Rawlplug S.A. (RWL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Rawlplug S.A. stock PLN 13.16, price PLN 15.25, that is 13.7% below the price, quality 50 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 25 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 11.84 PLN – 18.22 PLN · fair‑value band 6.61 PLN – 14.34 PLN · the 15.25 PLN price screens above the 13.16 PLN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.
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Rawlplug S.A. design, manufacture, and sells fixings, fasteners, and tools under KOELNER, RAWPLUG, and MODECO EXPERT brands in Europe and internationally.
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It offers cordless and electric power tools, and power tool accessories; concrete and steel nail guns; accessories for nail guns and concrete; clips, washers, and tapes for nail guns; and building, mechanical, basic, cutting, measuring, connection, painting, and garden tools, as well as glue and glue guns, belts, health and safety articles, and tool transport accessories.
The company also provides chemical resin fixings and mechanical anchors; wall plugs; frame, hammer, plasterboard, ceiling, facade, and roofing fixings; construction, wood, decking, drywall, self-drilling and tapping, steel, and frame screws; threaded roads, bolts and accessories, nails, wires, and hooks; and sealants, adhesives, expanding foams, polyurethane mortars and adhesives, silicones, and primer paint.
In addition, it offers angle brackets, frame ties, brackets, special connectors, galvanized bands, latches and hinges, and building fittings; chains, steel wire and PVC coated steel, jute and polypropylene twisted ropes, elastic ropes, cords, and accessories; and radiator, curtain pole, outside light, gate, mirror, shelving, stairs, TV, hanging basket, and sanitary solution kits.
Further, it wholesales construction materials; goods warehousing; develops building and property projects; generates and distributes electricity from renewable energy sources; and offers investment and technical support services.
It serves construction, automotive, energy, road, wood, machinery, electrical machinery, and mining industries. The company was formerly known as Koelner S.A. and changed its name to Rawlplug S.A. in 2013. Rawlplug S.A. was founded in 1887 and is headquartered in Wroclaw, Poland.
Rawlplug S.A. operates as a subsidiary of Amicus Poliniae Sp. z o.o.
Stock analysis
Rawlplug S.A. (RWL) currently trades at 15.25 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 13.16 PLN, 14% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 14.11 PLN per share, and 5 of the 25 models we run sit above the 15.25 PLN price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 2.85 PLN, and 20 of the 25 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 6.61 PLN (bear) to 14.34 PLN (bull), the price of 15.25 PLN sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Rawlplug S.A. reported revenue of 1.1B PLN in FY2025 versus 1.0B PLN in FY2021, a compound +1.4%/yr. Reported net income was 19.5M PLN in FY2025, compounding −35.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 474M PLN (≈ $121M) Micro · P/E ratio 11.3 · P/S ratio 0.44 · EPS (TTM) 1.35 PLN · Dividend yield 2.6% · Net margin 3.9% · Return on equity 6.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.5% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −20% fair-value upside, at −14%, RWL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear6.61 PLNFair Value 13.16 PLNBull14.34 PLN
Price 15.25 PLN · Downside -13.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (1.16 PLN per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−5.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.7% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
+0.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−2.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−16.8% vs −0.2%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → 7%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+18.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Poland: IMF forecast 3.1% a year to 2030, 4.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +15.3% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Tools & Accessories · 128 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score50 · Below median
Fair Value upside−13.7% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)6.4% · Below median
Return on assets1.3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)3.9% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)10.6% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)11.6% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)2.6% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.55× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Tools & Accessories median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)11.3× · Cheapest 25%
P/B0.70× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months)0.44× · Cheapest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)13.2× · Cheaper than median
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Rawlplug S.A. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/RWL
Frequently asked questions
Is Rawlplug S.A. (RWL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 13.16 PLN versus a price of 15.25 PLN, about 14% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of RWL?
Our model-based fair value for Rawlplug S.A. is 13.16 PLN (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 15.25 PLN.
What is the quality score of RWL?
Rawlplug S.A. has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Rawlplug S.A. (RWL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 13.16 PLN (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario 6.61 PLN, optimistic scenario 14.34 PLN. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Rawlplug S.A. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 13.16 PLN, about 14% lower versus a price of 15.25 PLN (overvalued). Cautious scenario 6.61 PLN, optimistic scenario 14.34 PLN. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Rawlplug S.A. (RWL)?
Rawlplug S.A. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.1B PLN (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
Does Rawlplug S.A. pay a dividend?
Rawlplug S.A. currently shows a dividend yield of 2.64% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 7, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Rawlplug S.A. (RWL)?
Rawlplug S.A. has a dividend yield of 2.6%.
What growth is priced into Rawlplug S.A. (RWL)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Rawlplug S.A. would have to grow free cash flow by +18.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +6.3 % per year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of RWL use?
Our models discount Rawlplug S.A. at 12.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.34, country premium for Poland. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Rawlplug S.A. that is +18.9 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (12.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Rawlplug S.A. (RWL) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Rawlplug S.A. grew +6.3 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +18.9 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Rawlplug S.A. (RWL) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Rawlplug S.A. (+18.9 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Rawlplug S.A. (RWL)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.56 %: that much free cash flow Rawlplug S.A. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Rawlplug S.A. (RWL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Rawlplug S.A. it is 13.16 PLN per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of 15.25 PLN. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Rawlplug S.A. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, RWL trades above its calculated fair value: price 15.25 PLN, fair value 13.16 PLN, a gap of about −14% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of RWL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (15.25 PLN); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (13.16 PLN). For Rawlplug S.A. the two are 2.09 PLN per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Rawlplug S.A. worth?
The market values Rawlplug S.A. at about 474M PLN (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is 15.25 PLN; our models calculate a fair value of 13.16 PLN per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about RWL?
Our models span a range for Rawlplug S.A.: cautious scenario 6.61 PLN, base 13.16 PLN, optimistic 14.34 PLN per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price 15.25 PLN). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of RWL?
Rawlplug S.A. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.3 (as of Nov 7, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 13.16 PLN is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings: 9.3. Other multiples: P/B 0.7, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 5.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Rawlplug S.A. (RWL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Rawlplug S.A. (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 6.4%, debt of 0.55 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is RWL from its 52-week high?
Rawlplug S.A. trades at 15.25 PLN, about 8% below its 52-week high of 16.50 PLN and 27% above the low of 12.05 PLN (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 13.16 PLN is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Rawlplug S.A.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Techtronic Industries Company, Snap-on Incorporated, Stanley Black & Decker, Inc, Lincoln Electric Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Rawlplug S.A. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price 15.25 PLN, calculated fair value 13.16 PLN (−14%), Quality Score 50/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of RWL calculated?
We run Rawlplug S.A. through 25 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 13.16 PLN builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Rawlplug S.A. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Rawlplug S.A. (RWL)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 15.25 PLN. Our model-based fair value is 13.16 PLN, about 14% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Rawlplug S.A. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (14.34 PLN). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (6.61 PLN to 14.34 PLN) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Rawlplug S.A. (RWL) come from?
Earnings per share at Rawlplug S.A. grew +5.7 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +6.6 %, EBIT margin +3.3 %, tax rate −3.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Rawlplug S.A.
How large is the market capitalisation of Rawlplug S.A. (RWL)?
The market capitalisation of Rawlplug S.A. is 474M PLN (≈ $121M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Rawlplug S.A. (RWL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Rawlplug S.A. is 0.44 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Rawlplug S.A. (RWL)?
Earnings per share at Rawlplug S.A. are 1.35 PLN (price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Rawlplug S.A. (RWL)?
The dividend yield of Rawlplug S.A. is 2.6% (payout 29.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Rawlplug S.A. (RWL)?
The net margin of Rawlplug S.A. is 3.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Rawlplug S.A. (RWL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Rawlplug S.A. is 6.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Rawlplug S.A. (RWL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Rawlplug S.A. is 8.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Rawlplug S.A. (RWL)?
The operating margin of Rawlplug S.A. is 10.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Rawlplug S.A. (RWL)?
Revenue at Rawlplug S.A. is growing +11.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −4.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Rawlplug S.A. (RWL)?
Earnings per share at Rawlplug S.A. are growing +653% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Rawlplug S.A. (RWL) carry?
The net debt of Rawlplug S.A. is 392M PLN (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 10.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 7, 2026