PT Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk, (PTBA) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · ID · Market cap 27.7T IDR
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 21 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from 3,515 IDR to 3,792 IDR (+7.9%) since Jul 18, 2026. Share price +0.9% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 60% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (2,844 IDR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 878.62 IDR – 3,038 IDR · fair‑value band 2,844 IDR – 4,804 IDR · the 2,370 IDR price screens below the 3,792 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
PT Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk, (PTBA) currently trades at 2,370 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3,792 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 60.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, PT Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk, generated revenue of 42.6T IDR at a net margin of 7.8%. Revenue declined 0.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 665B IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 2,844 IDR (bear case) to 4,804 IDR (bull case); at 2,370 IDR, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at 60%, PTBA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (5,719 IDR) versus Asset-Based (1,308 IDR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in coal mining activities in Indonesia. The company's coal mining activities include general surveying, exploration, exploitation, processing, refining, transportation, and trading.
Full company description
PT Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in coal mining activities in Indonesia. The company's coal mining activities include general surveying, exploration, exploitation, processing, refining, transportation, and trading. It maintains special coal dock facilities; operates steam-fired power plants; and engages in the mining of coal methane gas. The company also offers briquette processing, mining services, palm plantation and processing, and health services, as well as real estate and construction services. In addition, it engages in the hospital clinic and polyclinic; rental; port; and trade, services, workshop, development, industry, and transportation businesses. It also exports its products to India, South Korea, China, Cambodia, Vietnam, Japan, Bangladesh, Thailand, Taiwan, Philippines, Malaysia, Hong Kong, Spain, and Romania. The company was formerly known as PT Bukit Asam Tbk and was changed to PT Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk in February 2026. PT Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk was founded in 1876 and is headquartered in Tanjung Enim Selatan, Indonesia. PT Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk operates as a subsidiary of PT Mineral Industri Indonesia (Persero).
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk, reported revenue of 42.7T IDR in FY2025 versus 29.3T IDR in FY2021, a compound +9.9%/yr. Reported net income was 2.9T IDR in FY2025, compounding −22.0%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Thermal Coal · 101 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Thermal Coal median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Thermal Coal stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Shenhua Energy Company 601088 | ¥42.65 | ¥34.97 | -18% |
| Adani Enterprises Limited ADANIENT | ₹3,157 | ₹901.17 | -71% |
| Shaanxi Coal Industry Company 601225 | ¥24.30 | ¥23.90 | -2% |
| Yankuang Energy Group 600188 | ¥20.23 | ¥13.24 | -35% |
| Coal India Limited COALINDIA | ₹427.65 | ₹464.01 | +9% |
| China Coal Energy Company 601898 | ¥12.54 | ¥13.97 | +11% |
| Inner Mongolia Dian Tou Energy Corporation 002128 | ¥25.13 | ¥21.99 | -12% |
| Shanxi Lu'an Environmental Energy Development Co 601699 | ¥16.26 | ¥7.20 | -56% |
| PT Alamtri Resources Indonesia Tbk, ADRO | 2,490 IDR | 3,220 IDR | +29% |
| PT Petrindo Jaya Kreasi Tbk, through its subsidiaries, CUAN | 630.00 IDR | 360.72 IDR | -43% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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