PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk (PSBAF) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $5.0B
PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk
PSBAF · US
Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026
From 20 valuation models · updated 10 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 31, 2026, revised from $0.1400 to $0.1300 (−7.1%) since Jun 26, 2026.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- A fairly wide model range ($0.0800 to $0.1800) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 31, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0011 – $0.9378 · fair‑value band $0.0800 – $0.1800 · the $0.1210 price screens below the $0.1300 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 31, 2026.
Analysis
PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk (PSBAF) currently trades at $0.1210, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.1300, implying the stock looks roughly 7.4% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk generated revenue of $124T at a net margin of 2.7%. Revenue grew 7.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 19.1%. Net debt stands at $1.1T. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.0800 (bear case) to $0.1800 (bull case); at $0.1210, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -31% fair-value upside, at 7%, PSBAF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 20 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($0.1328) versus Asset-Based ($0.0277). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk engages in the retail distribution of consumer products in Indonesia. The company offers food and non-food products. It also operates minimarket networks and franchise services under the Alfamart brand.
Full company description
PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk engages in the retail distribution of consumer products in Indonesia. The company offers food and non-food products. It also operates minimarket networks and franchise services under the Alfamart brand. In addition, the company engages in the retail distribution of cosmetics; retail and wholesale distribution of consumer products through internet; and pharmacy business. The company was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Tangerang, Indonesia. PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk operates as a subsidiary of PT. Sigmantara Alfindo.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk reported revenue of $127T in FY2025 versus $84.9T in FY2021, a compound +10.5%/yr. Reported net income was $3.4T in FY2025, compounding +15.4%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Grocery Stores · 83 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Grocery Stores median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Grocery Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Loblaw Companies Limited L | C$65.49 | C$44.44 | -32% |
| Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize N.V AD | €36.30 | €53.50 | +47% |
| The Kroger Co KR | $58.82 | $28.19 | -52% |
| Woolworths Group WOW | A$39.20 | A$13.40 | -66% |
| George Weston Limited WN | C$100.98 | C$63.61 | -37% |
| Coles Group COL | A$23.56 | A$15.86 | -33% |
| Metro Inc MRU | C$93.64 | C$94.01 | +0% |
| Carrefour SA CA | €16.40 | €11.51 | -30% |
| CP ALL Public Company TCPD | 1.89 SGD | 2.36 SGD | +25% |
| BIM Birlesik Magazalar A.S., BIMAS | 385.75 TRY | 267.12 TRY | -31% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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