Real Eco-Energy Ltd (REALECO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Real Eco-Energy Ltd ₹3.50, price ₹4.53, upside -22.7%, quality 50 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹0.7290 – ₹11.64 · fair‑value band ₹1.20 – ₹4.54 · the ₹4.53 price screens above the ₹3.50 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Real Eco-Energy Ltd (REALECO) currently trades at ₹4.53, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹3.50, implying the stock looks roughly 29.4% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of ₹6.58 per share, and 2 of the 17 models we run sit above the ₹4.53 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹0.4500, and 15 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹1.20 (bear) to ₹4.54 (bull), the price of ₹4.53 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Real Eco-Energy Ltd reported revenue of ₹24.9M in FY2026 versus ₹0 in FY2022. Reported net income was ₹4.0M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap ₹491M (≈ $5.1M) · P/E ratio 45.3 · P/S ratio 7.25 · EPS (TTM) ₹0.1000 · Net margin 16.0% · Return on equity 6.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.1% · Operating margin −13.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −30% fair-value upside, at −23%, REALECO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹1.20Fair Value ₹3.50Bull ₹4.54
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹0.0488 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.39/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−25.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−28.3%
’23
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+34.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+34.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2023 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.0% → 16%
2026 sits 115% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+14.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +9.5% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Renewable Utilities” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Utilities · 694 stocks
Beats the sector median on 3/13 measures
Overall it trails its sector peers.
Valuation
Quality Score50 · Above median
Fair Value upside−22% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)6% · Below median
Return on assets1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)36% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−14% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−62% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity2.73× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities median · lower = cheaper
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Is Real Eco-Energy Ltd (REALECO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹3.50 versus a price of ₹4.53, about −23% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of REALECO?
Our model-based fair value for Real Eco-Energy Ltd is ₹3.50 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹4.53.
What is the quality score of REALECO?
Real Eco-Energy Ltd has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Real Eco-Energy Ltd (REALECO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹3.50 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹1.20, optimistic scenario ₹4.54. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Real Eco-Energy Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹3.50, about −23% upside versus a price of ₹4.53 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹1.20, optimistic scenario ₹4.54. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Real Eco-Energy Ltd (REALECO)?
Real Eco-Energy Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹30.2M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Real Eco-Energy Ltd (REALECO)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Real Eco-Energy Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +14.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 3 years revenue grew -28.3 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of REALECO use?
Our models discount Real Eco-Energy Ltd at 11.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.56, country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Real Eco-Energy Ltd that is +14.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Real Eco-Energy Ltd (REALECO) delivered so far?
Over the past 3 years revenue at Real Eco-Energy Ltd grew -28.3 % a year. The price currently implies +14.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
What is the free cash flow yield of Real Eco-Energy Ltd (REALECO)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.48 %: that much free cash flow Real Eco-Energy Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Real Eco-Energy Ltd (REALECO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Real Eco-Energy Ltd it is ₹3.50 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ₹4.53. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Real Eco-Energy Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, REALECO trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹4.53, fair value ₹3.50, a gap of about −23% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of REALECO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹4.53); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹3.50). For Real Eco-Energy Ltd the two are ₹1.03 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Real Eco-Energy Ltd worth?
The market values Real Eco-Energy Ltd at about ₹491M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ₹4.53; our models calculate a fair value of ₹3.50 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about REALECO?
Our models span a range for Real Eco-Energy Ltd: cautious scenario ₹1.20, base ₹3.50, optimistic ₹4.54 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ₹4.53). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of REALECO?
Real Eco-Energy Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 45.3 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹3.50 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 7.3, P/S 16.3, EV/EBITDA 60.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Real Eco-Energy Ltd (REALECO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Real Eco-Energy Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 6.1%, debt of 2.73 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is REALECO from its 52-week high?
Real Eco-Energy Ltd trades at ₹4.53, about 13% below its 52-week high of ₹5.21 and 19% above the low of ₹3.81 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹3.50 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Real Eco-Energy Ltd?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value SOLARIUM, E4U a.s. invests in and, TARINI, NextEra Energy, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Real Eco-Energy Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ₹4.53, calculated fair value ₹3.50 (−23%), Quality Score 50/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of REALECO calculated?
We run Real Eco-Energy Ltd through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹3.50, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Real Eco-Energy Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Real Eco-Energy Ltd (REALECO)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was ₹4.53. Our model-based fair value is ₹3.50, about −23% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Real Eco-Energy Ltd right now?
The model range is unusually wide (₹1.20 to ₹4.54). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Real Eco-Energy Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Real Eco-Energy Ltd (REALECO)?
The market capitalisation of Real Eco-Energy Ltd is ₹491M (≈ $5.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Real Eco-Energy Ltd (REALECO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Real Eco-Energy Ltd is 7.25 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Real Eco-Energy Ltd (REALECO)?
Earnings per share at Real Eco-Energy Ltd are ₹0.1000 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 45.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Real Eco-Energy Ltd (REALECO)?
The net margin of Real Eco-Energy Ltd is 16.0% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Real Eco-Energy Ltd (REALECO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Real Eco-Energy Ltd is 6.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Real Eco-Energy Ltd (REALECO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Real Eco-Energy Ltd is 1.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Real Eco-Energy Ltd (REALECO)?
The operating margin of Real Eco-Energy Ltd is −13.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Real Eco-Energy Ltd (REALECO)?
Revenue at Real Eco-Energy Ltd is growing −62.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −28.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Real Eco-Energy Ltd (REALECO)?
Earnings per share at Real Eco-Energy Ltd are growing +233% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Real Eco-Energy Ltd (REALECO) carry?
The net debt of Real Eco-Energy Ltd is ₹177M (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 6.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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