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Petrus Resources Ltd (PTRUF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Petrus Resources Ltd $0.70, price $1.22, upside -42.5%, quality 36 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? No
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Some data
Oct 2, 2026
Some data
Oct 2, 2026
Petrus Resources Ltd
PTRUF · USWeakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
!Fair value $0.7000 · Strongly overvalued (−42.5%)
!Quality 36/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +9.5 %/yr)
!Loss over the last twelve months · -1.0% net margin (TTM) · fiscal year 2025 13.3%
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!9.9% dividend yield · Watch coverage
!Narrow moat 15/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0345 – $2.08 · fair‑value band $0.5300 – $0.8800 · the $1.22 price screens above the $0.7000 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
Company profile
Petrus Resources Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, development, exploration, and exploitation of energy business-related assets in Canada. The company explores for crude oil and condensate, natural gas, and natural gas liquids.
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Petrus Resources Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, development, exploration, and exploitation of energy business-related assets in Canada. The company explores for crude oil and condensate, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. Its properties are in the Ferrier, Kakwa, Foothills, Thorsby, North Ferrier, and Ferrier areas in Alberta. Petrus Resources Ltd. was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
Stock analysis
Petrus Resources Ltd (PTRUF) currently trades at $1.22, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.7000, 42.5% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $0.9900 per share, and 0 of the 11 models we run sit above the $1.22 price.
Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at $0.1700, and 11 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $0.5300 (bear) to $0.8800 (bull), the price of $1.22 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Petrus Resources Ltd reported revenue of C$79.3M in FY2025 versus C$81.3M in FY2021, a compound −0.6%/yr. Reported net income was C$10.6M in FY2025, compounding −44.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $175M · P/S ratio 2.09 · Dividend yield 9.9% · Net margin 13.3% · Return on equity −0.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.2% · Operating margin −67.7% · Revenue (TTM) C$83.7M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −43%, PTRUF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.5300
Fair Value $0.7000
Bull $0.8800
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income
$1.00
$0.9700
$0.9700
74
Owner Earnings
$0.1100
$0.1700
$0.2700
73
EV/EBITDA
$0.8200
$1.14
$1.45
67
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings
$0.1100
$0.1700
$0.2700
73
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$0.3400
$0.4200
$0.4700
65
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$0.5300
$0.7000
$0.8800
63
P/S Multiple
$0.3400
$0.4500
$0.5700
58
P/B Multiple
$0.6400
$0.8600
$1.07
55
EV/EBIT
n/a
$0.0300
$0.0700
61
EV/EBITDA
$0.8200
$1.14
$1.45
67
EV/Revenue
$0.0200
$0.0800
$0.1300
49
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$0.7400
$0.9900
$1.48
54
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$1.00
$0.9700
$0.9700
74
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$0.3800
$0.5400
$0.7100
65
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
36/100
Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47
Profitability
24
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
53
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
39
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
51
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
48
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
47
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
47
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
29
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
36/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−15.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−14.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −1.8% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.1%
’14
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’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−35.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−45.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)9.9%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.61% → 4%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 11.8%/yr over ~10Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Compare Petrus Resources Ltd with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 287 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Energy sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Energy
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Oil & gas
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ConocoPhillips explores for, COP | $127.06 | $91.42 | −28% |
| CNOOC Limited 0883 | HK$23.40 | HK$39.91 | +71% |
| Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ | $47.55 | $52.31 | +10% |
| EOG Resources, Inc EOG | $137.76 | $165.02 | +20% |
| Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY | $57.84 | $33.18 | −43% |
| Devon Energy Corporation DVN | $46.73 | $51.40 | +10% |
| Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG | $185.23 | $243.76 | +32% |
| Woodside Energy Group WDS | A$31.48 | A$23.87 | −24% |
| EQT Corporation EQT | $50.09 | $55.10 | +10% |
| Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL | $336.46 | $317.06 | −6% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Petrus Resources Ltd (PTRUF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.7000 versus a price of $1.22, about −43% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PTRUF?
Our model-based fair value for Petrus Resources Ltd is $0.7000 (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.22.
What is the quality score of PTRUF?
Petrus Resources Ltd has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Petrus Resources Ltd (PTRUF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.7000 (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.5300, optimistic scenario $0.8800. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Petrus Resources Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.7000, about −43% upside versus a price of $1.22 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.5300, optimistic scenario $0.8800. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Petrus Resources Ltd (PTRUF)?
Petrus Resources Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$83.7M (latest available figure, as of Oct 2, 2026).
Does Petrus Resources Ltd pay a dividend?
Petrus Resources Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 9.85% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 2, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Petrus Resources Ltd (PTRUF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Petrus Resources Ltd it is $0.7000 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of $1.22. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Petrus Resources Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, PTRUF trades above its calculated fair value: price $1.22, fair value $0.7000, a gap of about −43% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PTRUF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.22); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.7000). For Petrus Resources Ltd the two are $0.5180 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Petrus Resources Ltd worth?
The market values Petrus Resources Ltd at about $175M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is $1.22; our models calculate a fair value of $0.7000 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PTRUF?
Our models span a range for Petrus Resources Ltd: cautious scenario $0.5300, base $0.7000, optimistic $0.8800 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026, price $1.22). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Petrus Resources Ltd (PTRUF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Petrus Resources Ltd (as of Oct 2, 2026): return on equity −0.3%, debt of 0.08 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PTRUF from its 52-week high?
Petrus Resources Ltd trades at $1.22, about 25% below its 52-week high of $1.61 and 13% above the low of $1.08 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.7000 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Petrus Resources Ltd?
From the same area (Energy) we also value ConocoPhillips explores for,, CNOOC Limited, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Petrus Resources Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price $1.22, calculated fair value $0.7000 (−43%), Quality Score 36/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PTRUF calculated?
We run Petrus Resources Ltd through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.7000, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Petrus Resources Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Petrus Resources Ltd (PTRUF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $1.22. Our model-based fair value is $0.7000, about −43% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Petrus Resources Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.8800). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Key figures of Petrus Resources Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Petrus Resources Ltd (PTRUF)?
The market capitalisation of Petrus Resources Ltd is $175M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Petrus Resources Ltd (PTRUF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Petrus Resources Ltd is 2.09 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Petrus Resources Ltd (PTRUF)?
The dividend yield of Petrus Resources Ltd is 9.9%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Petrus Resources Ltd (PTRUF)?
The net margin of Petrus Resources Ltd is 13.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Petrus Resources Ltd (PTRUF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Petrus Resources Ltd is −0.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Petrus Resources Ltd (PTRUF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Petrus Resources Ltd is 12.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Petrus Resources Ltd (PTRUF)?
The operating margin of Petrus Resources Ltd is −67.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Petrus Resources Ltd (PTRUF)?
Revenue at Petrus Resources Ltd is growing +20.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −14.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Petrus Resources Ltd (PTRUF)?
Earnings per share at Petrus Resources Ltd are growing +300% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Petrus Resources Ltd (PTRUF) generate?
The free cash flow of Petrus Resources Ltd is −C$793K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Petrus Resources Ltd (PTRUF) carry?
The net debt of Petrus Resources Ltd is C$63.9M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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