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Republic Services, Inc. (R1SG34) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Republic Services, Inc. BRL 28.47, price BRL 68.26, upside -58.3%, quality 62 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · BR · Home US

RS Some data Sep 29, 2026

Republic Services, Inc.

R1SG34 · SA

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value R$28.47 · Strongly overvalued (−58.3%)
✓Quality 62/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 3y +7.1 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 13.0% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
✓0.4% dividend yield · Well covered
!Mixed vs. peers (5/11)
!Moderate moat 63/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 13 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 9 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

R$89.57 R$31.88 Fair Value R$28.47 Jun 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range R$31.88 – R$89.57 · fair‑value band R$15.51 – R$43.45 · the R$68.26 price screens above the R$28.47 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.

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Company profile

Republic Services, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, offers environmental services in the United States and Canada. It is involved in the collection and processing of recyclable, solid waste, and industrial waste materials; transportation and disposal of non-hazardous and hazardous waste streams; and other environmental solutions.

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Republic Services, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, offers environmental services in the United States and Canada. It is involved in the collection and processing of recyclable, solid waste, and industrial waste materials; transportation and disposal of non-hazardous and hazardous waste streams; and other environmental solutions. Its residential collection services include curbside collection of material for transport to transfer stations, landfills, recycling centers, and organics processing facilities; supply of recycling and waste containers; and renting of compactors. The company also engages in the processing and sale of old corrugated containers, old newsprint, aluminum, glass, and other materials; and provision of landfill services. It serves small-container, large-container, and residential customers. The company was incorporated in 1996 and is based in Phoenix, Arizona.

Stock analysis

Republic Services, Inc. (R1SG34) currently trades at R$68.26, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$28.47, 58.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of R$40.22 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the R$68.26 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at R$8.51, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: R$15.51 (bear) to R$43.45 (bull), the price of R$68.26 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Republic Services, Inc. reported revenue of $16.6B in FY2025 versus $13.5B in FY2022, a compound +7.1%/yr. Reported net income was $2.1B in FY2025, compounding +12.9%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap R$345B (≈ $66.1B) · P/E ratio 31.1 · P/S ratio 4.00 · EPS (TTM) R$18.06 · Dividend yield 0.4% · Net margin 12.9% · Return on equity 18.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −14% fair-value upside, at −58%, R1SG34 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear R$15.51 Fair Value R$28.47 Bull R$43.45
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (R$11.80 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF R$19.88 R$36.29 R$60.42 75
Growth DCF R$20.68 R$35.60 R$56.40 74
Residual Income R$14.41 R$17.99 R$26.69 72
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF R$19.88 R$36.29 R$60.42 75
Owner Earnings R$15.89 R$30.34 R$51.57 71
5Y Revenue Exit R$11.95 R$24.19 R$39.29 67
5Y EBITDA Exit R$28.49 R$54.29 R$83.69 70
5Y P/E Exit R$18.74 R$36.55 R$54.64 66
10Y Revenue Exit R$13.91 R$25.57 R$40.20 62
10Y EBITDA Exit R$25.00 R$46.16 R$73.23 64
10Y P/E Exit R$18.85 R$34.03 R$51.62 60
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd R$15.43 R$41.45 R$54.25 62
Lynch FV R$8.09 R$11.55 R$15.02 58
PEG = 1.0 R$8.09 R$11.55 R$15.02 55
EPV R$12.96 R$17.35 R$21.19 71
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM R$7.19 R$14.95 R$23.71 63
DDM Multi-Stage R$7.19 R$11.18 R$15.43 63
Multiples
P/E Multiple R$35.74 R$47.65 R$59.57 63
P/S Multiple R$26.40 R$35.20 R$44.00 58
P/B Multiple R$28.93 R$38.58 R$48.22 55
EV/EBIT R$31.26 R$46.15 R$61.04 65
EV/EBITDA R$39.52 R$57.16 R$74.80 67
EV/Revenue R$8.78 R$18.28 R$27.79 51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) R$6.35 R$8.51 R$12.70 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF R$20.68 R$35.60 R$56.40 74
Rev-Margin DCF R$11.95 R$24.54 R$38.59 68
Economic Profit
Residual Income R$14.41 R$17.99 R$26.69 72
ROIC Compounder R$13.01 R$19.36 R$27.12 68
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E R$28.15 R$40.22 R$52.28 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45

Profitability 48
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 72
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 46
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 61
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 88
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 32
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 20
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 92
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 84/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.1%
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+11.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+10.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.4%
Profit margin 2022 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.18% → 20%

R1SG34 screens overvalued: fair value 58% below the price. Compare with Waste Management, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Waste Management · 157 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 62 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −37.9% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 18.4% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6.2% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 13.0% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 20.2% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 2.6% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.4% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.06× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Waste Management median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 31.1× · Pricier than median
PEG 3.14× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 33
FUTURE (revenue growth)13 · sector 35
PAST (return on equity)73 · sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)47 · sector 82
DIVIDEND (yield)9 · sector 47

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Waste Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Waste Management, Inc WM $203.92 $224.31 +10%
Waste Connections, Inc WCN $150.66 $165.73 +10%
Veolia Environnement SA VIE €30.73 €20.32 −34%
Clean Harbors, Inc CLH $313.04 $155.54 −50%
GFL Environmental Inc GFL $40.43 $34.29 −15%
Umicore SA UMI €21.40 €25.28 +18%
Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas, S.A FCC €10.72 €7.30 −32%
Casella Waste Systems, Inc CWST $82.24 $14.82 −82%
GEM Co 002340 ¥6.12 ¥5.27 −14%
Zhejiang Weiming Environment Protection Co 603568 ¥13.36 ¥20.95 +57%

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Republic Services, Inc. · Fair Value
R$28.47 −58%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Republic Services, Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/R1SG34

Frequently asked questions

Is Republic Services, Inc. (R1SG34) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$28.47 versus a price of R$68.26, about −58% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of R1SG34?
Our model-based fair value for Republic Services, Inc. is R$28.47 (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: R$68.26.
What is the quality score of R1SG34?
Republic Services, Inc. has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Republic Services, Inc. (R1SG34)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of R$28.47 (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario R$15.51, optimistic scenario R$43.45. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Republic Services, Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at R$28.47, about −58% upside versus a price of R$68.26 (overvalued). Cautious scenario R$15.51, optimistic scenario R$43.45. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Republic Services, Inc. (R1SG34)?
Republic Services, Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $16.7B (latest available figure, as of Sep 29, 2026).
Does Republic Services, Inc. pay a dividend?
Republic Services, Inc. currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.44% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 29, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Republic Services, Inc. (R1SG34)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Republic Services, Inc. it is R$28.47 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of R$68.26. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Republic Services, Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 29, 2026, R1SG34 trades above its calculated fair value: price R$68.26, fair value R$28.47, a gap of about −58% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of R1SG34?
No. The price is what the market pays today (R$68.26); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (R$28.47). For Republic Services, Inc. the two are R$39.79 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Republic Services, Inc. worth?
The market values Republic Services, Inc. at about R$345B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is R$68.26; our models calculate a fair value of R$28.47 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about R1SG34?
Our models span a range for Republic Services, Inc.: cautious scenario R$15.51, base R$28.47, optimistic R$43.45 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price R$68.26). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of R1SG34?
Republic Services, Inc. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 31.1 (as of Sep 29, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of R$28.47 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 3.1.
What is the PEG ratio of R1SG34?
The PEG ratio of Republic Services, Inc. is 3.14 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 29, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Republic Services, Inc. (R1SG34)?
Balance-sheet figures for Republic Services, Inc. (as of Sep 29, 2026): return on equity 18.4%, debt of 1.06 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 62/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is R1SG34 from its 52-week high?
Republic Services, Inc. trades at R$68.26, about 20% below its 52-week high of R$85.00 and 10% above the low of R$61.94 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of R$28.47 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Republic Services, Inc.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Waste Management, Inc, Waste Connections, Inc, Veolia Environnement SA, Clean Harbors, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Republic Services, Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price R$68.26, calculated fair value R$28.47 (−58%), Quality Score 62/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of R1SG34 calculated?
We run Republic Services, Inc. through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of R$28.47, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Republic Services, Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Republic Services, Inc. (R1SG34)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was R$68.26. Our model-based fair value is R$28.47, about −58% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Republic Services, Inc. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (R$43.45). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The model range is unusually wide (R$15.51 to R$43.45). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Republic Services, Inc.

How large is the market capitalisation of Republic Services, Inc. (R1SG34)?
The market capitalisation of Republic Services, Inc. is R$345B (≈ $66.1B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Republic Services, Inc. (R1SG34)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Republic Services, Inc. is 4.00 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Republic Services, Inc. (R1SG34)?
Earnings per share at Republic Services, Inc. are R$18.06 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 31.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Republic Services, Inc. (R1SG34)?
The dividend yield of Republic Services, Inc. is 0.4% (payout 1.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Republic Services, Inc. (R1SG34)?
The net margin of Republic Services, Inc. is 12.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Republic Services, Inc. (R1SG34)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Republic Services, Inc. is 18.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Republic Services, Inc. (R1SG34)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Republic Services, Inc. is 9.1% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Republic Services, Inc. (R1SG34)?
The operating margin of Republic Services, Inc. is 20.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Republic Services, Inc. (R1SG34)?
Revenue at Republic Services, Inc. is growing +2.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Republic Services, Inc. (R1SG34)?
Earnings per share at Republic Services, Inc. are growing +7.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Republic Services, Inc. (R1SG34) generate?
The free cash flow of Republic Services, Inc. is $2.4B (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Republic Services, Inc. (R1SG34) carry?
The net debt of Republic Services, Inc. is $13.5B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 5.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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