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Psyence Group (PSYGF) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $2.0M

PG Psyence Group logo Psyence Group PSYGF · US
Price$0.1270
Fair Value$0.1800
Upside+41.7%
Quality58/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/8)
Narrow moat 6/100
Evidence: Low Range $0.1200 – $0.2200 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 10 days ago

A solid business, screening 42% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range ($0.1200 to $0.2200) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$3.30 $0.0008 Fair Value $0.1800 Oct 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 31, 2026.

How to read this chart

57‑month range $0.0008 – $3.30 · fair‑value band $0.1200 – $0.2200 · the $0.1270 price screens below the $0.1800 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 31, 2026.

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Analysis

Psyence Group (PSYGF) currently trades at $0.1270, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.1800, implying the stock looks roughly 41.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $5.5K. It earns a return on equity of -43.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $8.9M. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.1200 (bear case) to $0.2200 (bull case); at $0.1270, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at 42%, PSYGF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $0.0400 $0.0500 $0.0800 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0400 $0.0500 $0.0800 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $5.5K
Return on equity -43.1%
Free cash flow −$5.6M FY2025
EPS (TTM) $-0.7400
Net cash $8.9M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51

Profitability 1
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 75
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 51
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 50
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 58
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 44
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 57
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Psyence Group Inc., a life science biotechnology company, engages in the research, cultivation, and production of psychedelics and nature-based compounds to treat psychological trauma. It operates in two segments, Clinical Trial Activities and Non-Clinical Trial Activities.

Full company description

Psyence Group Inc., a life science biotechnology company, engages in the research, cultivation, and production of psychedelics and nature-based compounds to treat psychological trauma. It operates in two segments, Clinical Trial Activities and Non-Clinical Trial Activities. The company develops botanical psilocybin-based psychedelic medicine, which works with natural psilocybin products for the healing of psychological trauma and its mental health consequences in the context of palliative care. It also focuses on the research and development, cultivation, and production of psilocybin mushrooms and functional over-the-counter mushroom products. The company offers its functional mushroom products under the GOODMIND brand. Psyence Group Inc. was founded in 2019 and is based in Toronto, Canada.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Psyence Group reported revenue of $0 in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −$400K in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2023)
$5.5K
Latest YoY
+0.0%
Revenue
FY21 $0
FY22 $5.5K
FY23 $5.5K
FY24 $0
FY25 $0
Net income
FY21 −$92.5K
FY22 −$4.6M
FY23 −$6.1M
FY24 −$69.4M
FY25 −$400K

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Psyence Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PSYGF

Peer Group

Drug Manufacturers - General · 76 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 61 · Below median
Fair Value upside +42% · Top 25%
Return on assets -20% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 0% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Drug Manufacturers - General median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.59× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 89 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 24
PAST 0 · sector 50
HEALTH 0 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 46

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Drug Manufacturers - General stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Eli Lilly and Company LLY $1,182 $396.77 -66%
Johnson & Johnson, JNJ $257.59 $169.04 -34%
AbbVie Inc ABBV $254.49 $67.72 -73%
Roche Holding 1RO €392.80 €226.68 -42%
Merck & Co MRK €108.08 €121.54 +12%
Novartis AG NVSN 2,742 MXN 2,379 MXN -13%
AstraZeneca PLC AZN $171.61 $129.54 -25%
Novo Nordisk A/S NOVOB kr 329.90 kr 409.46 +24%
Amgen Inc AMGN $363.39 $252.02 -31%
Sanofi SNYN 770.00 MXN 1,251 MXN +63%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Psyence Group (PSYGF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 31, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.1800 versus a price of $0.1270, about +42% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of PSYGF?
Our model-based fair value for Psyence Group is $0.1800 (as of Jul 31, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.1270.
What is the quality score of PSYGF?
Psyence Group has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Psyence Group (PSYGF)?
Psyence Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $5.5K (latest available figure, as of Jul 31, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PSYGF?
The net profit margin of Psyence Group is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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