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Patronus Resources Ltd (PTN) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 30, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Patronus Resources Ltd stock A$0.04, price A$0.05, that is 6.1% below the price, quality 39 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Basic Materials AU · ISIN AU0000348823

PR Patronus Resources Ltd logo Thin data Oct 29, 2026

Patronus Resources Ltd

PTN · AU
Fairly valued, weak quality

The stock costs about what our calculation considers fair.

Fair value A$0.0422 · Fairly valued (−6.1%)
Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +92.0 %/yr in AUD)
Revenue last quarter 12% below a year ago.
Quality 39/100
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/7)
Narrow moat 9/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$0.1581 A$0.0280 Fair Value A$0.0422 Jun 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0280 – A$0.1581 · fair‑value band A$0.0378 – A$0.0466 · the A$0.0450 price screens above the A$0.0422 fair value. As of Oct 29, 2026.

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Company profile

Patronus Resources Limited engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in Australia. It explores for gold, base metal, uranium, zinc, lead, copper, and silver deposits.

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The company was formerly known as Kin Mining NL and changed its name to Patronus Resources Limited in August 2024. Patronus Resources Limited was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in West Perth, Australia.

Stock analysis

Patronus Resources Ltd (PTN) currently trades at A$0.0450, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0422, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 6.5%).

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: A$0.0378 (bear) to A$0.0466 (bull), the price of A$0.0450 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Patronus Resources Ltd reported revenue of A$575K in FY2026 versus A$7.7K in FY2022, a compound +193.9%/yr. Reported net income was −A$8.6M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap A$66.6M (≈ $46.8M) Micro · P/S ratio 23.6 · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0100 · Return on equity −12.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −40.6% · Operating margin −210% · Revenue growth (YoY) −11.5% · Free cash flow −A$10.7M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 9 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −6% fair-value upside, at −6%, PTN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.0378 Fair Value A$0.0422 Bull A$0.0466
Price A$0.0450 · Downside -6.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0300 A$0.0400 A$0.0500 53
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0300 A$0.0400 A$0.0500 53

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 91
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 16
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 81
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 0
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 21
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 5
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 50
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 30/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−147,291.2% (2022) → −2,188.5% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Gold · 197 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 39 · Below median
Fair Value upside −6.2% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −12.7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −11.5% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Gold median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.05× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 22.62× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)25 · sector 12
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 100
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 42
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 28

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM $165.38 $220.07 +33% vs PTN
AngloGold Ashanti plc AU $79.79 $88.60 +11% vs PTN
Newmont Corporation NEM $106.61 $117.27 +10% vs PTN
Shandong Gold Mining Co 600547 ¥23.31 ¥23.61 +1% vs PTN
Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV $224.95 $212.28 −6% vs PTN
Royal Gold, Inc RGLD $228.77 $213.90 −7% vs PTN
Kinross Gold Corporation KGC $20.13 $18.00 −11% vs PTN
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM $116.58 $88.26 −24% vs PTN
Northern Star Resources Limited NST A$24.07 A$16.87 −30% vs PTN
Zijin Mining Group 601899 ¥27.60 ¥15.62 −43% vs PTN

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Patronus Resources Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PTN.AU

Frequently asked questions

Is Patronus Resources Ltd (PTN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0422 versus a price of A$0.0450, about 6% lower (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of PTN?
Our model-based fair value for Patronus Resources Ltd is A$0.0422 (as of Oct 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0450.
What is the quality score of PTN?
Patronus Resources Ltd has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Patronus Resources Ltd (PTN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0422 (as of Oct 29, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0378, optimistic scenario A$0.0466. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Patronus Resources Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0422, about 6% lower versus a price of A$0.0450 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario A$0.0378, optimistic scenario A$0.0466. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Patronus Resources Ltd (PTN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Patronus Resources Ltd it is A$0.0422 per share (as of Oct 29, 2026), against a price of A$0.0450. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Patronus Resources Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 29, 2026, PTN trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.0450, fair value A$0.0422, a gap of about −6% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PTN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0450); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0422). For Patronus Resources Ltd the two are A$0.0028 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Patronus Resources Ltd worth?
The market values Patronus Resources Ltd at about A$66.6M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 29, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0450; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0422 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PTN?
Our models span a range for Patronus Resources Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0378, base A$0.0422, optimistic A$0.0466 per share (as of Oct 29, 2026, price A$0.0450). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Patronus Resources Ltd (PTN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Patronus Resources Ltd (as of Oct 29, 2026): return on equity −12.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PTN from its 52-week high?
Patronus Resources Ltd trades at A$0.0450, about 48% below its 52-week high of A$0.0870 and 13% above the low of A$0.0400 (as of Oct 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0422 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Patronus Resources Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Newmont Corporation, Zijin Mining Group, Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, Wheaton Precious Metals Corp, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Patronus Resources Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 29, 2026: price A$0.0450, calculated fair value A$0.0422 (−6%), Quality Score 39/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PTN calculated?
We run Patronus Resources Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0422, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Patronus Resources Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Patronus Resources Ltd (PTN)?
The closing price on Oct 30, 2026 was A$0.0450. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0422, about 6% lower (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Patronus Resources Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Patronus Resources Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Patronus Resources Ltd (PTN)?
The market capitalisation of Patronus Resources Ltd is A$66.6M (≈ $46.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Patronus Resources Ltd (PTN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Patronus Resources Ltd is 23.6 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Patronus Resources Ltd (PTN)?
Earnings per share at Patronus Resources Ltd are A$−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Patronus Resources Ltd (PTN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Patronus Resources Ltd is −12.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Patronus Resources Ltd (PTN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Patronus Resources Ltd is −40.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Patronus Resources Ltd (PTN)?
The operating margin of Patronus Resources Ltd is −210% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Patronus Resources Ltd (PTN)?
Revenue at Patronus Resources Ltd is growing −11.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +92.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Patronus Resources Ltd (PTN) generate?
The free cash flow of Patronus Resources Ltd is −A$10.7M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Patronus Resources Ltd (PTN) hold?
Patronus Resources Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$4.3M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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