Supra Boga Lestari Tbk (RANC) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Supra Boga Lestari Tbk IDR 582, price IDR 555, upside +5.0%, quality 53 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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PT Supra Boga Lestari Tbk operates supermarkets in Indonesia. Its supermarkets offer meat, poultry, seafood, fruits, and vegetables, as well as other specialty products comprising organic, superfood, gluten free, vegan, and dairy and frozen products. The company also engages in trading and operation management activities.
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PT Supra Boga Lestari Tbk operates supermarkets in Indonesia. Its supermarkets offer meat, poultry, seafood, fruits, and vegetables, as well as other specialty products comprising organic, superfood, gluten free, vegan, and dairy and frozen products. The company also engages in trading and operation management activities. It operates its supermarkets under the Ranch Market, Farmers Market, The Gourmet by Ranch Market, Day2Day by Farmers Market, and Farmers Family by Farmers Market names. The company also sells its products online. The company was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Jakarta Barat, Indonesia. PT Supra Boga Lestari Tbk is a subsidiary of PT Global Digital Niaga Tbk.
Stock analysis
Supra Boga Lestari Tbk (RANC) currently trades at 555.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 582.49 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 4.7% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 922.45 IDR per share, and 10 of the 11 models we run sit above the 555.00 IDR price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 112.78 IDR, and 1 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 441.56 IDR (bear) to 781.28 IDR (bull), the price of 555.00 IDR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Supra Boga Lestari Tbk reported revenue of 2.9T IDR in FY2025 versus 2.9T IDR in FY2021, a compound +0.2%/yr. Reported net income was −53.1B IDR in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 868B IDR (≈ $48.5M) · P/S ratio 0.28 · EPS (TTM) −25.99 IDR · Net margin −1.8% · Return on equity −14.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −5.2% · Operating margin 1.8% · Revenue (TTM) 3.0T IDR.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 41 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 6% fair-value upside, at 5%, RANC screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 441.56 IDRFair Value 582.49 IDRBull 781.28 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.27/100
Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.3% a year
Revenue growth 16 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.9%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
2.1% (2020) → −1.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+7.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Indonesia: IMF forecast 2.6% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +4.7% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Grocery Stores · 79 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score53 · Below median
Fair Value upside+5% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth9% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Grocery Stores median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Supra Boga Lestari Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/RANC
Frequently asked questions
Is Supra Boga Lestari Tbk (RANC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 582.49 IDR versus a price of 555.00 IDR, about +5% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of RANC?
Our model-based fair value for Supra Boga Lestari Tbk is 582.49 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 555.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of RANC?
Supra Boga Lestari Tbk has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Supra Boga Lestari Tbk (RANC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 582.49 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario 441.56 IDR, optimistic scenario 781.28 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Supra Boga Lestari Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 582.49 IDR, about +5% upside versus a price of 555.00 IDR (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 441.56 IDR, optimistic scenario 781.28 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Supra Boga Lestari Tbk (RANC)?
Supra Boga Lestari Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.0T IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Supra Boga Lestari Tbk (RANC)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Supra Boga Lestari Tbk would have to grow free cash flow by +7.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -0.7 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of RANC use?
Our models discount Supra Boga Lestari Tbk at 11.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.96, country premium for Indonesia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Supra Boga Lestari Tbk that is +7.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Supra Boga Lestari Tbk (RANC) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Supra Boga Lestari Tbk grew -0.7 % a year. The price currently implies +7.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Supra Boga Lestari Tbk (RANC) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Supra Boga Lestari Tbk (+7.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Supra Boga Lestari Tbk (RANC)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.43 %: that much free cash flow Supra Boga Lestari Tbk produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Supra Boga Lestari Tbk (RANC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Supra Boga Lestari Tbk it is 582.49 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 555.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Supra Boga Lestari Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, RANC trades below its calculated fair value: price 555.00 IDR, fair value 582.49 IDR, a gap of about +5% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of RANC?
No. The price is what the market pays today (555.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (582.49 IDR). For Supra Boga Lestari Tbk the two are 27.49 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Supra Boga Lestari Tbk worth?
The market values Supra Boga Lestari Tbk at about 868B IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 555.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 582.49 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about RANC?
Our models span a range for Supra Boga Lestari Tbk: cautious scenario 441.56 IDR, base 582.49 IDR, optimistic 781.28 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 555.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Supra Boga Lestari Tbk (RANC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Supra Boga Lestari Tbk (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −14.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is RANC from its 52-week high?
Supra Boga Lestari Tbk trades at 555.00 IDR, about 51% below its 52-week high of 1,125 IDR and 13% above the low of 490.00 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 582.49 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Supra Boga Lestari Tbk?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Loblaw Companies Limited, Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize N.V, The Kroger Co, Woolworths Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Supra Boga Lestari Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 555.00 IDR, calculated fair value 582.49 IDR (+5%), Quality Score 53/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of RANC calculated?
We run Supra Boga Lestari Tbk through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 582.49 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Supra Boga Lestari Tbk currently trades 5 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Supra Boga Lestari Tbk (RANC)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 555.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 582.49 IDR, about +5% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Supra Boga Lestari Tbk right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Supra Boga Lestari Tbk
How large is the market capitalisation of Supra Boga Lestari Tbk (RANC)?
The market capitalisation of Supra Boga Lestari Tbk is 868B IDR (≈ $48.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Supra Boga Lestari Tbk (RANC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Supra Boga Lestari Tbk is 0.28 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Supra Boga Lestari Tbk (RANC)?
Earnings per share at Supra Boga Lestari Tbk are −25.99 IDR. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Supra Boga Lestari Tbk (RANC)?
The net margin of Supra Boga Lestari Tbk is −1.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Supra Boga Lestari Tbk (RANC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Supra Boga Lestari Tbk is −14.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Supra Boga Lestari Tbk (RANC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Supra Boga Lestari Tbk is −5.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Supra Boga Lestari Tbk (RANC)?
The operating margin of Supra Boga Lestari Tbk is 1.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Supra Boga Lestari Tbk (RANC)?
Revenue at Supra Boga Lestari Tbk is growing +9.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Supra Boga Lestari Tbk (RANC)?
Earnings per share at Supra Boga Lestari Tbk are growing −29.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Supra Boga Lestari Tbk (RANC) carry?
The net debt of Supra Boga Lestari Tbk is 324B IDR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 5.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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