Renascor Resources Ltd (RNU) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Renascor Resources Ltd A$0.04, price A$0.06, upside -26.3%, quality 37 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0400 – A$0.3500 · fair‑value band A$0.0358 – A$0.0413 · the A$0.0560 price screens above the A$0.0413 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Renascor Resources Limited engages in the exploration, development, and evaluation of mineral properties in Australia. It primarily explores for graphite, gold, copper, uranium, and other minerals. The company's flagship project is the Siviour graphite and battery anode material project located in Eyre Peninsula, South Australia.
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Renascor Resources Limited engages in the exploration, development, and evaluation of mineral properties in Australia. It primarily explores for graphite, gold, copper, uranium, and other minerals. The company's flagship project is the Siviour graphite and battery anode material project located in Eyre Peninsula, South Australia. The company was formerly known as Renaissance Uranium Limited and changed its name to Renascor Resources Limited in December 2013. Renascor Resources Limited was incorporated in 2009 and is based in Adelaide, Australia.
Stock analysis
Renascor Resources Ltd (RNU) currently trades at A$0.0560, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0413, implying the stock looks roughly 35.6% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of A$0.0500 per share, and 0 of the 8 models we run sit above the A$0.0560 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at A$0.0100, and 8 of the 8 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: A$0.0358 (bear) to A$0.0413 (bull), the price of A$0.0560 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Renascor Resources Ltd reported revenue of A$5.1M in FY2025 versus A$8.0K in FY2021, a compound +401.5%/yr. Reported net income was A$1.8M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap A$146M (≈ $103M) · Net margin 36.1% · Return on equity 0.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.1% · Revenue growth (YoY) +138% · EPS growth (YoY) −75.0% · Free cash flow −A$6.6M · Net cash A$14.6M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −26%, RNU screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear A$0.0358Fair Value A$0.0413Bull A$0.0413
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.44/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+937,152.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+840.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+203.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +69.2% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+26.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+97.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+97.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2019 to 2024 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−1,494% → −595,211%
2025 sits 65% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 3 years, not that single year.
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 54.2%/yr over ~10Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 457 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/8 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score39 · Above median
Fair Value upside−25% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)1% · Above median
Return on assets−1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)36% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth138% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.59× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 36
PAST (return on equity)3· sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 30
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Renascor Resources Ltd (RNU) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0413 versus a price of A$0.0560, about −26% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of RNU?
Our model-based fair value for Renascor Resources Ltd is A$0.0413 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0560.
What is the quality score of RNU?
Renascor Resources Ltd has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Renascor Resources Ltd (RNU)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0413 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 8 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0358, optimistic scenario A$0.0413. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Renascor Resources Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0413, about −26% upside versus a price of A$0.0560 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0358, optimistic scenario A$0.0413. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Renascor Resources Ltd (RNU)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Renascor Resources Ltd it is A$0.0413 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of A$0.0560. It is the blended result of 8 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Renascor Resources Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, RNU trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.0560, fair value A$0.0413, a gap of about −26% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of RNU?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0560); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0413). For Renascor Resources Ltd the two are A$0.0147 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Renascor Resources Ltd worth?
The market values Renascor Resources Ltd at about A$146M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0560; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0413 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about RNU?
Our models span a range for Renascor Resources Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0358, base A$0.0413, optimistic A$0.0413 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price A$0.0560). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Renascor Resources Ltd (RNU)?
Balance-sheet figures for Renascor Resources Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 0.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 37/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is RNU from its 52-week high?
Renascor Resources Ltd trades at A$0.0560, about 44% below its 52-week high of A$0.1000 and 12% above the low of A$0.0500 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0413 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Renascor Resources Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Vale S.A, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Renascor Resources Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price A$0.0560, calculated fair value A$0.0413 (−26%), Quality Score 37/100, from 8 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of RNU calculated?
We run Renascor Resources Ltd through 8 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0413, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Renascor Resources Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Renascor Resources Ltd (RNU)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$0.0560. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0413, about −26% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Renascor Resources Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0413). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Renascor Resources Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Renascor Resources Ltd (RNU)?
The market capitalisation of Renascor Resources Ltd is A$146M (≈ $103M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the net margin of Renascor Resources Ltd (RNU)?
The net margin of Renascor Resources Ltd is 36.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Renascor Resources Ltd (RNU)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Renascor Resources Ltd is 0.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Renascor Resources Ltd (RNU)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Renascor Resources Ltd is −1.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast is revenue growing at Renascor Resources Ltd (RNU)?
Revenue at Renascor Resources Ltd is growing +138% versus a year earlier (3y avg +840%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Renascor Resources Ltd (RNU)?
Earnings per share at Renascor Resources Ltd are growing −75.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Renascor Resources Ltd (RNU) generate?
The free cash flow of Renascor Resources Ltd is −A$6.6M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Renascor Resources Ltd (RNU) hold?
Renascor Resources Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$14.6M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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