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PTT Exploration and Production Public Company (PTXLF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of PTT Exploration and Production Public Company $0.40, price $3.85, upside -89.6%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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Broad data
Oct 3, 2026
Broad data
Oct 3, 2026
PTT Exploration and Production Public Company
PTXLF · USStretched ValuationQuality growthStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.
!Fair value $0.4000 · Strongly overvalued (−89.6%)
!Quality 52/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +10.8 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 19.4% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · generates free cash flow
!7.2% dividend yield · Watch coverage
!Moderate moat 58/100
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.7737 – $4.11 · fair‑value band $0.3000 – $0.4000 · the $3.85 price screens above the $0.4000 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
Company profile
PTT Exploration and Production Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, and production of petroleum in Thailand, rest of Southeast Asia, the Middle East, Africa, and internationally. It operates through Exploration and Production; and Other Businesses and Corporate segments.
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PTT Exploration and Production Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, and production of petroleum in Thailand, rest of Southeast Asia, the Middle East, Africa, and internationally. It operates through Exploration and Production; and Other Businesses and Corporate segments. The company is also involved in the gas pipeline transportation and solar power businesses, as well as renewable energy and related activities. In addition, it provides petroleum-related technology, human resource support, and technology and innovation services. The company was founded in 1985 and is based in Bangkok, Thailand. PTT Exploration and Production Public Company Limited is a subsidiary of PTT Public Company Limited.
Stock analysis
PTT Exploration and Production Public Company (PTXLF) currently trades at $3.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.4000, 89.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $0.6500 per share, and 0 of the 11 models we run sit above the $3.85 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $0.0900, and 11 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $0.3000 (bear) to $0.4000 (bull), the price of $3.85 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
PTT Exploration and Production Public Company reported revenue of 8.9B THB in FY2025 versus 6.6B THB in FY2021, a compound +7.9%/yr. Reported net income was 1.9B THB in FY2025, compounding +13.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $15.3B · P/E ratio 7.6 · P/S ratio 1.63 · EPS (TTM) $0.4600 · Dividend yield 7.2% · Net margin 21.4% · Return on equity 10.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 15.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −90%, PTXLF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely ($0.0900 to $0.7500). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear $0.3000
Fair Value $0.4000
Bull $0.4000
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.1384 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income
$0.1300
$0.1400
$0.1900
74
Owner Earnings
n/a
n/a
$0.1800
71
5Y EBITDA Exit
n/a
n/a
$0.1000
69
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings
n/a
n/a
$0.1800
71
5Y EBITDA Exit
n/a
n/a
$0.1000
69
5Y P/E Exit
n/a
n/a
$0.0100
65
10Y EBITDA Exit
n/a
n/a
$0.3300
63
10Y P/E Exit
n/a
n/a
$0.0800
59
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$0.1100
$0.7500
$1.05
61
Lynch FV
$0.3900
$0.5500
$0.7200
59
PEG = 1.0
$0.3900
$0.5500
$0.7200
55
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$0.0900
$0.1800
$0.2900
64
DDM Multi-Stage
$0.0900
$0.1500
$0.1900
64
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$0.1700
$0.2200
$0.2800
63
P/S Multiple
$0.0700
$0.0900
$0.1100
58
P/B Multiple
$0.1800
$0.2400
$0.3100
55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$0.0700
$0.0900
$0.1400
53
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$0.1300
$0.1400
$0.1900
74
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$0.4500
$0.6500
$0.8400
65
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
52/100
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 71
Profitability
46
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
26
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
63
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
41
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
46
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
49
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
74
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−1.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.6% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.7%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in THB ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in THB: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+17.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+10.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)7.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.10.3% vs 14.2%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.28% → 35%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
more than +80 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
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Context: sector, industry, market
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Oil & gas
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ConocoPhillips explores for, COP | $127.06 | $91.42 | −28% |
| CNOOC Limited 0883 | HK$23.40 | HK$39.91 | +71% |
| Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ | $47.55 | $52.31 | +10% |
| EOG Resources, Inc EOG | $137.76 | $165.02 | +20% |
| Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY | $57.84 | $33.18 | −43% |
| Devon Energy Corporation DVN | $46.73 | $51.40 | +10% |
| Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG | $185.23 | $243.76 | +32% |
| Woodside Energy Group WDS | A$31.48 | A$23.87 | −24% |
| EQT Corporation EQT | $50.09 | $55.10 | +10% |
| Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL | $336.46 | $317.06 | −6% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is PTT Exploration and Production Public Company (PTXLF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.4000 versus a price of $3.85, about −90% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PTXLF?
Our model-based fair value for PTT Exploration and Production Public Company is $0.4000 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $3.85.
What is the quality score of PTXLF?
PTT Exploration and Production Public Company has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for PTT Exploration and Production Public Company (PTXLF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.4000 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.3000, optimistic scenario $0.4000. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the PTT Exploration and Production Public Company stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.4000, about −90% upside versus a price of $3.85 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.3000, optimistic scenario $0.4000. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of PTT Exploration and Production Public Company (PTXLF)?
PTT Exploration and Production Public Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 8.9B THB (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does PTT Exploration and Production Public Company pay a dividend?
PTT Exploration and Production Public Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.19% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into PTT Exploration and Production Public Company (PTXLF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, PTT Exploration and Production Public Company would have to grow free cash flow by more than 80 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +10.8 % per year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of PTXLF use?
Our models discount PTT Exploration and Production Public Company at 9.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For PTT Exploration and Production Public Company that is more than 80 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has PTT Exploration and Production Public Company (PTXLF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at PTT Exploration and Production Public Company grew +10.8 % a year. The price currently implies more than 80 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of PTT Exploration and Production Public Company (PTXLF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into PTT Exploration and Production Public Company (more than 80 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of PTT Exploration and Production Public Company (PTXLF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.18 %: that much free cash flow PTT Exploration and Production Public Company produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of PTT Exploration and Production Public Company (PTXLF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For PTT Exploration and Production Public Company it is $0.4000 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of $3.85. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is PTT Exploration and Production Public Company stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, PTXLF trades above its calculated fair value: price $3.85, fair value $0.4000, a gap of about −90% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PTXLF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($3.85); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.4000). For PTT Exploration and Production Public Company the two are $3.45 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is PTT Exploration and Production Public Company worth?
The market values PTT Exploration and Production Public Company at about $15.3B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is $3.85; our models calculate a fair value of $0.4000 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PTXLF?
Our models span a range for PTT Exploration and Production Public Company: cautious scenario $0.3000, base $0.4000, optimistic $0.4000 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price $3.85). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is PTXLF from its 52-week high?
PTT Exploration and Production Public Company trades at $3.85, at its 52-week high of $3.85 and 13% above the low of $3.40 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.4000 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to PTT Exploration and Production Public Company?
From the same area (Energy) we also value ConocoPhillips explores for,, CNOOC Limited, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is PTT Exploration and Production Public Company stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price $3.85, calculated fair value $0.4000 (−90%), Quality Score 52/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PTXLF calculated?
We run PTT Exploration and Production Public Company through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.4000, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. PTT Exploration and Production Public Company itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of PTT Exploration and Production Public Company (PTXLF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $3.85. Our model-based fair value is $0.4000, about −90% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with PTT Exploration and Production Public Company right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.4000). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of PTT Exploration and Production Public Company
How large is the market capitalisation of PTT Exploration and Production Public Company (PTXLF)?
The market capitalisation of PTT Exploration and Production Public Company is $15.3B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of PTT Exploration and Production Public Company (PTXLF)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of PTT Exploration and Production Public Company is 7.6 (as of Jun 23, 2026). Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of PTT Exploration and Production Public Company (PTXLF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of PTT Exploration and Production Public Company is 1.63 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of PTT Exploration and Production Public Company (PTXLF)?
Earnings per share at PTT Exploration and Production Public Company are $0.4600 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of PTT Exploration and Production Public Company (PTXLF)?
The dividend yield of PTT Exploration and Production Public Company is 7.2% (payout 60.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of PTT Exploration and Production Public Company (PTXLF)?
The net margin of PTT Exploration and Production Public Company is 21.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of PTT Exploration and Production Public Company (PTXLF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of PTT Exploration and Production Public Company is 10.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of PTT Exploration and Production Public Company (PTXLF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of PTT Exploration and Production Public Company is 15.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of PTT Exploration and Production Public Company (PTXLF)?
The operating margin of PTT Exploration and Production Public Company is 32.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at PTT Exploration and Production Public Company (PTXLF)?
Revenue at PTT Exploration and Production Public Company is growing +14.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at PTT Exploration and Production Public Company (PTXLF)?
Earnings per share at PTT Exploration and Production Public Company are growing −22.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does PTT Exploration and Production Public Company (PTXLF) carry?
The net debt of PTT Exploration and Production Public Company is 1.7B THB (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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