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Parex Resources Inc (PXT) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · CA · Market cap C$2.2B

PR Parex Resources Inc PXT · TO
PriceC$24.43
Fair ValueC$28.80
Upside+17.9%
Quality66/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 20.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
4.87% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (13/15)
Moderate moat 58/100
Evidence: High Range C$21.66 – C$65.21 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Share price +10.9% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 18% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide (C$21.66 to C$65.21). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Our model range runs from C$21.66 (bear) to C$65.21 (bull), base C$28.80. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 66/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

C$29.27 C$9.57 Fair Value C$28.80 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$9.57 – C$29.27 · fair‑value band C$21.66 – C$65.21 · the C$24.43 price screens below the C$28.80 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Parex Resources Inc (PXT) currently trades at C$24.43, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$28.80, implying the stock looks roughly 17.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Parex Resources Inc generated revenue of C$861M at a net margin of 20.8%. Revenue declined 11.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of C$21.6M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from C$21.66 (bear case) to C$65.21 (bull case); at C$24.43, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 88% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at 18%, PXT screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF C$35.74 C$67.74 C$119.29 80
Residual Income C$19.14 C$23.23 C$49.77 76
Rev-Margin DCF C$18.81 C$29.23 C$51.36 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF C$38.04 C$58.39 C$121.85 38
Owner Earnings C$41.79 C$92.23 C$194.23 31
5Y Revenue Exit C$17.29 C$25.53 C$42.43 39
5Y EBITDA Exit C$26.92 C$45.00 C$80.36 41
5Y P/E Exit C$32.02 C$68.79 C$118.49 38
10Y Revenue Exit C$23.47 C$41.46 C$49.91 36
10Y EBITDA Exit C$30.68 C$61.72 C$113.89 37
10Y P/E Exit C$34.31 C$72.45 C$134.17 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd C$18.35 C$127.97 C$179.59 54
Lynch FV C$66.11 C$94.45 C$122.78 50
PEG = 1.0 C$66.11 C$94.45 C$122.78 46
EPV C$21.15 C$24.44 C$27.28 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM C$10.00 C$19.93 C$30.19 70
DDM Multi-Stage C$10.00 C$17.23 C$21.04 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple C$28.33 C$37.78 C$47.22 63
P/S Multiple C$8.39 C$11.18 C$13.98 58
P/B Multiple C$27.36 C$36.48 C$45.60 55
EV/EBIT C$19.41 C$25.78 C$32.14 53
EV/EBITDA C$21.75 C$28.89 C$36.04 54
EV/Revenue C$8.15 C$11.50 C$14.86 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) C$10.13 C$13.58 C$20.27 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF C$35.74 C$67.74 C$119.29 80
Rev-Margin DCF C$18.81 C$29.23 C$51.36 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income C$19.14 C$23.23 C$49.77 76
ROIC Compounder C$22.35 C$30.92 C$39.19 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E C$77.49 C$110.70 C$143.90 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (C$110.70) versus Asset-Based (C$13.58). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) C$861M
Revenue growth (YoY) -11.5%
Net margin 20.8%
Return on equity 9.4%
Free cash flow C$228M FY2025
P/E ratio 8.8
More key figures
Operating margin 15.6%
EPS (TTM) C$2.63
Dividend yield 4.9%
EPS growth (YoY) -94.2%
Net cash C$21.6M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 66/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70

Profitability 54
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 20
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 77
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 82
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 59
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 72
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 61
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 84
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Parex Resources Inc. engages in the exploration, development, production, and marketing of oil and natural gas in Colombia. Its principal land holdings and exploration blocks are located in the Llanos Basin, Magdalena Basin, and Putumayo Basin. The company was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Parex Resources Inc reported revenue of C$896M in FY2025 versus C$900M in FY2021, a compound −0.1%/yr. Reported net income was C$260M in FY2025, compounding −3.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
C$896M
Latest YoY
−17.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−11.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+11.0%
Avg. growth/yr (16Y)
+80.1%
Revenue −0.1%/yr
FY21 C$900M
FY22 C$1.3B
FY23 C$1.2B
FY24 C$1.1B
FY25 C$896M
Net income −3.8%/yr
FY21 C$303M
FY22 C$611M
FY23 C$459M
FY24 C$60.7M
FY25 C$260M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Parex Resources Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PXT

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Oil & Gas E&P · 315 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +18% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 21% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 16% · Above median
Revenue growth -12% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.9% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.82× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.86× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 7.0× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 3.7× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.96× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 57 · sector 14
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 38 · sector 0
HEALTH 99 · sector 87
DIVIDEND 97 · sector 66

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CNOOC Limited 600938 ¥28.97 ¥32.55 +12%
ConocoPhillips explores for, COP $109.04 $91.79 -16%
Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ $42.86 $31.54 -26%
EOG Resources, Inc EOG $139.89 $130.19 -7%
Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY $54.86 $30.68 -44%
Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG $183.39 $106.12 -42%
Devon Energy Corporation DVN $43.83 $27.06 -38%
Woodside Energy Group WDS A$30.46 A$20.71 -32%
EQT Corporation EQT $48.85 $42.85 -12%
Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL $415.70 $79.20 -81%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Parex Resources Inc (PXT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$28.80 versus a price of C$24.43, about +18% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of PXT?
Our model-based fair value for Parex Resources Inc is C$28.80 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is C$24.43.
What is the quality score of PXT?
Parex Resources Inc has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Parex Resources Inc (PXT)?
Parex Resources Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$861M (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PXT?
The net profit margin of Parex Resources Inc is about 20.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 20.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Parex Resources Inc pay a dividend?
Parex Resources Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.19% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 17, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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