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Pembangunan Perumahan PT (PTPP) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · ID · Market cap 1.3T IDR (≈ $130M) · ISIN ID1000114002

What is Pembangunan Perumahan PT really worth?

PP Pembangunan Perumahan PT PTPP · JK
Price212.00 IDR
Fair Value51.60 IDR
Upside−75.7%
Quality29/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 311% above our fair value of 51.60 IDR.

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Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +0.5 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -39.0% net margin
!High debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/10)
!Narrow moat 11/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Low Range 26.08 IDR – 77.57 IDR

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 21 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 79.82 IDR to 51.60 IDR (−35.4%) since Jul 19, 2026. Share price +5.0% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (77.57 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (29/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The model range is unusually wide (26.08 IDR to 77.57 IDR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

1,495 IDR 171.00 IDR Fair Value 51.60 IDR Mar 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 171.00 IDR – 1,495 IDR · fair‑value band 26.08 IDR – 77.57 IDR · the 212.00 IDR price screens above the 51.60 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Pembangunan Perumahan PT (PTPP) currently trades at 212.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 51.60 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 310.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 341.16 IDR per share, and 1 of the 3 models we run sit above the 212.00 IDR price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 47.54 IDR, and 2 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Pembangunan Perumahan PT generated revenue of 15.6T IDR at a net margin of −39.0%. Revenue declined 19.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −82.1%. Net debt stands at 15.1T IDR. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 26.08 IDR (bear case) to 77.57 IDR (bull case); at 212.00 IDR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 58% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at −76%, PTPP screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
DDM Multi-Stage 28.79 IDR 47.54 IDR 65.50 IDR 66
Gordon GGM 28.79 IDR 62.85 IDR 105.76 IDR 65
NCAV (Graham) 254.60 IDR 341.16 IDR 509.20 IDR 54
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 28.79 IDR 62.85 IDR 105.76 IDR 65
DDM Multi-Stage 28.79 IDR 47.54 IDR 65.50 IDR 66
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 254.60 IDR 341.16 IDR 509.20 IDR 54

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (341.16 IDR) versus Dividend Discount (47.54 IDR). Highest evidence: DDM Multi-Stage (66).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 0.08 TTM
EPS (TTM) −984.00 IDR
Dividend yield 1.7%
Net margin −37.3% FY2025
Return on equity −82.1% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) −2.0% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin 4.8% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 15.6T IDR TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −19.2% 3y avg −4.9%
EPS growth (YoY) −16.7%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −1.5T IDR FY2025
Net debt 15.1T IDR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 29/100

Of which business quality 26 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32

Profitability 5
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 14
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 6
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 97
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 67
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 23
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 8
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

PT PP (Persero) Tbk operates as a construction and investment company in Indonesia. It operates through Construction; Engineering, Procurement, and Construction (EPC, Property and Realty); Precast; Equipment Rent; Energy; Revenue from Concession Asset; Toll Road Revenue; and Mining segments.

Full company description

PT PP (Persero) Tbk operates as a construction and investment company in Indonesia. It operates through Construction; Engineering, Procurement, and Construction (EPC, Property and Realty); Precast; Equipment Rent; Energy; Revenue from Concession Asset; Toll Road Revenue; and Mining segments. The company engages in drainage and irrigation networks; weirs, dams, and tunnels; bridges and ground drilling locations; MRTs; jetties/ports; wave and ground barriers; reclamation and dredging; rice field printing and clearing; landscaping; drilling; airports; piping; maintenance of production facilities; ground transportation stations; and electrical, mechanical, heating, geothermal, oil and gas, and telecommunications installation. It is also involved in the construction of telecommunications, health, education, residential, office, lodging, processing, and industrial buildings; installation of glass, aluminum, foundations, piles, and prefabricated buildings; floor, wall, and sanitary and ceiling equipment work; painting; mounting scaffolding; exterior and interior decoration; electric power transmission; cooling installation and air ventilation; electricity generation; and information technology activities. In addition, the company engages in ready-to-build areas; housing procurement and management; development, construction, and sale of facilities; hospitality, campgrounds, caravans, tourist lodges, and other short-term accommodation; planning and supervision of construction work; management consulting, construction project management, industrial engineering, and planning; rental of construction equipment; building management; and system development activities. Further, it is involved in the construction and development of toll roads; oil and gas exploration and production contracting; storage of oil and gas goods; and drinking water treatment activities. PT PP (Persero) Tbk was incorporated in 1953 and is headquartered in Jakarta Timur, Indonesia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Pembangunan Perumahan PT reported revenue of 16.3T IDR in FY2025 versus 16.8T IDR in FY2021, a compound −0.7%/yr. Reported net income was −6.1T IDR in FY2025.

Growth Quality 6/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
16.3T IDR
Latest YoY
−17.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−4.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (19Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.5%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue −0.7%/yr
FY21 16.8T IDR
FY22 18.9T IDR
FY23 18.5T IDR
FY24 19.8T IDR
FY25 16.3T IDR
Net income
FY21 266B IDR
FY22 272B IDR
FY23 481B IDR
FY24 416B IDR
FY25 −6.1T IDR
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −8.3 % p.a.
Revenue per share +1.0 %

of which total revenue +3.4 % · buybacks/dilution −2.4 %

EBIT margin −19.4 %
Tax rate +3.9 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +8.4 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

PTPP screens 311% overvalued. Compare with Quanta Services, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Pembangunan Perumahan PT Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PTPP

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 836 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 26 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −76% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets −10% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −39% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Revenue growth −19% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.7% · Below median
Debt / equity 3.90× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

PEG 0.51× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 19
FUTURE0 · sector 12
PAST0 · sector 25
HEALTH0 · sector 94
DIVIDEND33 · sector 39

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Quanta Services, Inc PWR $616.73 $143.92 −77%
Vinci SA DG €114.35 €185.62 +62%
Comfort Systems USA, Inc FIX $1,615 $519.97 −68%
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹4,072 ₹2,196 −46%
Ferrovial N.V FER €57.28 €19.17 −67%
HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft HOT €426.40 €203.87 −52%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 373,000 KRW 261,411 KRW −30%
EMCOR Group EME $775.04 $549.47 −29%
MasTec, Inc MTZ $241.00 $100.00 −59%
Bouygues SA EN €46.65 €65.67 +41%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Pembangunan Perumahan PT (PTPP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 51.60 IDR versus a price of 212.00 IDR, about −76% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PTPP?
Our model-based fair value for Pembangunan Perumahan PT is 51.60 IDR (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 212.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of PTPP?
Pembangunan Perumahan PT has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Pembangunan Perumahan PT (PTPP)?
Pembangunan Perumahan PT reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 15.6T IDR (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PTPP?
The net profit margin of Pembangunan Perumahan PT is about −39.0%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Pembangunan Perumahan PT pay a dividend?
Pembangunan Perumahan PT currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.67% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).
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