Rawlplug S.A (RWL) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · PL · Market cap 429M PLN
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from 16.81 PLN to 13.16 PLN (−21.7%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +0.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- A fairly wide model range (7.63 PLN to 16.44 PLN) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 11.07 PLN – 18.22 PLN · fair‑value band 7.63 PLN – 16.44 PLN · the 13.95 PLN price screens above the 13.16 PLN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Rawlplug S.A (RWL) currently trades at 13.95 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 13.16 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 5.7% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Rawlplug S.A generated revenue of 1.1B PLN at a net margin of 2.4%. Revenue declined 6.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.4%. Net debt stands at 392M PLN. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 7.63 PLN (bear case) to 16.44 PLN (bull case); at 13.95 PLN, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at -6%, RWL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (14.56 PLN) versus Dividend Discount (4.45 PLN). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Rawlplug S.A. design, manufacture, and sells fixings, fasteners, and tools under KOELNER, RAWPLUG, and MODECO EXPERT brands in Europe and internationally.
Full company description
Rawlplug S.A. design, manufacture, and sells fixings, fasteners, and tools under KOELNER, RAWPLUG, and MODECO EXPERT brands in Europe and internationally. It offers cordless and electric power tools, and power tool accessories; concrete and steel nail guns; accessories for nail guns and concrete; clips, washers, and tapes for nail guns; and building, mechanical, basic, cutting, measuring, connection, painting, and garden tools, as well as glue and glue guns, belts, health and safety articles, and tool transport accessories. The company also provides chemical resin fixings and mechanical anchors; wall plugs; frame, hammer, plasterboard, ceiling, facade, and roofing fixings; construction, wood, decking, drywall, self-drilling and tapping, steel, and frame screws; threaded roads, bolts and accessories, nails, wires, and hooks; and sealants, adhesives, expanding foams, polyurethane mortars and adhesives, silicones, and primer paint. In addition, it offers angle brackets, frame ties, brackets, special connectors, galvanized bands, latches and hinges, and building fittings; chains, steel wire and PVC coated steel, jute and polypropylene twisted ropes, elastic ropes, cords, and accessories; and radiator, curtain pole, outside light, gate, mirror, shelving, stairs, TV, hanging basket, and sanitary solution kits. Further, it wholesales construction materials; goods warehousing; develops building and property projects; generates and distributes electricity from renewable energy sources; and offers investment and technical support services. It serves construction, automotive, energy, road, wood, machinery, electrical machinery, and mining industries. The company was formerly known as Koelner S.A. and changed its name to Rawlplug S.A. in 2013. Rawlplug S.A. was founded in 1887 and is headquartered in Wroclaw, Poland. Rawlplug S.A. operates as a subsidiary of Amicus Poliniae Sp. z o.o.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Rawlplug S.A reported revenue of 1.1B PLN in FY2025 versus 1.0B PLN in FY2021, a compound +1.4%/yr. Reported net income was 19.5M PLN in FY2025, compounding −35.5%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +6.0 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.6 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Tools & Accessories · 119 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Tools & Accessories median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Tools & Accessories stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Techtronic Industries Company 0669 | HK$129.60 | HK$81.05 | -37% |
| Snap-on Incorporated SNA | $410.99 | $350.46 | -15% |
| RBC Bearings Incorporated RBC | $595.49 | $184.29 | -69% |
| Lincoln Electric Holdings LECO | $252.58 | $154.80 | -39% |
| Stanley Black & Decker, Inc SWK | $88.22 | $54.24 | -39% |
| AB SKF (publ) SKFB | kr 258.90 | kr 192.57 | -26% |
| The Timken Company TKR | $139.47 | $66.33 | -52% |
| The Toro Company TTC | $94.42 | $69.71 | -26% |
| SFS Group SFSN | CHF 140.00 | CHF 118.30 | -16% |
| Hangzhou Greatstar Industrial Co 002444 | ¥29.33 | ¥35.72 | +22% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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