Dave & Buster's Entertainment, Inc (PLAY) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · US · Market cap $416M
Dave & Buster's Entertainment, Inc
PLAY · US
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 4 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from $10.49 to $30.57 (+191.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +1.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 198% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (36/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The model range is unusually wide ($6.51 to $54.62). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $9.54 – $68.29 · fair‑value band $6.51 – $54.62 · the $10.27 price screens below the $30.57 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Dave & Buster's Entertainment, Inc (PLAY) currently trades at $10.27, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $30.57, implying the stock looks roughly 197.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Dave & Buster's Entertainment, Inc generated revenue of $2.1B at a net margin of -3.1%. Revenue declined 1.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -52.5%. Net debt stands at $3.1B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $6.51 (bear case) to $54.62 (bull case); at $10.27, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 71% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -52% fair-value upside, at 198%, PLAY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 4 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($11.31) versus Asset-Based ($1.76). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (54).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 6
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Dave & Buster's Entertainment, Inc. owns and operates entertainment and dining venues for adults and families in North America.
Full company description
Dave & Buster's Entertainment, Inc. owns and operates entertainment and dining venues for adults and families in North America. Its venues offer a menu of entrées and appetizers, as well as a selection of alcoholic and non-alcoholic beverages; and an assortment of entertainment attractions centered on playing games and watching live sports, and other televised events. The company also provides food, drinks, and entertainment, including bowling, laser tag, arcade games, and virtual reality. The company operates its venues under the Dave & Buster's and Main Event brands. Dave & Buster's Entertainment, Inc. was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Coppell, Texas.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Dave & Buster's Entertainment, Inc reported revenue of $2.1B in FY2026 versus $1.3B in FY2022, a compound +12.7%/yr. Reported net income was −$48.7M in FY2026.
of which total revenue +11.3 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.3 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch PLAY: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Dave & Buster's (PLAY) Down 17.4% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Rebound?
- Dave & Buster’s Entertainment, Inc. (PLAY)’s Traffic Is Coming Back, But Is It Enough?
Peer Group
Entertainment · 265 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Netflix, Inc ZNFL | C$6.77 | C$2.96 | -56% |
| The Walt Disney Company DIS | $96.30 | $89.55 | -7% |
| Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD | $26.87 | $9.13 | -66% |
| Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV | $178.44 | $46.89 | -74% |
| Universal Music Group UMG | €18.91 | €14.78 | -22% |
| TKO Group TKO | $184.40 | $22.16 | -88% |
| Empresas Cablevisión, S.A. CABLECPO | 55.00 MXN | 60.49 MXN | +10% |
| Beijing Enlight Media Co 300251 | ¥11.77 | ¥10.97 | -7% |
| PT MNC Digital Entertainment Tbk, MSIN | 456.00 IDR | 221.09 IDR | -52% |
| Prime Focus Limited PFOCUS | ₹298.25 | ₹63.45 | -79% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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