PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk (PSAT) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk IDR 528, price IDR 850, upside -37.9%, quality 42 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
15‑month range 705.00 IDR – 2,730 IDR · fair‑value band 396.16 IDR – 639.54 IDR · the 850.00 IDR price screens above the 528.22 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk operates in the shipping/sea transportation sector. The company operates in two segments, Shipping and Shipyard.
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PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk operates in the shipping/sea transportation sector. The company operates in two segments, Shipping and Shipyard. It offers shipping, vessel docking, and shipbuilding services; and engages in the field of ship, boat, and floating building repair industries, as well as wholesale trade in marine transportation equipment, spare parts, and equipment. The company was founded in 2007 and is based in Jakarta, Indonesia. PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk is a subsidiary of PT Profitama Hasil Indah.
Stock analysis
PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk (PSAT) currently trades at 850.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 528.22 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 60.9% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of 746.48 IDR per share, and 0 of the 15 models we run sit above the 850.00 IDR price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at 128.94 IDR, and 15 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 396.16 IDR (bear) to 639.54 IDR (bull), the price of 850.00 IDR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk reported revenue of 1.1T IDR in FY2025 versus 811B IDR in FY2022, a compound +9.9%/yr. Reported net income was 23.0B IDR in FY2025, compounding −48.4%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap 1.3T IDR (≈ $70.4M) · P/S ratio 1.36 · EPS (TTM) −23.99 IDR · Dividend yield 7.6% · Net margin 2.1% · Return on equity −2.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 13.1% · Operating margin 7.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 61% fair-value upside, at −38%, PSAT screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 396.16 IDRFair Value 528.22 IDRBull 639.54 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.43/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+9.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.9%
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years), in IDR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−44.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−52.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)7.6%
Profit margin 2022 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.23% → 4%
Compare PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Marine Shipping · 233 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−38% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)7% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−13% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)7.6% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.09× · Below median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 35
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 23
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)96· sector 89
DIVIDEND (yield)100· sector 54
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PSAT
Frequently asked questions
Is PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk (PSAT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 528.22 IDR versus a price of 850.00 IDR, about −38% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PSAT?
Our model-based fair value for PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk is 528.22 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 850.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of PSAT?
PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk (PSAT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 528.22 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario 396.16 IDR, optimistic scenario 639.54 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 528.22 IDR, about −38% upside versus a price of 850.00 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 396.16 IDR, optimistic scenario 639.54 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk (PSAT)?
PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 965B IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk pay a dividend?
PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.62% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk (PSAT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk it is 528.22 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 850.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, PSAT trades above its calculated fair value: price 850.00 IDR, fair value 528.22 IDR, a gap of about −38% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PSAT?
No. The price is what the market pays today (850.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (528.22 IDR). For PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk the two are 321.78 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk worth?
The market values PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk at about 1.3T IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 850.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 528.22 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PSAT?
Our models span a range for PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk: cautious scenario 396.16 IDR, base 528.22 IDR, optimistic 639.54 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 850.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk (PSAT)?
Balance-sheet figures for PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −2.9%, debt of 0.09 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PSAT from its 52-week high?
PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk trades at 850.00 IDR, about 40% below its 52-week high of 1,405 IDR and 21% above the low of 705.00 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 528.22 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited, COSCO SHIPPING Holdings, Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft,, Shanghai International Port (Group) Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 850.00 IDR, calculated fair value 528.22 IDR (−38%), Quality Score 42/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PSAT calculated?
We run PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 528.22 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk (PSAT)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 850.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 528.22 IDR, about −38% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (639.54 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk
How large is the market capitalisation of PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk (PSAT)?
The market capitalisation of PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk is 1.3T IDR (≈ $70.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk (PSAT)?
The price-to-sales ratio of PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk is 1.36 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk (PSAT)?
Earnings per share at PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk are −23.99 IDR. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk (PSAT)?
The dividend yield of PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk is 7.6%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk (PSAT)?
The net margin of PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk is 2.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk (PSAT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk is −2.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk (PSAT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk is 13.1% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk (PSAT)?
The operating margin of PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk is 7.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk (PSAT)?
Revenue at PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk is growing −12.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +9.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk (PSAT)?
Earnings per share at PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk are growing −56.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk (PSAT) generate?
The free cash flow of PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk is −289B IDR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk (PSAT) carry?
The net debt of PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk is 127B IDR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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