Petroreconcavo S.A (RECV3) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Petroreconcavo S.A BRL 7.30, price BRL 10.90, upside -33.0%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range R$9.39 – R$25.72 · fair‑value band R$4.61 – R$10.00 · the R$10.90 price screens above the R$7.30 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Petroreconcavo S.A. engages in the exploration and production of oil and gas extraction in Brazil. The company was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Mata de São João, Brazil.
Stock analysis
Petroreconcavo S.A (RECV3) currently trades at R$10.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$7.30, implying the stock looks roughly 49.3% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of R$68.26 per share, and 14 of the 16 models we run sit above the R$10.90 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at R$9.90, and 2 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: R$4.61 (bear) to R$10.00 (bull), the price of R$10.90 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Petroreconcavo S.A reported revenue of R$3.2B in FY2025 versus R$1.0B in FY2021, a compound +32.0%/yr. Reported net income was R$638M in FY2025, compounding +37.8%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap R$3.2B (≈ $620M) · P/E ratio 6.0 · P/S ratio 1.20 · EPS (TTM) R$1.83 · Dividend yield 12.5% · Net margin 20.2% · Return on equity 12.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −33%, RECV3 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear R$4.61Fair Value R$7.30Bull R$10.00
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (R$0.3402 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.56/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−3.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+32.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +29.9% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in BRL ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in BRL: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+45.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+32.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)12.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.33% vs 6%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.29% → 25%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 306 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score49 · Above median
Fair Value upside−33% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)12% · Top 25%
Return on assets5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)18% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)22% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−21% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)12.5% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.70× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)6.0× · Cheapest 25%
P/B0.14× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.21× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA2.6× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 29
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 12
PAST (return on equity)49· sector 10
HEALTH (low debt)65· sector 86
DIVIDEND (yield)100· sector 73
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Petroreconcavo S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/RECV3
Frequently asked questions
Is Petroreconcavo S.A (RECV3) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$7.30 versus a price of R$10.90, about −33% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of RECV3?
Our model-based fair value for Petroreconcavo S.A is R$7.30 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: R$10.90.
What is the quality score of RECV3?
Petroreconcavo S.A has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Petroreconcavo S.A (RECV3)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of R$7.30 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario R$4.61, optimistic scenario R$10.00. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Petroreconcavo S.A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at R$7.30, about −33% upside versus a price of R$10.90 (overvalued). Cautious scenario R$4.61, optimistic scenario R$10.00. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Petroreconcavo S.A (RECV3)?
Petroreconcavo S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about R$3.0B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Petroreconcavo S.A pay a dividend?
Petroreconcavo S.A currently shows a dividend yield of about 12.52% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Petroreconcavo S.A (RECV3)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Petroreconcavo S.A it is R$7.30 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of R$10.90. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Petroreconcavo S.A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, RECV3 trades above its calculated fair value: price R$10.90, fair value R$7.30, a gap of about −33% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of RECV3?
No. The price is what the market pays today (R$10.90); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (R$7.30). For Petroreconcavo S.A the two are R$3.60 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Petroreconcavo S.A worth?
The market values Petroreconcavo S.A at about R$3.2B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is R$10.90; our models calculate a fair value of R$7.30 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about RECV3?
Our models span a range for Petroreconcavo S.A: cautious scenario R$4.61, base R$7.30, optimistic R$10.00 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price R$10.90). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of RECV3?
Petroreconcavo S.A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 6.0 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of R$7.30 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.1, P/S 0.2, EV/EBITDA 2.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Petroreconcavo S.A (RECV3)?
Balance-sheet figures for Petroreconcavo S.A (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 12.4%, debt of 0.70 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is RECV3 from its 52-week high?
Petroreconcavo S.A trades at R$10.90, about 22% below its 52-week high of R$13.90 and 15% above the low of R$9.47 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of R$7.30 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Petroreconcavo S.A?
From the same area (Energy) we also value CNOOC Limited, ConocoPhillips explores for,, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Petroreconcavo S.A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price R$10.90, calculated fair value R$7.30 (−33%), Quality Score 49/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of RECV3 calculated?
We run Petroreconcavo S.A through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of R$7.30, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Petroreconcavo S.A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Petroreconcavo S.A (RECV3)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was R$10.90. Our model-based fair value is R$7.30, about −33% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Petroreconcavo S.A right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (R$10.00). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (R$4.61 to R$10.00) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Petroreconcavo S.A (RECV3) come from?
Earnings per share at Petroreconcavo S.A grew +5.3 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +6.6 %, EBIT margin +0.0 %, tax rate +1.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −2.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Petroreconcavo S.A
How large is the market capitalisation of Petroreconcavo S.A (RECV3)?
The market capitalisation of Petroreconcavo S.A is R$3.2B (≈ $620M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Petroreconcavo S.A (RECV3)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Petroreconcavo S.A is 1.20 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Petroreconcavo S.A (RECV3)?
Earnings per share at Petroreconcavo S.A are R$1.83 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 6.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Petroreconcavo S.A (RECV3)?
The dividend yield of Petroreconcavo S.A is 12.5% (payout 74.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Petroreconcavo S.A (RECV3)?
The net margin of Petroreconcavo S.A is 20.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Petroreconcavo S.A (RECV3)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Petroreconcavo S.A is 12.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Petroreconcavo S.A (RECV3)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Petroreconcavo S.A is 11.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Petroreconcavo S.A (RECV3)?
The operating margin of Petroreconcavo S.A is 21.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Petroreconcavo S.A (RECV3)?
Revenue at Petroreconcavo S.A is growing −20.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Petroreconcavo S.A (RECV3)?
Earnings per share at Petroreconcavo S.A are growing −45.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Petroreconcavo S.A (RECV3) generate?
The free cash flow of Petroreconcavo S.A is −R$135M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Petroreconcavo S.A (RECV3) carry?
The net debt of Petroreconcavo S.A is R$2.9B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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