Rail Vision Ltd (RVSN) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $9.6M
Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 17 days ago
Share price −1.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 61% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (22/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($5.07). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range ($5.07 to $9.59) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
52‑month range $3.87 – $741.60 · fair‑value band $5.07 – $9.59 · the $4.76 price screens below the $7.67 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
Analysis
Rail Vision Ltd (RVSN) currently trades at $4.76, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $7.67, implying the stock looks roughly 61.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 22/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $1.5M. Revenue grew 131.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -58.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $19.7M. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $5.07 (bear case) to $9.59 (bull case); at $4.76, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -28% fair-value upside, at 61%, RVSN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 27 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 16
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Rail Vision Ltd. designs, develops, assembles, and sells railway detection systems for railway operational safety, efficiency, and predictive maintenance in Israel, Latin America, Central America, and the United States.
Full company description
Rail Vision Ltd. designs, develops, assembles, and sells railway detection systems for railway operational safety, efficiency, and predictive maintenance in Israel, Latin America, Central America, and the United States. The company's railway detection systems include various cameras, such as optics, visible light spectrum cameras (video), and thermal cameras that transmit data to a ruggedized on-board computer. It also offers main line systems for the safety of train operations, prevention of collisions, and reduction of downtime; railway detection systems; and shunting yard systems for shunting operations. In addition, the company provides data Services, as well as maintenance and predictive maintenance systems; and DASH, a cloud-based SaaS platform designed for fleet and infrastructure, analysis, and reports. Rail Vision Ltd. was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in Ra'anana, Israel.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Rail Vision Ltd reported revenue of $1.5M in FY2025 versus $1.1M in FY2021, a compound +7.7%/yr. Reported net income was −$11.1M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Railroads · 111 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Railroads median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Railroads stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Pacific Corporation UNP | $301.75 | $144.60 | -52% |
| CSX Corporation CSX | $49.41 | $12.85 | -74% |
| Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited CP | $92.91 | $35.00 | -62% |
| Canadian National Railway Company CNI | $128.22 | $92.63 | -28% |
| Norfolk Southern Corporation NSC | $327.47 | $117.90 | -64% |
| Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation WAB | $259.71 | $144.80 | -44% |
| Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway Co 601816 | ¥4.82 | ¥5.65 | +17% |
| CRRC Corporation 601766 | ¥5.65 | ¥9.53 | +69% |
| Daqin Railway Co 601006 | ¥4.85 | ¥6.24 | +29% |
| Hyundai Rotem Company 064350 | 167,700 KRW | 125,182 KRW | -25% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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