PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk (PSAT) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · ID · Market cap 1.3T IDR
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from 326.26 IDR to 528.22 IDR (+61.9%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +13.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 42% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (696.70 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (13 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
13‑month range 705.00 IDR – 2,730 IDR · fair‑value band 396.16 IDR – 696.70 IDR · the 905.00 IDR price screens above the 528.22 IDR fair value. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk (PSAT) currently trades at 905.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 528.22 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 41.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk generated revenue of 1.0T IDR at a net margin of -2.6%. Revenue declined 28.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -2.1%. Net debt stands at 127B IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 396.16 IDR (bear case) to 696.70 IDR (bull case); at 905.00 IDR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 73% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 67% fair-value upside, at -42%, PSAT screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (1,160 IDR) versus Earnings-Based (130.04 IDR). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk operates in the shipping/sea transportation sector. The company operates in two segments, Shipping and Shipyard.
Full company description
PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk operates in the shipping/sea transportation sector. The company operates in two segments, Shipping and Shipyard. It offers shipping, vessel docking, and shipbuilding services; and engages in the field of ship, boat, and floating building repair industries, as well as wholesale trade in marine transportation equipment, spare parts, and equipment. The company was founded in 2007 and is based in Jakarta, Indonesia. PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk is a subsidiary of PT Profitama Hasil Indah.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT Pancaran Samudera Transport Tbk reported revenue of 1.1T IDR in FY2025 versus 811B IDR in FY2022, a compound +9.9%/yr. Reported net income was 23.0B IDR in FY2025, compounding −48.4%/yr from FY2022.
PSAT screens 42% overvalued. Compare with Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited →
Peer Group
Marine Shipping · 231 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ADANIPORTS | ₹1,828 | ₹1,041 | -43% |
| A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S MAERSKA | kr 16,520 | kr 3,033 | -82% |
| COSCO SHIPPING Holdings 601919 | ¥13.98 | ¥40.37 | +189% |
| Shanghai International Port (Group) Co 600018 | ¥5.17 | ¥6.57 | +27% |
| HMM Co 011200 | 20,050 KRW | 33,855 KRW | +69% |
| Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company 601018 | ¥3.35 | ¥5.58 | +67% |
| Qingdao Port International Co 601298 | ¥8.88 | ¥15.97 | +80% |
| JSW Infrastructure Limited JSWINFRA | ₹330.05 | ₹126.31 | -62% |
| Wan Hai Lines Ltd 2615 | 80.70 TWD | 212.79 TWD | +164% |
| Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA WAWI | kr 137.70 | kr 50.56 | -63% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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