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PT Pulau Subur Tbk (PTPS) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · ID · Market cap 277B IDR

PP PT Pulau Subur Tbk PTPS · JK
Price152.00 IDR
Fair Value154.25 IDR
Upside+1.5%
Quality49/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 13.2% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
5.00% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (5/9)
Narrow moat 37/100
Evidence: High Range 107.98 IDR – 208.57 IDR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated 30 days ago

Share price +18.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range (107.98 IDR to 208.57 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

392.01 IDR 58.86 IDR Fair Value 154.25 IDR Oct 2023 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.

How to read this chart

34‑month range 58.86 IDR – 392.01 IDR · fair‑value band 107.98 IDR – 208.57 IDR · the 152.00 IDR price screens below the 154.25 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.

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Analysis

PT Pulau Subur Tbk (PTPS) currently trades at 152.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 154.25 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 1.5% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, PT Pulau Subur Tbk generated revenue of 61.2B IDR at a net margin of 13.2%. Revenue declined 48.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 62.1B IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 107.98 IDR (bear case) to 208.57 IDR (bull case); at 152.00 IDR, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 101% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 102% fair-value upside, at 1%, PTPS screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 75.04 IDR 83.43 IDR 123.38 IDR 76
ROIC Compounder 132.93 IDR 173.11 IDR 228.38 IDR 72
Gordon GGM 99.08 IDR 216.30 IDR 363.93 IDR 70
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 138.55 IDR 231.94 IDR 402.24 IDR 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 56.73 IDR 263.80 IDR 362.41 IDR 54
Lynch FV 69.61 IDR 99.44 IDR 129.28 IDR 50
PEG = 1.0 69.61 IDR 99.44 IDR 129.28 IDR 46
EPV 120.00 IDR 135.86 IDR 149.96 IDR 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 99.08 IDR 216.30 IDR 363.93 IDR 70
DDM Multi-Stage 99.08 IDR 177.18 IDR 225.42 IDR 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 125.14 IDR 166.85 IDR 208.57 IDR 63
P/S Multiple 61.10 IDR 81.47 IDR 101.84 IDR 58
P/B Multiple 106.37 IDR 141.82 IDR 177.28 IDR 55
EV/EBIT 191.59 IDR 245.42 IDR 299.25 IDR 53
EV/EBITDA 160.54 IDR 204.02 IDR 247.50 IDR 54
EV/Revenue 87.12 IDR 111.57 IDR 136.01 IDR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 41.71 IDR 55.89 IDR 83.42 IDR 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 75.04 IDR 83.43 IDR 123.38 IDR 76
ROIC Compounder 132.93 IDR 173.11 IDR 228.38 IDR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 107.98 IDR 154.25 IDR 200.53 IDR 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (231.94 IDR) versus Asset-Based (55.89 IDR). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 61.2B IDR
Revenue growth (YoY) -48.3%
Net margin 13.2%
Return on equity 4.3%
Free cash flow −15.8B IDR FY2024
Operating margin -0.3%
More key figures
Dividend yield 6.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +112%
Net cash 62.1B IDR FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38

Profitability 53
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 28
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 65
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 27
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 55
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 27
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 39
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

PT Pulau Subur Tbk provides palm oil development services in Indonesia. It also engages in agriculture, trading, forestry, fisheries, and services business. The company was founded in 1980 and is based in Palembang, Indonesia. PT Pulau Subur Tbk operates as a subsidiary of PT. Sekawan Kontrindo.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PT Pulau Subur Tbk reported revenue of 70.6B IDR in FY2025 versus 50.3B IDR in FY2021, a compound +8.9%/yr. Reported net income was 18.1B IDR in FY2025, compounding +4.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
70.6B IDR
Latest YoY
+11.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+21.2%
Revenue +8.9%/yr
FY21 50.3B IDR
FY22 64.3B IDR
FY23 61.7B IDR
FY24 63.6B IDR
FY25 70.6B IDR
Net income +4.8%/yr
FY21 15.0B IDR
FY22 27.7B IDR
FY23 26.2B IDR
FY24 27.1B IDR
FY25 18.1B IDR

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT Pulau Subur Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PTPS

Peer Group

Farm Products · 288 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside +2% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -0% · Below median
Revenue growth -48% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.0% · Top 25%

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 35 · sector 27
FUTURE 0 · sector 20
PAST 17 · sector 17
HEALTH 100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 38

Insider activity: 30/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Muyuan Foods Group 002714 ¥40.90 ¥48.19 +18%
Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 ¥14.51 ¥12.08 -17%
Mowi ASA MOWI kr 188.40 kr 262.59 +39%
PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN 3,120 IDR 7,076 IDR +127%
Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF 22.00 THB 55.71 THB +153%
PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk TAPG 1,540 IDR 3,105 IDR +102%
PT FAP Agri Tbk FAPA 7,300 IDR 7,463 IDR +2%
PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk JPFA 2,070 IDR 7,231 IDR +249%
Thaifoods Group TFGR 10.60 THB 23.53 THB +122%
PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk JARR 1,845 IDR 610.80 IDR -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is PT Pulau Subur Tbk (PTPS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 11, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 154.25 IDR versus a price of 152.00 IDR, about +1% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of PTPS?
Our model-based fair value for PT Pulau Subur Tbk is 154.25 IDR (as of Jul 11, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 152.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of PTPS?
PT Pulau Subur Tbk has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of PT Pulau Subur Tbk (PTPS)?
PT Pulau Subur Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 61.2B IDR (latest available figure, as of Jul 11, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PTPS?
The net profit margin of PT Pulau Subur Tbk is about 13.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 13.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does PT Pulau Subur Tbk pay a dividend?
PT Pulau Subur Tbk currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.25% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 11, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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