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QuantumScape Corporation (Q2SC34) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of QuantumScape Corporation BRL 7.43, price BRL 8.62, upside -13.8%, quality 44 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Cyclical · BR

QC Thin data Sep 24, 2026

QuantumScape Corporation

Q2SC34 · SA

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value R$7.43 · Overvalued (−14%)
!Quality 44/100
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (1/7)
!Narrow moat 10/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 15 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

R$33.00 R$7.00 Fair Value R$7.43 Feb 2022 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

56‑month range R$7.00 – R$33.00 · fair‑value band R$4.90 – R$9.29 · the R$8.62 price screens above the R$7.43 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

QuantumScape Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, develops solid-state lithium-metal battery technology for electric vehicles and other applications in the United States. The company was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.

Stock analysis

QuantumScape Corporation (Q2SC34) currently trades at R$8.62, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$7.43, implying the stock looks roughly 16.0% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 92/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: R$4.90 (bear) to R$9.29 (bull), the price of R$8.62 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

QuantumScape Corporation reported revenue of $0 in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2022. Reported net income was −$435M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap R$6.1B (≈ $1.2B) · EPS (TTM) R$−3.46 · Return on equity −38.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −34.1% · Free cash flow −R$279M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 75% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at −14%, Q2SC34 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear R$4.90 Fair Value R$7.43 Bull R$9.29
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) R$1.01 R$1.35 R$2.02 51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) R$1.01 R$1.35 R$2.02 51

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 2

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 64
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 4
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 90
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 3
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 2
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 34
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Q2SC34 screens 16% overvalued. Compare with O'Reilly Automotive, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 662 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 44 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −14% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −24% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 0% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.02× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)15 · sector 24
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 21
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 35

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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O'Reilly Automotive, Inc ORLY $85.82 $48.08 −44%
AutoZone, Inc AZO $2,895 $2,368 −18%
Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 367,500 KRW 655,250 KRW +78%
Fuyao Glass Industry Group 600660 ¥53.77 ¥75.79 +41%
Magna International Inc MGA $63.79 $68.17 +7%
Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON ₹161.77 ₹96.97 −40%
Ningbo Tuopu Group 601689 ¥45.71 ¥28.28 −38%
Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD ₹48,290 ₹26,308 −46%
Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG ₹2,009 ₹415.47 −79%
Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA ₹1,226 ₹426.57 −65%

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QuantumScape Corporation · Fair Value
R$7.43 −16%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "QuantumScape Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/Q2SC34

Frequently asked questions

Is QuantumScape Corporation (Q2SC34) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$7.43 versus a price of R$8.62, about −14% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of Q2SC34?
Our model-based fair value for QuantumScape Corporation is R$7.43 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: R$8.62.
What is the quality score of Q2SC34?
QuantumScape Corporation has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for QuantumScape Corporation (Q2SC34)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of R$7.43 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario R$4.90, optimistic scenario R$9.29. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the QuantumScape Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at R$7.43, about −14% upside versus a price of R$8.62 (overvalued). Cautious scenario R$4.90, optimistic scenario R$9.29. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of QuantumScape Corporation (Q2SC34)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For QuantumScape Corporation it is R$7.43 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of R$8.62. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is QuantumScape Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, Q2SC34 trades above its calculated fair value: price R$8.62, fair value R$7.43, a gap of about −14% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of Q2SC34?
No. The price is what the market pays today (R$8.62); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (R$7.43). For QuantumScape Corporation the two are R$1.19 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is QuantumScape Corporation worth?
The market values QuantumScape Corporation at about R$6.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is R$8.62; our models calculate a fair value of R$7.43 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about Q2SC34?
Our models span a range for QuantumScape Corporation: cautious scenario R$4.90, base R$7.43, optimistic R$9.29 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price R$8.62). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of QuantumScape Corporation (Q2SC34)?
Balance-sheet figures for QuantumScape Corporation (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −39.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is Q2SC34 from its 52-week high?
QuantumScape Corporation trades at R$8.62, about 75% below its 52-week high of R$34.39 and 9% above the low of R$7.90 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of R$7.43 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to QuantumScape Corporation?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is QuantumScape Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price R$8.62, calculated fair value R$7.43 (−14%), Quality Score 44/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of Q2SC34 calculated?
We run QuantumScape Corporation through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of R$7.43, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. QuantumScape Corporation itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of QuantumScape Corporation (Q2SC34)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was R$8.62. Our model-based fair value is R$7.43, about −14% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with QuantumScape Corporation right now?
A fairly wide model range (R$4.90 to R$9.29) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of QuantumScape Corporation

How large is the market capitalisation of QuantumScape Corporation (Q2SC34)?
The market capitalisation of QuantumScape Corporation is R$6.1B (≈ $1.2B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of QuantumScape Corporation (Q2SC34)?
Earnings per share at QuantumScape Corporation are R$−3.46. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of QuantumScape Corporation (Q2SC34)?
The return on equity (ROE) of QuantumScape Corporation is −38.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of QuantumScape Corporation (Q2SC34)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of QuantumScape Corporation is −34.1% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much free cash flow does QuantumScape Corporation (Q2SC34) generate?
The free cash flow of QuantumScape Corporation is −R$279M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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