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RTL Group (RGLXY) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · US · Market cap $6.3B

RG RTL Group logo RTL Group RGLXY · US
Price$3.60
Fair Value$6.12
Upside+70.0%
Quality55/100
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Evidence: Medium Range $4.62 – $14.77 📤 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 7 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from $6.07 to $6.12 (+0.8%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −7.7% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$4.78 $1.97 Fair Value $6.12 May 2023 Jul 2026

12‑month range $1.97 – $4.78 · fair‑value band $4.62 – $14.77 · the $3.60 price screens below the $6.12 fair value. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

RTL Group (RGLXY) currently trades at $3.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.12, implying the stock looks roughly 70.0% undervalued today. We read business quality at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, RTL Group generated revenue of $6.0B at a net margin of 16.3%. Revenue declined 4.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.4%. Net debt stands at $658M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $4.62 (bear case) to $14.77 (bull case); at $3.60, the current price sits below that range. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 21% fair-value upside, at 70%, RGLXY screens cheaper than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $6.0B
Revenue growth (YoY) -4.3%
Net margin 16.3%
Return on equity 1.4%
Free cash flow $394M FY2025
P/E ratio 202.0
More key figures
Operating margin 5.8%
EPS (TTM) $0.0200
Dividend yield 2.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +193%
Net debt $658M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

RTL Group S.A. operates as an entertainment company. The company operates television (TV) channels and radio stations; and provides streaming services, including RTL+, Videoland, and M6+ in France, Germany, Spain, Luxembourg, Hungary, and the Netherlands. It is also involved in radio and digital publishing business. In addition, the company operates Fremantle, a producer and distributor of scripted and unscripted content; Bedrock, a streaming tech business; Smartclip, an ad-tech business; and social media business under the We Are Era name. The company was founded in 1924 and is based in Luxembourg, Luxembourg. RTL Group S.A. operates as a subsidiary of Bertelsmann Capital Holding GmbH.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

RTL Group reported revenue of $6.0B in FY2025 versus $6.6B in FY2021, a compound −2.4%/yr. Reported net income was $940M in FY2025, compounding −7.8%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue −2.4%/yr
FY21 $6.6B
FY22 $6.6B
FY23 $6.2B
FY24 $6.3B
FY25 $6.0B
Net income −7.8%/yr
FY21 $1.3B
FY22 $673M
FY23 $467M
FY24 $460M
FY25 $940M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "RTL Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/RGLXY

Similar stocks

10 more Broadcasting stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
SKY Perfect JSAT Corporation SKPJY $47.85 $16.95 -65%
Nexstar Media Group NXST $173.41 $73.15 -58%
Nippon Television Holdings NPTVF $18.22 $23.96 +32%
ITV plc ITVPY $10.57 $12.30 +16%
SES S.A SESG €7.19 €15.57 +117%
PT Elang Mahkota Teknologi Tbk, through its subsidiaries, EMTK 540.00 IDR 1,630 IDR +202%
MFE-Mediaforeurope N.V MFEB €3.55 €7.01 +97%
Jiangsu Broadcasting Cable Information Network Corporation 600959 ¥3.20 ¥1.70 -47%
TV Asahi Holdings THDDY $20.60 $24.97 +21%
Sun TV Network Limited SUNTV ₹515.30 ₹586.58 +14%

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Frequently asked questions

Is RTL Group (RGLXY) undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $6.12 versus a price of $3.60, about +70% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of RGLXY?
Our model-based fair value for RTL Group is $6.12 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $3.60.
What is the quality score of RGLXY?
RTL Group has a Quality Score of 55/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of RTL Group (RGLXY)?
RTL Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $6.0B (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of RGLXY?
The net profit margin of RTL Group is about 16.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 16.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does RTL Group pay a dividend?
RTL Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.27% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 18, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.