Permian Resources Corporation (PR) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 4, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Permian Resources Corporation stock $21.53, price $22.43, that is 4.0% below the price, quality 34 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 23 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $3.52 – $26.02 · fair‑value band $9.15 – $47.34 · the $22.43 price screens above the $21.53 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 3 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 5, 2026.
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Permian Resources Corporation, an independent oil and natural gas company, focuses on the development of crude oil and associated liquids-rich natural gas reserves in the United States. The company's assets primarily focus on the Delaware Basin, a sub-basin of the Permian Basin.
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Its properties consist of acreage blocks in Reeves County in West Texas and Lea County in New Mexico. The company was formerly known as Centennial Resource Development, Inc. and changed its name to Permian Resources Corporation in September 2022.
The company was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Midland, Texas.
Stock analysis
Permian Resources Corporation (PR) currently trades at $22.43, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $21.53, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 4.2%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $45.80 per share, and 10 of the 23 models we run sit above the $22.43 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $9.30, and 13 of the 23 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $9.15 (bear) to $47.34 (bull), the price of $22.43 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Permian Resources Corporation reported revenue of $5.1B in FY2025 versus $1.0B in FY2021, a compound +48.9%/yr. Reported net income was $935M in FY2025, compounding +61.3%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap $19.1B Large · P/E ratio 14.8 · P/S ratio 3.33 · EPS (TTM) $1.52 · Dividend yield 2.8% · Net margin 21.5% · Return on equity 11.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 69 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 91% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −4%, PR screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$9.15Fair Value $21.53Bull$47.34
Price $22.43 · Downside -4.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.7644 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EPV$10.23$12.78$15.0474
Residual Income$10.76$11.85$14.8274
FCF DCF$12.87$23.34$57.7670
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF$12.87$23.34$57.7670
5Y Revenue Exit$4.56$9.66$20.2565
5Y EBITDA Exit$14.93$30.65$61.5168
5Y P/E Exit$9.43$25.33$46.8764
10Y Revenue Exit$6.80$17.04$22.6864
10Y EBITDA Exit$14.81$39.99$84.5460
10Y P/E Exit$10.69$27.82$55.6957
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd$7.59$52.95$74.3161
Lynch FV$27.36$39.08$50.8059
PEG = 1.0$27.36$39.08$50.8055
EPV$10.23$12.78$15.0474
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM$5.18$11.41$19.4063
DDM Multi-Stage$5.18$9.30$11.8764
Multiples
P/E Multiple$11.72$15.63$19.5463
P/S Multiple$5.44$7.26$9.0758
EV/EBIT$8.94$13.33$17.7265
EV/EBITDA$14.59$20.87$27.1467
EV/Revenue$0.8500$3.03$5.2049
Growth DCF
Growth DCF$11.90$29.48$59.1570
Rev-Margin DCF$5.39$11.66$24.8965
Economic Profit
Residual Income$10.76$11.85$14.8274
ROIC Compounder$10.23$13.64$20.4568
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E$32.06$45.80$59.5465
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
In the last 6 months, 3 officers or directors sold shares worth $1.7M and none bought.
SaleJohn Charles BellEVP, General Counsel3× since Jan 5, 2026: 344,653 shares, avg. $16.06$5.5MSep 3, 2026
SaleRobert Regan ShannonEVP, Chief Accounting Officer3× since Jan 5, 2026: 190,628 shares, avg. $14.17$2.7MSep 3, 2026
SaleGuy M OliphintEVP, Chief Financial Officer4× since Jan 5, 2026: 381,024 shares, avg. $15.08$5.7MSep 3, 2026
SaleWilliam J QuinnDirector2× since Mar 11, 2026: 1,312,429 shares, avg. $19.32$25.4MMar 18, 2026
SaleAron MarquezDirector13,000 shares at $19.60$254,850Mar 18, 2026
SaleJeffrey TepperDirector50,000 shares at $19.38$969,000Mar 12, 2026
SaleWilliam M Hickey IIICo-Chief Executive Officer, Director2× since Jan 5, 2026: 1,676,128 shares, avg. $16.20$27.1MMar 4, 2026
SaleJames H WalterCo-Chief Executive Officer, Director2× since Jan 5, 2026: 1,451,128 shares, avg. $15.86$23.0MMar 4, 2026
Plus 11 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+33.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+54.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +49.6% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+40.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+40.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+37.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.37.5% vs 7.6%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−134% → 29%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+18.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+8.1%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +16.1% a year for the price and +5.6% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (100 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
AI conclusion: Permian Resources shows operational agility in the Delaware Basin through bolt-on acquisitions and workovers that deliver record free cash flow, yet stays exposed to swings in local gas market prices.
Main risk: Federal, state and local rules on hydraulic fracturing could raise costs, impose operating limits or delay wells and cut production in the Permian Basin.
Bull case: The company could navigate tighter fracking rules by adopting advanced drilling and completion technologies that reduce surface impact and secure faster permits while maintaining output levels.
Bear case: Stricter federal or state fracking regulations or an adverse outcome in the antitrust case could force production cuts, sharply higher compliance costs or limits on new drilling across its core Delaware Basin acreage.
Permian Resources generated record free cash flow in its latest quarter by lifting working interests through bolt-on acquisitions and ramping workovers, while curtailing roughly one-fifth of gas volumes to avoid negative Waha prices. That mix shows real operational agility in the Delaware Basin yet leaves the business exposed to local gas market swings. Will continued high working interest execution and disciplined acreage adds outweigh the drag from volatile gas realizations?
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 237 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/15 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−4.0% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)11.4% · Above median
Return on assets5.1% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)21.5% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)57.4% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)55.1% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)2.8% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.35× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
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Is Permian Resources Corporation (PR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $21.53 versus a price of $22.43, about 4% lower (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of PR?
Our model-based fair value for Permian Resources Corporation is $21.53 (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $22.43.
What is the quality score of PR?
Permian Resources Corporation has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Permian Resources Corporation (PR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $21.53 (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario $9.15, optimistic scenario $47.34. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Permian Resources Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $21.53, about 4% lower versus a price of $22.43 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $9.15, optimistic scenario $47.34. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Permian Resources Corporation (PR)?
Permian Resources Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $5.7B (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
Does Permian Resources Corporation pay a dividend?
Permian Resources Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of 2.76% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 5, 2026).
What growth is priced into Permian Resources Corporation (PR)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Permian Resources Corporation would have to grow free cash flow by +18.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +54.2 % per year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of PR use?
Our models discount Permian Resources Corporation at 8.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.65, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Permian Resources Corporation that is +18.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Permian Resources Corporation (PR) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Permian Resources Corporation grew +54.2 % a year. The price currently implies +18.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Permian Resources Corporation (PR) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +14.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Permian Resources Corporation (+18.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Permian Resources Corporation (PR)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.91 %: that much free cash flow Permian Resources Corporation produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Permian Resources Corporation (PR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Permian Resources Corporation it is $21.53 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of $22.43. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Permian Resources Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, PR trades above its calculated fair value: price $22.43, fair value $21.53, a gap of about −4% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PR?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($22.43); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($21.53). For Permian Resources Corporation the two are $0.8995 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Permian Resources Corporation worth?
The market values Permian Resources Corporation at about $19.1B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is $22.43; our models calculate a fair value of $21.53 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PR?
Our models span a range for Permian Resources Corporation: cautious scenario $9.15, base $21.53, optimistic $47.34 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price $22.43). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of PR?
Permian Resources Corporation trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.8 (as of Nov 5, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $21.53 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 8 fiscal years (2017 to 2025), reported earnings: 12.1. Other multiples: PEG 1.2, P/B 1.9, P/S 3.3, EV/EBITDA 5.3.
What is the PEG ratio of PR?
The PEG ratio of Permian Resources Corporation is 1.25 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 5, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Permian Resources Corporation (PR)?
Balance-sheet figures for Permian Resources Corporation (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity 11.4%, debt of 0.35 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 34/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PR from its 52-week high?
Permian Resources Corporation trades at $22.43, about 14% below its 52-week high of $26.02 and 91% above the low of $11.72 (as of Nov 4, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $21.53 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Permian Resources Corporation?
From the same area (Energy) we also value ConocoPhillips explores for,, CNOOC Limited, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Permian Resources Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price $22.43, calculated fair value $21.53 (−4%), Quality Score 34/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PR calculated?
We run Permian Resources Corporation through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $21.53, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.6% above its aggregate fair value. Permian Resources Corporation itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Permian Resources Corporation (PR)?
The closing price on Nov 4, 2026 was $22.43. Our model-based fair value is $21.53, about 4% lower (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Permian Resources Corporation right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($9.15 to $47.34). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
Key figures of Permian Resources Corporation
How large is the market capitalisation of Permian Resources Corporation (PR)?
The market capitalisation of Permian Resources Corporation is $19.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Permian Resources Corporation (PR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Permian Resources Corporation is 3.33 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Permian Resources Corporation (PR)?
Earnings per share at Permian Resources Corporation are $1.52 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 14.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Permian Resources Corporation (PR)?
The dividend yield of Permian Resources Corporation is 2.8% (payout 40.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Permian Resources Corporation (PR)?
The net margin of Permian Resources Corporation is 21.5% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Permian Resources Corporation (PR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Permian Resources Corporation is 11.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Permian Resources Corporation (PR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Permian Resources Corporation is 9.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Permian Resources Corporation (PR)?
The operating margin of Permian Resources Corporation is 57.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Permian Resources Corporation (PR)?
Revenue at Permian Resources Corporation is growing +55.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +33.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Permian Resources Corporation (PR)?
Earnings per share at Permian Resources Corporation are growing +233% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Permian Resources Corporation (PR) carry?
The net debt of Permian Resources Corporation is $3.5B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 6.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Some data
Nov 5, 2026