Rural Funds Group (RFF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Rural Funds Group stock A$0.78, price A$1.97, that is 60.4% below the price, quality 55 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 16 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$1.49 – A$2.76 · fair‑value band A$0.7800 – A$2.54 · the A$1.97 price screens above the A$0.7800 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.
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Rural Funds Group is an agricultural Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) listed on the ASX under the code RFF. RFF owns a diversified portfolio of Australian agricultural assets which are leased predominantly to corporate agricultural operators.
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RFF targets distribution growth of 4% per annum by owning and improving farms that are leased to good counterparties. RFF is a stapled security, incorporating Rural Funds Trust (ARSN 112 951 578) and RF Active (ARSN 168 740 805). Rural Funds Group was incorporated Austalia.
Stock analysis
Rural Funds Group (RFF) currently trades at A$1.97, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.7800, 60% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of A$2.68 per share, and 3 of the 15 models we run sit above the A$1.97 price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at A$0.6650, and 12 of the 15 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: A$0.7800 (bear) to A$2.54 (bull), the price of A$1.97 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Rural Funds Group reported revenue of A$140M in FY2026 versus A$85.3M in FY2022, a compound +13.3%/yr. Reported net income was A$115M in FY2026, compounding −13.9%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap A$768M (≈ $527M) Small · P/E ratio 6.7 · P/S ratio 5.43 · EPS (TTM) A$0.2949 · Dividend yield 5.9% · Net margin 71.5% · Return on equity 10.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.6% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 70 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at −60%, RFF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
BearA$0.7800Fair Value A$0.7800BullA$2.54
Price A$1.97 · Downside -60.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 4 months old). Earnings retained since then (A$0.0513 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+23.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.6%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +18.1% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+24.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+2.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−3.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−3.4% vs 7.1%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.65% → 44%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+44.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
−2.8%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Australia: IMF forecast 3.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +40.0% a year for the price and −5.6% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.REIT - Specialty · 29 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score55 · Below median
Fair Value upside−60.4% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)10.6% · Above median
Return on assets5.6% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)71.5% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)49.9% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)3.9% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)5.9% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.74× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs REIT - Specialty median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Rural Funds Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/RFF
Frequently asked questions
Is Rural Funds Group (RFF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.7800 versus a price of A$1.97, about 60% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of RFF?
Our model-based fair value for Rural Funds Group is A$0.7800 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$1.97.
What is the quality score of RFF?
Rural Funds Group has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Rural Funds Group (RFF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.7800 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.7800, optimistic scenario A$2.54. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Rural Funds Group stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.7800, about 60% lower versus a price of A$1.97 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.7800, optimistic scenario A$2.54. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Rural Funds Group (RFF)?
Rural Funds Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$141M (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
Does Rural Funds Group pay a dividend?
Rural Funds Group currently shows a dividend yield of 5.95% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 7, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Rural Funds Group (RFF) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Rural Funds Group pays a dividend of A$0.117 per share a year, a dividend yield of 5.9%. The last ex-dividend date was Sep 29, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2014. The payout ratio is 114% of earnings (on adjusted earnings, reported 45.0%). Free cash flow covers the dividend 0.34 times. Our assessment: Pays more than it earns. The company pays out more in dividends than it earns, and free cash flow clearly does not cover the dividend either. It may need to be cut unless profits recover.
What growth is priced into Rural Funds Group (RFF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Rural Funds Group would have to grow free cash flow by +44.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +14.6 % per year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of RFF use?
Our models discount Rural Funds Group at 10.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.82, country premium for Australia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Rural Funds Group that is +44.1 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (10.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Rural Funds Group (RFF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Rural Funds Group grew +14.6 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +44.1 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Rural Funds Group (RFF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Rural Funds Group (+44.1 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Rural Funds Group (RFF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.04 %: that much free cash flow Rural Funds Group produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Rural Funds Group (RFF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Rural Funds Group it is A$0.7800 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of A$1.97. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models in 6 families (DCF Models, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit).
Is Rural Funds Group stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, RFF trades above its calculated fair value: price A$1.97, fair value A$0.7800, a gap of about −60% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of RFF?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$1.97); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.7800). For Rural Funds Group the two are A$1.19 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Rural Funds Group worth?
The market values Rural Funds Group at about A$768M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is A$1.97; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.7800 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about RFF?
Our models span a range for Rural Funds Group: cautious scenario A$0.7800, base A$0.7800, optimistic A$2.54 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price A$1.97). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of RFF?
Rural Funds Group trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 6.7 (as of Nov 7, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of A$0.7800 is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2026 it is 16.9 (reported 6.7). Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 5 fiscal years (2022 to 2026), reported earnings, FY2026 ex one-offs: 9.3. Other multiples: P/B 0.7, P/S 5.4, EV/EBITDA 17.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Rural Funds Group (RFF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Rural Funds Group (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 10.6%, debt of 0.74 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is RFF from its 52-week high?
Rural Funds Group trades at A$1.97, about 13% below its 52-week high of A$2.26 and 8% above the low of A$1.83 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.7800 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Rural Funds Group?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Equinix, Inc, American Tower Corporation, Digital Realty Trust, Inc, Crown Castle Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Rural Funds Group stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price A$1.97, calculated fair value A$0.7800 (−60%), Quality Score 55/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of RFF calculated?
We run Rural Funds Group through 16 models from 6 families: DCF Models, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of A$0.7800 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Rural Funds Group itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Rural Funds Group (RFF)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was A$1.97. Our model-based fair value is A$0.7800, about 60% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Rural Funds Group right now?
The model range is unusually wide (A$0.7800 to A$2.54). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Where does the earnings growth of Rural Funds Group (RFF) come from?
Earnings per share at Rural Funds Group grew +2.0 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +4.6 %, EBIT margin −6.9 %, tax rate +0.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +4.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Rural Funds Group
How large is the market capitalisation of Rural Funds Group (RFF)?
The market capitalisation of Rural Funds Group is A$768M (≈ $527M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Rural Funds Group (RFF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Rural Funds Group is 5.43 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Rural Funds Group (RFF)?
Earnings per share at Rural Funds Group are A$0.2949 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 6.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Rural Funds Group (RFF)?
The dividend yield of Rural Funds Group is 5.9% (payout 114%, on adjusted earnings, reported 45.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Rural Funds Group (RFF)?
The net margin of Rural Funds Group is 71.5% (last twelve months), excl. one-off gain FY2026 32.4%. How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Rural Funds Group (RFF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Rural Funds Group is 10.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Rural Funds Group (RFF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Rural Funds Group is 2.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Rural Funds Group (RFF)?
The operating margin of Rural Funds Group is 49.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Rural Funds Group (RFF)?
Revenue at Rural Funds Group is growing +3.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +12.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Rural Funds Group (RFF)?
Earnings per share at Rural Funds Group are growing +199% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Rural Funds Group (RFF) carry?
The net debt of Rural Funds Group is A$856M (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 54.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 7, 2026