RTL Group (RGLXY) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · US · Market cap $6.3B
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated 7 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from $6.07 to $6.12 (+0.8%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −7.7% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $1.97 – $4.78 · fair‑value band $4.62 – $14.77 · the $3.60 price screens below the $6.12 fair value. As of Jul 18, 2026.
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RTL Group (RGLXY) currently trades at $3.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.12, implying the stock looks roughly 70.0% undervalued today. We read business quality at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, RTL Group generated revenue of $6.0B at a net margin of 16.3%. Revenue declined 4.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.4%. Net debt stands at $658M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $4.62 (bear case) to $14.77 (bull case); at $3.60, the current price sits below that range. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 21% fair-value upside, at 70%, RGLXY screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
RTL Group S.A. operates as an entertainment company. The company operates television (TV) channels and radio stations; and provides streaming services, including RTL+, Videoland, and M6+ in France, Germany, Spain, Luxembourg, Hungary, and the Netherlands. It is also involved in radio and digital publishing business. In addition, the company operates Fremantle, a producer and distributor of scripted and unscripted content; Bedrock, a streaming tech business; Smartclip, an ad-tech business; and social media business under the We Are Era name. The company was founded in 1924 and is based in Luxembourg, Luxembourg. RTL Group S.A. operates as a subsidiary of Bertelsmann Capital Holding GmbH.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
RTL Group reported revenue of $6.0B in FY2025 versus $6.6B in FY2021, a compound −2.4%/yr. Reported net income was $940M in FY2025, compounding −7.8%/yr from FY2021.
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Similar stocks
10 more Broadcasting stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SKY Perfect JSAT Corporation SKPJY | $47.85 | $16.95 | -65% |
| Nexstar Media Group NXST | $173.41 | $73.15 | -58% |
| Nippon Television Holdings NPTVF | $18.22 | $23.96 | +32% |
| ITV plc ITVPY | $10.57 | $12.30 | +16% |
| SES S.A SESG | €7.19 | €15.57 | +117% |
| PT Elang Mahkota Teknologi Tbk, through its subsidiaries, EMTK | 540.00 IDR | 1,630 IDR | +202% |
| MFE-Mediaforeurope N.V MFEB | €3.55 | €7.01 | +97% |
| Jiangsu Broadcasting Cable Information Network Corporation 600959 | ¥3.20 | ¥1.70 | -47% |
| TV Asahi Holdings THDDY | $20.60 | $24.97 | +21% |
| Sun TV Network Limited SUNTV | ₹515.30 | ₹586.58 | +14% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.