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PT Pulau Subur Tbk (PTPS) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of PT Pulau Subur Tbk IDR 175, price IDR 158, upside +10.9%, quality 63 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Consumer Defensive · ID

PP Thin data Sep 24, 2026

PT Pulau Subur Tbk

PTPS · JK

NeutralThe stock looks roughly fairly valued with average quality.

·Fair value 175.19 IDR · Fairly valued (+11%)
!Quality 63/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +21.2 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 28.3% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
·2.22% dividend yield
✓Ranks above peers (9/10)
✓Wide moat 70/100
!Insider activity 30/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

392.01 IDR 58.86 IDR Fair Value 175.19 IDR Oct 2023 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

36‑month range 58.86 IDR – 392.01 IDR · fair‑value band 131.40 IDR – 218.99 IDR · the 158.00 IDR price screens below the 175.19 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

PT Pulau Subur Tbk provides palm oil development services in Indonesia. It also engages in agriculture, trading, forestry, fisheries, and services business. The company was founded in 1980 and is based in Palembang, Indonesia. PT Pulau Subur Tbk operates as a subsidiary of PT. Sekawan Kontrindo.

Stock analysis

PT Pulau Subur Tbk (PTPS) currently trades at 158.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 175.19 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 9.8% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 246.06 IDR per share, and 14 of the 26 models we run sit above the 158.00 IDR price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 55.89 IDR, and 12 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 131.40 IDR (bear) to 218.99 IDR (bull), the price of 158.00 IDR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

PT Pulau Subur Tbk reported revenue of 70.6B IDR in FY2025 versus 50.3B IDR in FY2021, a compound +8.9%/yr. Reported net income was 18.1B IDR in FY2025, compounding +4.8%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 342B IDR (≈ $19.1M) · P/S ratio 5.15 · Dividend yield 2.2% · Net margin 25.6% · Return on equity 9.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 24.1% · Operating margin 83.2% · Revenue (TTM) 65.6B IDR.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 45 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 78% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 11%, PTPS screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 131.40 IDR Fair Value 175.19 IDR Bull 218.99 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF 169.78 IDR 277.30 IDR 457.36 IDR 78
Growth DCF 168.36 IDR 265.65 IDR 422.18 IDR 77
Residual Income 72.87 IDR 80.28 IDR 106.30 IDR 76
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 169.78 IDR 277.30 IDR 457.36 IDR 78
Owner Earnings 130.44 IDR 207.69 IDR 337.04 IDR 75
5Y Revenue Exit 99.14 IDR 131.71 IDR 172.69 IDR 74
5Y EBITDA Exit 158.11 IDR 253.33 IDR 372.02 IDR 74
5Y P/E Exit 157.22 IDR 251.50 IDR 358.75 IDR 70
10Y Revenue Exit 121.47 IDR 160.24 IDR 214.05 IDR 68
10Y EBITDA Exit 160.83 IDR 247.37 IDR 377.22 IDR 68
10Y P/E Exit 160.26 IDR 246.06 IDR 366.36 IDR 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 56.73 IDR 263.80 IDR 362.41 IDR 64
Lynch FV 69.61 IDR 99.44 IDR 129.28 IDR 61
PEG = 1.0 69.61 IDR 99.44 IDR 129.28 IDR 57
EPV 105.43 IDR 117.33 IDR 127.59 IDR 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 90.46 IDR 180.25 IDR 272.95 IDR 67
DDM Multi-Stage 90.46 IDR 155.78 IDR 190.27 IDR 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple 131.40 IDR 175.19 IDR 218.99 IDR 63
P/S Multiple 39.11 IDR 52.14 IDR 65.18 IDR 58
P/B Multiple 106.37 IDR 141.82 IDR 177.28 IDR 55
EV/EBIT 182.62 IDR 233.46 IDR 284.30 IDR 66
EV/EBITDA 162.94 IDR 207.22 IDR 251.50 IDR 67
EV/Revenue 64.31 IDR 78.98 IDR 93.64 IDR 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 41.71 IDR 55.89 IDR 83.42 IDR 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 168.36 IDR 265.65 IDR 422.18 IDR 77
Rev-Margin DCF 99.14 IDR 132.78 IDR 176.57 IDR 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 72.87 IDR 80.28 IDR 106.30 IDR 76
ROIC Compounder 113.56 IDR 142.03 IDR 179.95 IDR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 110.87 IDR 158.38 IDR 205.90 IDR 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46

Profitability 53
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 26
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 90
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 27
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 58
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 43
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 39
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 95/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+11.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−86.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−88.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.2%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.39% → 37%

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+0.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Indonesia: IMF forecast 2.6% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −1.9% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm Products · 296 stocks

Beats the industry median on 8/9 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +11% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 28% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 83% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 27% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.2% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper

P/FCF 0.0× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)48 · sector 26
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 21
PAST (return on equity)39 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)44 · sector 47

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company ADM $82.15 $38.02 −54%
Muyuan Foods Group 002714 ¥41.86 ¥114.67 +174%
Bunge Global SA BG $111.48 $56.19 −50%
Tyson Foods, Inc TSN $51.36 $37.28 −27%
Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 ¥14.90 ¥12.08 −19%
Mowi ASA MOWI kr 196.70 kr 280.64 +43%
SalMar ASA SALM kr 561.00 kr 171.05 −70%
Fujian Wanchen Food Group 300972 ¥163.80 ¥311.94 +90%
United Plantations Berhad 2089 33.20 MYR 36.52 MYR +10%
Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF 22.10 THB 55.71 THB +152%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT Pulau Subur Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PTPS

Frequently asked questions

Is PT Pulau Subur Tbk (PTPS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 175.19 IDR versus a price of 158.00 IDR, about +11% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of PTPS?
Our model-based fair value for PT Pulau Subur Tbk is 175.19 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 158.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of PTPS?
PT Pulau Subur Tbk has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for PT Pulau Subur Tbk (PTPS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 175.19 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 131.40 IDR, optimistic scenario 218.99 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the PT Pulau Subur Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 175.19 IDR, about +11% upside versus a price of 158.00 IDR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 131.40 IDR, optimistic scenario 218.99 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of PT Pulau Subur Tbk (PTPS)?
PT Pulau Subur Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 65.6B IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does PT Pulau Subur Tbk pay a dividend?
PT Pulau Subur Tbk currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.22% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into PT Pulau Subur Tbk (PTPS)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, PT Pulau Subur Tbk would have to grow free cash flow by +0.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +21.2 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of PTPS use?
Our models discount PT Pulau Subur Tbk at 10.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.09, country premium for Indonesia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For PT Pulau Subur Tbk that is +0.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has PT Pulau Subur Tbk (PTPS) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at PT Pulau Subur Tbk grew +21.2 % a year. The price currently implies +0.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of PT Pulau Subur Tbk (PTPS) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +0.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into PT Pulau Subur Tbk (+0.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of PT Pulau Subur Tbk (PTPS)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.22 %: that much free cash flow PT Pulau Subur Tbk produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of PT Pulau Subur Tbk (PTPS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For PT Pulau Subur Tbk it is 175.19 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 158.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is PT Pulau Subur Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, PTPS trades below its calculated fair value: price 158.00 IDR, fair value 175.19 IDR, a gap of about +11% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PTPS?
No. The price is what the market pays today (158.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (175.19 IDR). For PT Pulau Subur Tbk the two are 17.19 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is PT Pulau Subur Tbk worth?
The market values PT Pulau Subur Tbk at about 342B IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 158.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 175.19 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PTPS?
Our models span a range for PT Pulau Subur Tbk: cautious scenario 131.40 IDR, base 175.19 IDR, optimistic 218.99 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 158.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of PT Pulau Subur Tbk (PTPS)?
Balance-sheet figures for PT Pulau Subur Tbk (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 9.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 63/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PTPS from its 52-week high?
PT Pulau Subur Tbk trades at 158.00 IDR, about 29% below its 52-week high of 222.55 IDR and 78% above the low of 89.00 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 175.19 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to PT Pulau Subur Tbk?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Archer-Daniels-Midland Company, Muyuan Foods Group, Bunge Global SA, Tyson Foods, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is PT Pulau Subur Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 158.00 IDR, calculated fair value 175.19 IDR (+11%), Quality Score 63/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PTPS calculated?
We run PT Pulau Subur Tbk through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 175.19 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. PT Pulau Subur Tbk currently trades 11 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of PT Pulau Subur Tbk (PTPS)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 158.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 175.19 IDR, about +11% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with PT Pulau Subur Tbk right now?
Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.

Key figures of PT Pulau Subur Tbk

How large is the market capitalisation of PT Pulau Subur Tbk (PTPS)?
The market capitalisation of PT Pulau Subur Tbk is 342B IDR (≈ $19.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of PT Pulau Subur Tbk (PTPS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of PT Pulau Subur Tbk is 5.15 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of PT Pulau Subur Tbk (PTPS)?
The dividend yield of PT Pulau Subur Tbk is 2.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of PT Pulau Subur Tbk (PTPS)?
The net margin of PT Pulau Subur Tbk is 25.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of PT Pulau Subur Tbk (PTPS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of PT Pulau Subur Tbk is 9.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of PT Pulau Subur Tbk (PTPS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of PT Pulau Subur Tbk is 24.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of PT Pulau Subur Tbk (PTPS)?
The operating margin of PT Pulau Subur Tbk is 83.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at PT Pulau Subur Tbk (PTPS)?
Revenue at PT Pulau Subur Tbk is growing +26.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at PT Pulau Subur Tbk (PTPS)?
Earnings per share at PT Pulau Subur Tbk are growing +179% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does PT Pulau Subur Tbk (PTPS) hold?
PT Pulau Subur Tbk holds more cash than debt, 64.2B IDR net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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