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Podium Minerals Limited (POD) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$34.7M

PM Podium Minerals Limited POD · AU
PriceA$0.0400
Fair ValueA$0.0255
Upside-36.3%
Quality32/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
negative free cash flow
Ranks above peers (5/8)
Narrow moat 37/100
Evidence: Low Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 28 days ago

Share price +14.3% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 36% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Weak quality (32/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

A$0.8500 A$0.0220 Fair Value A$0.0255 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0220 – A$0.8500 · the A$0.0400 price screens above the A$0.0255 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Podium Minerals Limited (POD) currently trades at A$0.0400, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0255, implying the stock looks roughly 36.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

It earns a return on equity of -5.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$3.8M. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026

The share trades about 65% below its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at -36%, POD screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM A$0.0100 A$0.0100 70
DDM Multi-Stage A$0.0100 61
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0200 A$0.0200 A$0.0300 50
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM A$0.0100 A$0.0100 70
DDM Multi-Stage A$0.0100 61
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0200 A$0.0200 A$0.0300 50

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (A$0.0200) versus Dividend Discount (A$0.0100). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) −A$197K
Revenue growth (YoY) -99.9%
Return on equity -5.6%
Free cash flow −A$1.3M FY2025
Operating margin 67.8%
Net cash A$3.8M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 32/100

Of which business quality 33 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 15

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 76
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 7
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 85
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 37
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 20
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 12
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 15
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Podium Minerals Limited operates as an exploration and resource development company in Australia. The company primarily explores for platinum, palladium, rhodium, and iridium; and nickel, copper, cobalt, and gold deposits. Its flagship project is the Parks Reef project located in the Mid-West region of Western Australia.

Full company description

Podium Minerals Limited operates as an exploration and resource development company in Australia. The company primarily explores for platinum, palladium, rhodium, and iridium; and nickel, copper, cobalt, and gold deposits. Its flagship project is the Parks Reef project located in the Mid-West region of Western Australia. The company was formerly known as Weld Range Metals Limited. The company was incorporated in 1986 and is headquartered in West Perth, Australia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2016 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Podium Minerals Limited reported revenue of A$102K in FY2021 versus A$0 in FY2016. Reported net income was −A$1.6M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Revenue
FY16 A$0
FY17 A$2.3M
FY18 A$0
FY21 A$102K
Net income
FY21 −A$1.6M
FY22 −A$6.0M
FY23 −A$6.9M
FY24 −A$2.4M
FY25 −A$1.6M

POD screens 36% overvalued. Compare with BHP Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Podium Minerals Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/POD

Peer Group

Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 475 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 32 · Below median
Fair Value upside −36% · Below median
Return on assets -4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 68% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -100% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.82× · Cheaper than median

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BHP Group BHPN 1,425 MXN 942.42 MXN -34%
Rio Tinto Group RIO A$164.89 A$81.76 -50%
Grupo México, S.A. GMEXICOB 199.23 MXN 187.72 MXN -6%
Vale S.A VALE $14.19 $9.14 -36%
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 58.05 SAR 33.87 SAR -42%
CMOC Group 603993 ¥18.20 ¥16.15 -11%
Fortescue Ltd FMG A$18.47 A$18.62 +1%
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥74.71 ¥9.55 -87%
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹521.95 ₹576.80 +11%
China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 ¥39.56 ¥10.59 -73%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Podium Minerals Limited (POD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0255 versus a price of A$0.0400, about −36% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of POD?
Our model-based fair value for Podium Minerals Limited is A$0.0255 (as of Jul 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is A$0.0400.
What is the quality score of POD?
Podium Minerals Limited has a Quality Score of 32/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the net profit margin of POD?
The net profit margin of Podium Minerals Limited is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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