindo Tbk PT ADR produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of AKR Corporindo Tbk PT (PKCPY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For AKR Corporindo Tbk PT ADR it is $2.78 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $1.63. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is AKR Corporindo Tbk PT ADR stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, PKCPY trades below its calculated fair value: price $1.63, fair value $2.78, a gap of about +71% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PKCPY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.63); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($2.78). For AKR Corporindo Tbk PT ADR the two are $1.15 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is AKR Corporindo Tbk PT ADR worth?
The market values AKR Corporindo Tbk PT ADR at about $1.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $1.63; our models calculate a fair value of $2.78 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PKCPY?
Our models span a range for AKR Corporindo Tbk PT ADR: cautious scenario $2.09, base $2.78, optimistic $3.48 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $1.63). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of PKCPY?
AKR Corporindo Tbk PT ADR trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.1 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $2.78 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.1, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 2.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of AKR Corporindo Tbk PT (PKCPY)?
Balance-sheet figures for AKR Corporindo Tbk PT ADR (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 18.9%, debt of 0.30 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 66/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PKCPY from its 52-week high?
AKR Corporindo Tbk PT ADR trades at $1.63, about 20% below its 52-week high of $2.04 and 4% above the low of $1.56 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $2.78 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to AKR Corporindo Tbk PT ADR?
From the same area (Energy) we also value Reliance Industries Limited, Valero Energy Corporation, Marathon Petroleum Corporation, Phillips 66, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is AKR Corporindo Tbk PT ADR stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $1.63, calculated fair value $2.78 (+71%), Quality Score 66/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PKCPY calculated?
We run AKR Corporindo Tbk PT ADR through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $2.78, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. AKR Corporindo Tbk PT ADR currently trades 71 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of AKR Corporindo Tbk PT (PKCPY)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was $1.63. Our model-based fair value is $2.78, about +71% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with AKR Corporindo Tbk PT ADR right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($2.09). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (66/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Where does the earnings growth of AKR Corporindo Tbk PT (PKCPY) come from?
Earnings per share at AKR Corporindo Tbk PT ADR grew +11.3 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +9.2 %, EBIT margin +1.6 %, tax rate +0.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of AKR Corporindo Tbk PT ADR
How large is the market capitalisation of AKR Corporindo Tbk PT (PKCPY)?
The market capitalisation of AKR Corporindo Tbk PT ADR is $1.3B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of AKR Corporindo Tbk PT (PKCPY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of AKR Corporindo Tbk PT ADR is 0.49 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of AKR Corporindo Tbk PT (PKCPY)?
Earnings per share at AKR Corporindo Tbk PT ADR are $0.1800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of AKR Corporindo Tbk PT (PKCPY)?
The dividend yield of AKR Corporindo Tbk PT ADR is 9.0% (payout 81.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of AKR Corporindo Tbk PT (PKCPY)?
The net margin of AKR Corporindo Tbk PT ADR is 5.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of AKR Corporindo Tbk PT (PKCPY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of AKR Corporindo Tbk PT ADR is 18.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of AKR Corporindo Tbk PT (PKCPY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of AKR Corporindo Tbk PT ADR is 9.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast is revenue growing at AKR Corporindo Tbk PT (PKCPY)?
Revenue at AKR Corporindo Tbk PT ADR is growing +26.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at AKR Corporindo Tbk PT (PKCPY)?
Earnings per share at AKR Corporindo Tbk PT ADR are growing +16.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does AKR Corporindo Tbk PT (PKCPY) hold?
AKR Corporindo Tbk PT ADR holds more cash than debt, 693B IDR net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Some data
Sep 23, 2026