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Gibraltar Industries, Inc (ROCK) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $1.2B

GI Gibraltar Industries, Inc logo Gibraltar Industries, Inc ROCK · US
Price$50.23
Fair Value$51.31
Upside+2.2%
Quality67/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -10.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/14)
Narrow moat 39/100
Evidence: High Range $37.14 – $67.97 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price +21.7% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range ($37.14 to $67.97) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$92.49 $33.82 Fair Value $51.31 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $33.82 – $92.49 · fair‑value band $37.14 – $67.97 · the $50.23 price screens below the $51.31 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Gibraltar Industries, Inc (ROCK) currently trades at $50.23, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $51.31, implying the stock looks roughly 2.2% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Gibraltar Industries, Inc generated revenue of $1.2B at a net margin of -10.7%. Revenue grew 44.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $11.8M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $37.14 (bear case) to $67.97 (bull case); at $50.23, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 50% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -33% fair-value upside, at 2%, ROCK screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $36.94 $47.23 $59.32 80
Residual Income $26.99 $29.46 $34.95 76
Rev-Margin DCF $36.06 $52.80 $70.46 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $36.21 $47.30 $60.87 38
Owner Earnings $24.64 $32.10 $41.23 31
5Y Revenue Exit $36.06 $52.22 $71.92 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $40.99 $60.82 $82.70 41
5Y P/E Exit $41.81 $62.26 $82.34 38
10Y Revenue Exit $34.91 $48.35 $64.26 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $38.60 $53.60 $71.28 37
10Y P/E Exit $39.07 $54.48 $71.05 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $22.36 $46.31 $58.50 54
EPV $26.19 $29.64 $32.51 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $22.26 $30.89 $38.82 70
DDM Multi-Stage $22.26 $29.92 $37.60 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $51.80 $69.07 $86.33 63
P/S Multiple $41.93 $55.91 $69.89 58
P/B Multiple $41.93 $55.91 $69.89 55
EV/EBIT $53.67 $71.26 $88.85 53
EV/EBITDA $51.07 $67.79 $84.51 54
EV/Revenue $38.57 $54.71 $70.85 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $16.02 $21.47 $32.04 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $36.94 $47.23 $59.32 80
Rev-Margin DCF $36.06 $52.80 $70.46 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $26.99 $29.46 $34.95 76
ROIC Compounder $26.19 $29.64 $32.69 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $37.88 $54.11 $70.34 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($55.91) versus Asset-Based ($21.47). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.2B
Revenue growth (YoY) +44.6%
Net margin -10.7%
Return on equity 6.6%
Free cash flow $121M FY2025
P/E ratio 19.1
More key figures
Operating margin 6.1%
EPS (TTM) $2.09
EPS growth (YoY) -16.6%
Net cash $11.8M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 67/100

Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 47
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 23
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 63
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 82
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 80
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 26
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 23
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Gibraltar Industries, Inc. manufactures and provides products and services for the residential, agtech, and infrastructure markets in the United States and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Residential, Agtech, and Infrastructure.

Full company description

Gibraltar Industries, Inc. manufactures and provides products and services for the residential, agtech, and infrastructure markets in the United States and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Residential, Agtech, and Infrastructure. The Residential segment offers roof and foundation ventilation products; mail systems and package solutions, including single mailboxes, and cluster style mail, and parcel boxes for single and multi-family housing; roof edgings and flashings; soffits and trim; drywall corner beads; metal roofing and accessories; rain dispersion products comprising gutters, downspouts and accessories; and exterior retractable awnings. The Agtech segment offers controlled environmental agriculture, and custom greenhouse solutions and structural canopies, including the designing, engineering, manufacturing, construction of the structure, and integration of subsystems for retail, fruits and vegetables, flowers, commercial, institutional and conservatories, and car wash structure applications. The Infrastructure segment offers expansion joints, structural bearings, rubber pre-formed seals and other sealants, elastomeric concrete, and bridge cable protection systems. The company serves home improvement retailers, wholesalers, distributors, and contractors, as well as institutional and commercial growers of fruit, vegetables, flowers, and plants. The company was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Buffalo, New York.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Gibraltar Industries, Inc reported revenue of $1.1B in FY2025 versus $1.3B in FY2021, a compound −4.1%/yr. Reported net income was $97.6M in FY2025, compounding +6.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.1B
Latest YoY
−13.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−6.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+1.9%
Avg. growth/yr (32Y)
+6.2%
Revenue −4.1%/yr
FY21 $1.3B
FY22 $1.4B
FY23 $1.4B
FY24 $1.3B
FY25 $1.1B
Net income +6.6%/yr
FY21 $75.6M
FY22 $82.4M
FY23 $111M
FY24 $137M
FY25 $97.6M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Gibraltar Industries, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ROCK

Peer Group

Building Products & Equipment · 247 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +2% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) -11% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Below median
Revenue growth 45% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.09× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 19.1× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.25× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.95× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 9.8× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 6.8× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.70× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 36 · sector 4
FUTURE 100 · sector 9
PAST 26 · sector 23
HEALTH 95 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 28

Insider activity: 78/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Building Products & Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Trane Technologies plc TT $469.98 $212.34 -55%
Johnson Controls International plc JCI $142.81 $45.65 -68%
Carrier Global Corporation CARR $68.61 $17.35 -75%
Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A SGO €76.62 €101.60 +33%
Geberit AG GEBN CHF 523.20 CHF 307.66 -41%
Lennox International Inc LII $543.93 $363.09 -33%
Kingspan Group KRX €87.30 €70.76 -19%
Masco Corporation MAS $78.04 $54.36 -30%
PT Impack Pratama Industri Tbk, IMPC 1,420 IDR 179.76 IDR -87%
NIBE Industrier AB NIBEB kr 36.03 kr 25.37 -30%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Gibraltar Industries, Inc (ROCK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $51.31 versus a price of $50.23, about +2% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of ROCK?
Our model-based fair value for Gibraltar Industries, Inc is $51.31 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $50.23.
What is the quality score of ROCK?
Gibraltar Industries, Inc has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Gibraltar Industries, Inc (ROCK)?
Gibraltar Industries, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.2B (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ROCK?
The net profit margin of Gibraltar Industries, Inc is about -10.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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